Consolidated and updated ultrasonographic fetal biometry and estimated fetal weight references for the Hong Kong Chinese population

Hong Kong Med J 2024 Dec;30(6):444–51 | Epub 16 Dec 2024
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Consolidated and updated ultrasonographic fetal biometry and estimated fetal weight references for the Hong Kong Chinese population
Fangzi Liu, MB, ChB, MRCOG1; Jing Lu, MD2; Angel HW Kwan, MB, ChB, FHKAM (Obstetrics and Gynaecology)1; YK Yeung, MB, BS1; Lo Wong, MB, BS, FHKAM (Obstetrics and Gynaecology)1; Christopher PH Chiu, MB, BS, FHKAM (Obstetrics and Gynaecology)1; Liona CY Poon, MB, BS, MD3; Daljit Singh Sahota, BEng, PhD3
1 Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Prince of Wales Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
2 Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University, Xiamen, China
3 Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
 
Corresponding author: Prof Daljit Singh Sahota (daljit@cuhk.edu.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: This study aimed to construct consolidated and updated ultrasonographic fetal biometry and estimated fetal weight (EFW) references for the Hong Kong Chinese population and evaluate the extent of under- and overdiagnosis of small-for-gestational-age (SGA) and large-for-gestational-age (LGA) using these new references.
 
Methods: Fetal biometry and EFW references were constructed using the Generalised Additive Model for Location, Scale, and Shape, based on data from 1679 singleton pregnancies in non-smoking Chinese women. Ultrasound scans were performed at 12 to 40 weeks of gestation to measure biparietal diameter, head circumference, abdominal circumference (AC), and femur length, following standardised protocols. The rates of SGA and LGA diagnoses using the existing and updated Hong Kong fetal biometry references were compared in an independent cohort of 10 229 pregnancies.
 
Results: The median number of scans per gestational week between 20 and 39 weeks was 75 (interquartile range=67-83). Compared with existing references, the new AC reference would significantly (P<0.001) increase the proportions of SGA fetuses with AC measurements at <3rd and <10th percentiles from 1.7% and 6.1% to 3.4% and 10.0%, respectively. Conversely, it would significantly decrease (P<0.001) the proportions of LGA fetuses with AC at >90th and >97th percentiles from 15.0% and 4.9% to 11.5% and 3.5%, respectively.
 
Conclusion: Adoption of the new references, particularly for AC, may lead to increased identification of SGA cases and decreased identification of LGA cases. The proportions of these cases will be more consistent with their intended diagnostic thresholds. Further studies are needed to determine how these references impact pregnancy outcomes.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Updated biometry and estimated fetal weight (EFW) references were constructed for antenatal assessment of fetal size.
  • Improved detection of small-for-gestational-age (SGA) fetuses was achieved.
  • Reduced identification of fetuses classified as large-for-gestational-age was noted.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • The updated biometry and EFW references were implemented in clinical practice by hospitals managed by the Hospital Authority in the second quarter of 2023.
  • There is a need for clinicians to prepare for an increase in the number of cases requiring closer monitoring and potentially earlier interventions for SGA fetuses and a need for clear guidelines to manage the increased number of potential SGA pregnancies without overtreatment.
 
 
Introduction
Fetal biometry and estimated fetal weight (EFW) are routinely documented by sonographers and ultrasound providers during the antenatal period as early indicators of suspected or actual abnormal fetal growth. At a given gestational age (GA), small or large fetal size is often suspected when biometry measurements are below or above the reference extremes. Small for gestational age (SGA), typically defined as a fetus with an abdominal circumference (AC) or EFW <10th percentile, is associated with increased risks of stillbirth, preterm delivery, and neonatal morbidity and mortality1 2; this diagnosis requires more frequent ultrasound monitoring. In contrast, large for gestational age (LGA) refers to a fetus with AC or EFW >90th percentile and is associated with increased risks of macrosomia, shoulder dystocia, neonatal hypoglycaemia, caesarean delivery, and postpartum haemorrhage.3 4 Management of an LGA fetus may include strict maternal glycaemic control in cases of gestational diabetes, early induction of labour, or scheduled caesarean delivery. Therefore, reliable reference charts for fetal biometry and size are essential in obstetric practice to optimise the use of antenatal surveillance resources, especially in public medical institutions.
 
The current fetal biometry references adopted by obstetricians and ultrasound providers in Hong Kong were constructed using a cohort of Hong Kong Chinese women from 1999 to 2000, based on best practices available at that time, and were published in 2008.5 However, the clinical utility of these 2008 biometry references for identifying SGA and LGA was not evaluated until 2016 by Cheng et al,6 who found that the percentile thresholds used to classify fetuses as SGA and LGA led to underdiagnosis of SGA and overdiagnosis of LGA. Specifically, only 4.6% of fetuses had an AC <10th percentile, whereas 13.3% had an AC >90th percentile,6 raising concerns about the validity of the measurements in 20085 and whether they still reflect current fetal size, considering changes in population and socio-demographic characteristics.
 
The aims of the current study were to construct revised ultrasonographic fetal biometry and EFW references for the Hong Kong Chinese population, using statistical methods recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO), and to compare the rates of SGA and LGA diagnoses based on the new and existing references.
 
Methods
This study utilised fetal biometry data from three population cohort studies previously conducted at Prince of Wales Hospital, The Chinese University of Hong Kong.5 6 7 Fetal biometry data from two of the cohorts5 7 were used to construct the revised biometry and EFW references, while the remaining cohort6 was used to assess the clinical utility of specific percentiles from the updated biometry references. This study followed the TRIPOD (Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis) reporting guideline.8
 
Derivation of biometry and estimated fetal weight references
The new fetal biometry references were developed using data collected from non-smoking Chinese women with viable, spontaneously conceived singleton pregnancies, recruited at 11 to 13 weeks of gestation from the general obstetric population in the years 1999-20005 and 2015-2016.7 Women who consented to participate in either cohort were randomly selected to undergo a study-specific ultrasound examination of fetal size by a maternal-fetal medicine specialist at GAs ranging from 12 to 40 weeks. Gestational age at recruitment was calculated based on the first date of the last menstrual period if it corresponded to the crown-rump length measurement within a 4-day margin; otherwise, the GA was adjusted using a crown-rump length formula specific to the Chinese population.9 Pregnancies with fetal anomalies were excluded from both cohorts.
 
Transabdominal ultrasounds were performed using standard commercially available transducers and machines present in the hospital, as described in the original studies.5 7 Fetal biometric measurements, including head circumference (HC), biparietal diameter (BPD) measured in an outer-inner manner, AC, and femur length (FL) were obtained using identical standardised protocols, as previously described.5 7 Estimated fetal weight was derived from biometric data using the formula EFW=10(1.326+0.0107×HC+0.0438×AC+0.158×FL−0.00326×AC×FL), as previously published by Hadlock et al10 and adopted by the WHO.11
 
Biometry reference models for HC, BPD, AC, FL and EFW according to GA were constructed using the Generalised Additive Model for Location, Scale, and Shape (GAMLSS) package (version 5.0) in R statistical software (version 3.3.2). Best-fit models were developed in a stepwise manner, beginning with models based on the normal distribution and considering alternatives such as the Box—Cox power exponential, as appropriate. Gestational age was included as a polynomial term, and all measurements were transformed to their natural logarithm equivalent before model construction. Goodness of fit was assessed by inspecting residuals using quantile—quantile plots and worm plots to determine whether kurtosis adjustments were necessary.12
 
Biometry models were constructed for 12 to 40 weeks of gestation, whereas EFW models were constructed for 20 to 40 weeks. Final smoothing models were chosen by balancing smoothness of percentiles, goodness of fit, and model simplicity. These final models were used to calculate smoothed values for the 50th, 10th, and 90th percentiles (Zα= ±1.281), as well as the 3rd and 97th percentiles (Zα= ±1.881). Percentiles were determined using the expression μ × (1+υσZα)1/υ, where Zα represents the percentile of interest and μ, υ, and σ are dependent on the time covariate (ie, GA).
 
Standard errors (SEs) of the 50th percentile were estimated using the expression , assuming that the SE of the percentile of interest can be expressed as a multiple of the standard deviation (SD).13 14
 
Clinical utility of the revised biometry references
The expected clinical performance of the revised references was evaluated based on the same cohort of second- and third-trimester fetal ultrasound scans previously used to assess the INTERGROWTH-21st standards.6 This cohort consisted of biometry measurements from 10 229 fetuses, with respective median birthweight and GA at delivery of 3140 g (interquartile range [IQR]=2850-3412) and 275 days (IQR=268-281); of these fetuses, 5419 (53.0%) were male.6 All fetal scans were performed transabdominally by either maternal-fetal medicine specialists or midwives who had passed the American Registry for Diagnostic Medical Sonography certification, using standard commercially available transducers and ultrasound machines.
 
To compare the relative performances of the revised and existing biometry references, Z-scores were calculated as recommended by Salomon et al.15 Expected median and SD values were determined for each gestational week. Z-scores for each fetal parameter were then calculated using the formula: (observed value − expected median) / expected SD. These fetal parameter Z-scores were used to determine the proportion of biometry measurements in the cohort that were <10th or >90th percentiles and <3rd or >97th percentiles, with ±1.282 and ±1.881 as respective thresholds.
 
Results
Updated biometry references were constructed from a combined cohort of 1679 pregnancies. The median maternal age at expected date of delivery, as well as weight and height at recruitment, were 32 years (IQR=28-34), 53 kg (IQR=38.5-58.1), and 157 cm (IQR=154-161), respectively. Of the pregnancies, 892 (53.1%) were nulliparous women. Birth details were unavailable for 115 (6.8%) pregnancies, all from the cohort recruited by Leung et al,5 which was used to construct the existing biometry reference. In the 1564 (93.2%) pregnancies with documented birth details, the median birthweight, GA at delivery, and male sex proportion were 3160 g (IQR=2900-3405), 277 days (IQR=270-283), and 830 (53.1%), respectively. The median number of scans per gestational week between 20 and 39 weeks was 75 (IQR=67-83).
 
The best-fitting GAMLSS for fetal biometry and EFW are reported in online supplementary Tables 1 and 2, respectively. The distribution of residuals from the fitted models approximated that of a normal standard distribution, with means of 0, variances of 1, skewness ranging from 0 to 0.1, and kurtosis ranging from 3.22 to 3.69. The Figure shows the fitted 50th, 3rd/97th, and 10th/90th smoothed percentiles.
 

Figure. Fetal size references for the Hong Kong Chinese population, showing raw data and fitted 50th, 3rd/97th, and 10th/90th smoothed percentiles versus gestational age for (a) abdominal circumference, (b) head circumference, (c) biparietal diameter (outer to inner), (d) femur length, and (e) natural logarithm of estimated fetal weight
 
The Table summarises the comparison of the proportions of fetuses whose biometry was assessed for fetal size above and below specific percentiles across the 10 229 pregnancies. The proportions of fetuses identified <3rd and >97th percentiles, as well as <10th and >90th percentiles, by the revised biometry references were approximately 3% and 10%, respectively, except for the FL reference.
 

Table. Comparison of the proportion of fetal biometry measurements among the 10 229 fetuses above and below specific percentiles for the updated local biometry reference and the existing reference5
 
The analysis showed that, compared with the existing AC biometry reference,5 the revised AC biometry reference would significantly increase the proportions of fetuses with AC measurements at <3rd and <10th percentiles from 1.7% and 6.1% to 3.4% and 10.0%, respectively (both P<0.001). It would also significantly decrease the proportions of fetuses with AC measurements at >90th and >97th percentiles from 15.0% and 4.9% to 11.5% and 3.5%, respectively (both P<0.001). Compared with the existing biometry references,5 the revised biometry references would identify greater numbers of fetuses with short FL (<3rd percentile P=0.002; <10th percentile P<0.001) and smaller HC (<3rd percentile P=0.23; <10th percentile P=0.003) at the extreme lower percentile limits.
 
Discussion
Principal findings
In this study, we developed updated biometry and EFW references, then assessed how they compare with existing references created over 20 years ago.5 These new references serve as a guide for local obstetricians and ultrasound providers, both in public institutions and private practice, to assess relative and absolute fetal sizes.
 
Results in the context of current knowledge
In recent years, both the INTERGROWTH-21st project16 and the WHO11 have published biometry and EFW charts according to GA. The INTERGROWTH-21st reference was proposed as a universal standard, based on the premise that fetuses of well-nourished mothers, irrespective of ethnicity or parental characteristics, grow at similar rates.16 Thus, a single INTERGROWTH-21st standard was recommended for assessing fetal size and growth worldwide. In contrast, the WHO suggested that its references could be customised to accommodate local populations, adjusting diagnostic thresholds for SGA and LGA to reflect population-specific characteristics.11 Local studies assessing the suitability and impact of adopting the INTERGROWTH-21st and WHO charts have indicated that these approaches would lead to substantial misclassification of fetuses as small.6 7 17 Similar concerns about the potential for inaccurate classification have been reported by other research groups that assessed either or both the INTERGROWTH-21st and WHO biometry charts.18 19 20 Customisation of the WHO charts to fit the Hong Kong population would be comparable to developing a locally tailored biometry reference, the approach we have taken in this study.
 
Implications for clinical practice
The revised references had minimal impact on measurements of bony structures, such as HC, BPD, and FL. However, AC, which reflects fetal subcutaneous fat mass and nutritional status,21 plays a greater role in calculating EFW, particularly in the third trimester.10 The revised references should reduce the misdiagnosis of SGA and LGA, given that they are mainly based on AC and EFW. However, this change might increase the workload for obstetricians because additional scans will be needed to distinguish constitutional smallness from growth restriction.
 
The revised biometry and newly developed EFW references replaced the existing Leung et al’s biometry references5 previously used for antenatal management in hospitals managed by the Hospital Authority starting from the second quarter of 2023. The major clinical impact of the revised biometry references was expected to be an increase in the proportion of fetuses classified as SGA and a decrease in those classified as LGA, such that the proportions become more consistent with their intended diagnostic thresholds at the 3rd and 10th percentiles. By definition, the smallest 10% of fetuses are regarded as SGA,1 2 and the largest 10% are considered LGA.3 4 Although not all of these fetuses exhibit restricted growth, these classifications carry prognostic importance because they predict risks of perinatal morbidity and mortality, especially for SGA. Furthermore, fetuses classified as LGA are more likely to require induction of labour or caesarean delivery. Fetal biometry and EFW references can serve as screening tools to detect fetuses at both extremes of the growth spectrum. Further evaluation, such as assessments of growth velocity, performance of Doppler studies, and use of biophysical profiles, can help differentiate between those at high risk and those who are constitutionally small or large.1
 
One key purpose of biometry references is to reduce obstetric complications such as shoulder dystocia, stillbirth, and neonatal morbidity and mortality by improving the identification of SGA and LGA fetuses. Further studies will be needed to determine whether revision of the percentiles, particularly the AC reference, and development of a local EFW reference will show significant correlations with perinatal outcomes. However, such studies will need to be conducted over several years and require support from a funding body, considering the generally low incidence of adverse perinatal outcomes in Hong Kong pregnancies.22 In a review of stillbirth rates from 2000 to 2020, Wong et al23 concluded that although stillbirth rates had declined from approximately 3.3 to 2.9 per 1000 births between the first and second decades, further improvements remained necessary regarding early identification of early fetal growth restriction. This analysis indicated that 16% of all stillbirths were related to fetal growth restriction of unknown cause.23 Whether the revised references, by classifying an increased number of fetuses as SGA, lead to improved early detection of fetal growth restriction requires prospective investigation. One approach could involve using information obtained during first-trimester Down syndrome screening to identify fetuses at increased risk of being considered SGA, followed by either longitudinal or cross-sectional assessments later in pregnancy. Leung et al24 previously reported that low serum levels of pregnancy associated plasma protein-A and smaller fetal crown-rump length at 11 to 13 weeks of gestation were independent predictors of SGA status. More recently, Papastefanou et al25 proposed a model for predicting SGA classification using a combination of maternal factors and the same biomarkers included in preeclampsia screening to identify potential fetuses at risk of SGA status.
 
Strengths and limitations
The revised biometry and newly developed EFW references were derived from a larger cohort, improving the precision of the estimated percentiles, specifically those used for clinical decision-making. By combining two cohorts with similar inclusion and exclusion criteria and using standardised ultrasound measurement protocols,5 7 the precision of the estimated percentiles has been enhanced. The existing biometry references were based on 706 pregnancies, yielding SEs of 0.05 SD for the 10th and 90th percentiles and 0.06 SD for the 3rd and 97th percentiles. By developing the revised references from 1679 cases, we have improved the precision; the abovementioned SEs are now 0.03 SD and 0.04 SD, respectively. Additionally, consistent with biometry references reported by other groups, we used the semi-parametric GAMLSS method to concurrently model the mean, variance, skew, and kurtosis; conversely, the approach by Leung et al5 utilised a simpler mean±k×SD model and assumed no kurtosis or skewness. The GAMLSS method is recommended by the WHO,11 26 27 which adopted this approach during the development of its biometry and EFW references because the GAMLSS enabled more accurate prediction and smoother curves compared with earlier modelling approaches.26 Finally, we avoided a common limitation, identified in a previous review,28 by not retrospectively using routinely collected fetal measurements to derive biometry references—this could lead to skewed charts and inaccurate percentile limits.
 
A limitation of the newly revised references is that they are monoethnic because they were derived from pregnancies in Chinese women at a single hospital, which provides medical care to approximately 18% of the territory’s population.29 Hong Kong is a largely homogenous society in which approximately 92% of individuals are Han Chinese.30 However, considering possible ethnic differences, especially when comparing East and Southeast Asians with other groups, caution may be needed when interpreting biometry and EFW measurements in other ethnic populations.31 32
 
Conclusion
We have constructed and updated ultrasonographic fetal biometry and EFW reference percentiles for the antenatal assessment of fetal size in Hong Kong Chinese singleton pregnancies. The adoption of these updated biometry percentile references, particularly regarding AC, is expected to result in an increased proportion of fetuses classified as SGA and a decreased proportion of fetuses considered LGA. The proportions of SGA and LGA cases will be more consistent with the intended diagnostic thresholds. Further prospective studies are needed to determine whether the introduction of these revised biometry and EFW reference percentiles by the hospitals of the Hospital Authority will lead to improved perinatal outcomes.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design: F Liu, DS Sahota.
Acquisition of data: F Liu, J Lu, AHW Kwan, L Wong.
Analysis or interpretation of data: F Liu, YK Yeung, CPH Chiu, DS Sahota.
Drafting of the manuscript: F Liu, DS Sahota.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: LC Poon, DS Sahota.
 
All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Acknowledgement
The authors thank the pregnant women in this study, as well as the Fetal Medicine team, midwives, and research assistants at the Prince of Wales Hospital who recruited participants and performed fetal scans in the primary study cohorts used to construct the updated biometry references.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethics approval
This is a retrospective analysis of data that were collected as part of approved studies conducted by the Joint Chinese University of Hong Kong–New Territories Cluster Clinical Research Ethics Committee, Hong Kong, for the same use and purpose (Ref Nos.: CRE-9019, CRE-2012.538, and CRE 2014.507). Informed consent was obtained from patients when the data was originally collected.
 
Supplementary material
The supplementary material was provided by the authors and some information may not have been peer reviewed. Accepted supplementary material will be published as submitted by the authors, without any editing or formatting. Any opinions or recommendations discussed are solely those of the author(s) and are not endorsed by the Hong Kong Academy of Medicine and the Hong Kong Medical Association. The Hong Kong Academy of Medicine and the Hong Kong Medical Association disclaim all liability and responsibility arising from any reliance placed on the content.
 
References
1. Lees CC, Stampalija T, Baschat A, et al. ISUOG Practice Guidelines: diagnosis and management of small-for-gestational-age fetus and fetal growth restriction. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2020;56:298-312. Crossref
2. ACOG Practice Bulletin No. 227: Fetal Growth Restriction: correction [editorial]. Obstet Gynecol 2021;137:754. Crossref
3. Evidence review for large-for-gestational age baby: intrapartum care for women with existing medical conditions or obstetric complications and their babies. Evidence review Q. NICE Guideline No. 121. National Institute for Health and Care Excellence: London; 2019.
4. Macrosomia: ACOG Practice Bulletin, Number 216. Obstet Gynecol 2020;135:e18-35. Crossref
5. Leung TN, Pang MW, Daljit SS, et al. Fetal biometry in ethnic Chinese: biparietal diameter, head circumference, abdominal circumference and femur length. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2008;31:321-7. Crossref
6. Cheng YK, Leung TY, Lao TT, Chan YM, Sahota DS. Impact of replacing Chinese ethnicity-specific fetal biometry charts with the INTERGROWTH-21(st) standard. BJOG 2016;123 Suppl 3:48-55. Crossref
7. Cheng YK, Lu J, Leung TY, Chan YM, Sahota DS. Prospective assessment of INTERGROWTH-21st and World Health Organization estimated fetal weight reference curves. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2018;51:792-8. Crossref
8. Collins GS, Reitsma JB, Altman DG, Moons KG. Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD): the TRIPOD statement. BMC Med 2015;13:1. Crossref
9. Sahota DS, Leung TY, Leung TN, Chan OK, Lau TK. Fetal crown-rump length and estimation of gestational age in an ethnic Chinese population. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2009;33:157-60. Crossref
10. Hadlock FP, Harrist RB, Sharman RS, Deter RL, Park SK. Estimation of fetal weight with the use of head, body, and femur measurements—a prospective study. Am J Obstet Gynecol 1985;151:333-7. Crossref
11. Kiserud T, Piaggio G, Carroli G, et al. The World Health Organization fetal growth charts: a multinational longitudinal study of ultrasound biometric measurements and estimated fetal weight. PLoS Med 2017;14:e1002220. Crossref
12. van Buuren S, Fredriks M. Worm plot: a simple diagnostic device for modelling growth reference curves. Stat Med 2001;20:1259-77. Crossref
13. Healy MJ. Notes on the statistics of growth standards. Ann Hum Biol 1974;1:41-6. Crossref
14. Royston P. Constructing time-specific reference ranges. Stat Med 1991;10:675-90. Crossref
15. Salomon LJ, Bernard JP, Duyme M, Buvat I, Ville Y. The impact of choice of reference charts and equations on the assessment of fetal biometry. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2005;25:559-65. Crossref
16. Papageorghiou AT, Ohuma EO, Altman DG, et al. International standards for fetal growth based on serial ultrasound measurements: the Fetal Growth Longitudinal Study of the INTERGROWTH-21st Project. Lancet 2014;384:869-79. Crossref
17. Lok IW, Kong MC, To WW. Updated gestational age specific birthweight reference of Hong Kong Chinese newborns and comparison with local and international growth charts. Open J Obstet Gynecol 2021;11:940-54. Crossref
18. Liu S, Metcalfe A, León JA, et al. Evaluation of the INTERGROWTH-21st project newborn standard for use in Canada. PLoS One 2017;12:e0172910. Crossref
19. Jakubowski D, Salloum D, Maciejewski M, et al. Comparison of application of Fenton, Intergrowth-21st and WHO growth charts in a population of Polish newborns. Clin Exp Obstet Gynecol 2021;48:949-54. Crossref
20. Huang TM, Tsai CH, Hung FY, Huang MC. A novel reference chart and growth standard of fetal biometry in the Taiwanese population. Taiwan J Obstet Gynecol 2022;61:794-9. Crossref
21. Gardeil F, Greene R, Stuart B, Turner MJ. Subcutaneous fat in the fetal abdomen as a predictor of growth restriction. Obstet Gynecol 1999;94:209-12. Crossref
22. Hong Kong College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists. Territory-Wide Audit in Obstetrics and Gynaecology. 2014. Available from: https://www.hkcog.org.hk/hkcog/Download/Territory-wide_Audit_in_Obstetrics_Gynaecology_2014.pdf. Accessed 1 Apr 2023.
23. Wong ST, Tse WT, Lau SL, Sahota DS, Leung TY. Stillbirth rate in singleton pregnancies: a 20-year retrospective study from a public obstetric unit in Hong Kong. Hong Kong Med J 2022;28:285-93. Crossref
24. Leung TY, Sahota DS, Chan LW, et al. Prediction of birth weight by fetal crown-rump length and maternal serum levels of pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A in the first trimester. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2008;31:10-4. Crossref
25. Papastefanou I, Wright D, Nicolaides KH. Competing-risks model for prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonate from maternal characteristics and medical history. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2020;56:196-205. Crossref
26. Stasinopoulos DM, Rigby RA. Generalized Additive Models for Location, Scale and Shape (GAMLSS) in R. J Stat Softw 2007;23:1-46. Crossref
27. Borghi E, de Onis M, Garza C, et al. Construction of the World Health Organization child growth standards: selection of methods for attained growth curves. Stat Med 2006;30:247-65. Crossref
28. Ioannou C, Talbot K, Ohuma E, et al. Systematic review of methodology used in ultrasound studies aimed at creating charts of fetal size. BJOG 2012;119:1425-39. Crossref
29. Census and Statistics Department, Hong Kong SAR Government. District profiles (population and households). 2023. Available from: https://www.censtatd.gov.hk/en/map_ghs.html. Accessed 1 Apr 2023.
30. Race Relations Unit, Home Affairs Department, Hong Kong SAR Government. The demographics: ethnic groups. Available from: https://www.had.gov.hk/rru/english/info/demographics.htm. Accessed 1 Apr 2023.
31. Shiono PH, Klebanoff MA, Graubard BI, Berendes HW, Rhoads GG. Birth weight among women of different ethnic groups. JAMA 1986;255:48-52. Crossref
32. Kierans WJ, Joseph KS, Luo ZC, Platt R, Wilkins R, Kramer MS. Does one size fit all? The case for ethnicspecific standards of fetal growth. BMC Pregnancy Childbirth 2008;8:1. Crossref

Factors affecting human papillomavirus vaccine acceptance among parents of Primary 4 to 6 boys and girls in Hong Kong

© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Factors affecting human papillomavirus vaccine acceptance among parents of Primary 4 to 6 boys and girls in Hong Kong
Jody KP Chu, MClinPharm1; CW Sing, PhD1; Y Li, BPharm1; Patrick H Wong, BSc2; Eric YT So, MPH2; Ian CK Wong, PhD1,3
1 Department of Pharmacology and Pharmacy, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
2 Merck Sharp and Dohme (Asia) Ltd, Hong Kong SAR, China
3 Research Department of Practice and Policy, School of Pharmacy, University College London, London, United Kingdom
 
Corresponding author: Ms Jody KP Chu (chukpj@hku.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Human papillomavirus (HPV) poses a substantial but underestimated healthcare burden in Hong Kong. This study investigated factors affecting parental acceptance of HPV vaccination after the introduction of an immunisation programme for primary school girls. We assessed parental perceptions and related factors concerning HPV vaccination for both boys and girls.
 
Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional survey between December 2021 and February 2022 among parents of Primary 4 to 6 students in Hong Kong. Our self-administered online survey collected data regarding socio-demographic characteristics, awareness and knowledge of HPV vaccination, attitudes towards HPV vaccination, and acceptance of HPV vaccination. Characteristics were compared between boys’ parents and girls’ parents. Factors associated with vaccine acceptance were analysed by multivariate logistic regression.
 
Results: We observed high awareness of HPV vaccination among boys’ parents and girls’ parents; however, they demonstrated relatively poor knowledge of HPV and the HPV vaccine. An alarming low HPV vaccination uptake rate was also observed. Attitudes towards the HPV vaccine were similar between parent groups. A majority of parents believed that the HPV vaccine was safe and effective in preventing infection. Parents of boys showed lower HPV vaccine acceptance. Factors associated with acceptance differed between parent groups.
 
Conclusion: High awareness of HPV and HPV vaccine is predictive of vaccine acceptance. Boys’ parents are less likely to accept HPV vaccination and emphasis should be placed on addressing potential HPV vaccine hesitancy in this group. Public education should also aim to raise awareness of government vaccination programme, and implementation of catch-up vaccination programme to school children beyond primary school should be considered.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Awareness of human papillomavirus (HPV) was similar between parents of boys and parents of girls (P=0.346); 81.4% of boys’ parents and 78.5% of girls’ parents had heard of HPV.
  • Overall, attitudes towards HPV and the HPV vaccine were similar between parents of boys and parents of girls.
  • High acceptance of their child receiving the HPV vaccine in both parents of boys and girls was observed; parents of girls were more likely to accept the vaccine, compared with parents of boys (89.7% vs 73.8%; P<0.001).
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • The awareness of the HPV vaccination programme among girls’ parents is low, echoing the problem of insufficient information provision concerning HPV vaccination, especially during the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic.
  • To prevent future healthcare burdens caused by immunisation gaps, catch-up vaccination services for affected children should be considered and implemented as soon as possible.
 
 
Introduction
Human papillomavirus (HPV) is a common sexually transmitted infection that constitutes a substantial global healthcare burden. It is associated with genital warts and various cancers (eg, cervical, penile, anal, oropharyngeal, and head and neck cancers). Human papillomavirus causes 4.5% (630 000) of all new cancer cases worldwide.1
 
In Hong Kong, cervical cancer is the ninth most common cancer, with a crude incidence of 12.9 per 100 000 women and girls.2 3 There are limited data regarding HPV infection or HPV-associated cancers in men and boys. A local study estimated that the incidence of genital warts in Hong Kong was 203.7 per 100 000 person-years. Men and boys had a higher incidence compared with women and girls (292.2 per 100 000 person-years vs 124.9 per 100 000 person-years, respectively), suggesting a similar or possibly higher prevalence of HPV infection in men and boys.4
 
Human papillomavirus vaccination is a highly effective preventive measure against HPV infection and its complications. National HPV vaccination programmes targeting adolescent girls have significantly reduced the incidences of HPV-associated diseases.5 The World Health Organization recommends including HPV vaccination in routine programmes for girls aged 9 to 14 years, with possible extension to boys if feasible.6
 
Universal HPV vaccination programmes, covering both adolescent boys and adolescent girls, have become increasingly common in recent years, particularly in developed countries such as the United States, Canada, Australia, and 20 European nations. Female-only vaccination programmes with high vaccine coverage rates have demonstrated substantial public health impact concerning several HPV-related diseases and cancers.7 Gender-neutral vaccination programmes, targeting both boys and girls, have shown greater resilience8 and faster elimination of cervical cancer9; they also provide direct protection to reduce disease burden in all men and in subpopulations of men (eg, men who have sex with men and men who have sex abroad).10 11 12 The achievement of an 80% vaccination rate in both sexes is expected to enable the elimination of HPV subtypes 6, 11, 16, and 18.13
 
Despite the benefits of a high vaccination rate, the current rate of HPV vaccine is much lower than desired. In Hong Kong, the rate of vaccine uptake reportedly ranged from 2.2% to 7.2% in adolescent girls and 0.6% in adolescent boys before the HPV vaccine was incorporated into the Hong Kong Childhood Immunisation Programme (HKCIP).14 15 16 The 9-valent HPV vaccine was introduced into the Programme for Primary 5 and 6 girls, with a reported first-dose uptake rate of 85% among Primary 5 girls in 2020.17 However, vaccination rates are expected to remain low among adolescent boys.
 
Prior to the inclusion of HPV vaccination in the HKCIP, few local studies explored parental decision-making14 15 16 18; those that did primarily focused on girls, with limited examination of factors influencing vaccine acceptance or uptake. One survey did include parents of adolescent boys but was hindered by its small sample size (162 boys’ parents).14 Considering the recent implementation of the HPV vaccination programme for primary school girls and the lack of sufficient data concerning HPV vaccination in Hong Kong, further local research is warranted. An understanding of parental acceptance, particularly for boys, can inform strategies to improve vaccine uptake.
 
This study aimed to identify factors affecting HPV vaccination acceptance among Hong Kong parents of Primary 4 to 6 students. It compared the knowledge, attitudes, and acceptance between girls’ parents and boys’ parents, then explored the underlying reasons for their vaccination decisions.
 
Methods
Study design
This cross-sectional survey was conducted from December 2021 to February 2022. Invitation letters were sent to 554 primary schools in Hong Kong, including public local schools, private local schools, and Direct Subsidy Scheme schools. In total, 65 schools agreed to participate. After consent had been obtained from participating schools, parents of Primary 4 to 6 students at those schools received a self-administered online survey through the Qualtrics platform.
 
Measures
The survey was divided into four sections, namely, (1) socio-demographic characteristics, (2) awareness and knowledge regarding HPV and HPV vaccination, (3) attitudes towards HPV vaccination, and (4) acceptance of HPV vaccination. The questionnaires were available in both English and Chinese (online supplementary Appendices 1 and 2, respectively). A detailed description of the survey sections is provided in online supplementary Appendix 3. Upon completion of the online survey, the results were stored in the Qualtrics platform for further analysis.
 
Data analysis
Human papillomavirus vaccination attitudes were measured using a five-point Likert scale. Two statements (Questions 41 and 42) with strong internal consistency (Cronbach’s alpha=0.81) were combined to form the variable ‘Worried about HPV infection’, and the mean score of the two statements was used for analysis. Similarly, two other statements (Questions 46 and 47) with strong internal consistency (Cronbach’s alpha=0.91) were merged into the variable ‘Worried that HPV vaccine might negatively impact child’s sexual activity’.
 
Descriptive statistics were used to characterise the participants and study variables. The first analysis compared the knowledge, attitudes, and acceptance of the HPV vaccine between boys’ parents and girls’ parents. Significant differences between groups were identified using the Chi squared test for nominal variables, the t test for continuous variables, and the Mann-Whitney U test for ordinal variables (age-group, household income, and education level). In the second analysis, we investigated factors associated with the acceptance of HPV vaccination for children. Participants whose children had already received HPV vaccination were excluded from the analysis due to missing values in some variables (Questions 49 to 51). Univariate logistic regression was used to estimate the crude odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). The study variables were included as independent predictors; the acceptance of HPV vaccination for children was regarded as a binary dependent variable (‘Yes’ or ‘No’). Variables with P values <0.1 were entered into multivariate logistic regression. P values <0.05 were considered statistically significant.
 
Because free HPV vaccination was only provided for primary school girls in Hong Kong, we assumed that factors affecting the acceptance of HPV vaccination for their child varied between boys’ parents and girls’ parents. Consequently, the second analysis was conducted separately for each parent group.
 
All analyses were conducted using R software (version 4.1.1).
 
Results
In total, 844 participants completed the survey. Of these, 43.8% were parents of boys and 56.2% were parents of girls. The socio-demographic characteristics of the parents are presented in Table 1.
 

Table 1. Socio-demographic characteristics of parents of boys and girls (n=844)
 
Vaccine uptake rate
The HPV vaccine uptake rate is low with boys’ parents reported 6.8% and girls’ parents reported 4.9%. Among children who have received HPV vaccine, >90% of parents in both groups reported that their children received the HPV vaccine through the HKCIP (Table 1).
 
Awareness and knowledge of human papillomavirus and the vaccine among parents
Awareness of HPV was similar between boys’ parents and girls’ parents (81.4% vs 78.5%; P=0.346). Knowledge scores regarding HPV and the HPV vaccine were low in both parent groups; parents of boys had higher mean scores compared with parents of girls (6.48 vs 6.03; P=0.012). More boys’ parents discussed sexually transmitted disease (STDs) with their children, relative to girls’ parents (33.0% vs 15.2%; P<0.001) [Table 2].
 

Table 2. Knowledge, attitudes, and acceptance of the human papillomavirus vaccine among parents of boys and girls
 
Attitudes towards the vaccine in parents
Two questions addressed the timing of vaccination, namely: ‘At what age should a child receive the HPV vaccine?’, and the yes/no statement ‘I believe it’s better for my child to receive the HPV vaccine before they become sexually active’. A majority of parents, both of boys (83.6%) and of girls (85.9%), believed that their children should receive the HPV vaccine at age ≥13 years. Additionally, more parents of boys (55.7%) believed that their children should receive the HPV vaccine before becoming sexually active; more parents of girls (51.1%) reported a neutral perspective on this statement. Regarding HPV infection and HPV vaccine effectiveness, parents in both groups were worried about HPV infection (mean±standard deviation [SD] out of 5: 3.56±0.74 in boys’ parents; 3.48±0.76 in girls’ parents). Over 70% in parents of both groups believe that their children cannot be protected from HPV without HPV vaccination, furthermore a majority of parents in both groups also believe in the vaccine’s effectiveness (90.2% in boys’ parents and 84.6% in girls’ parents) [Table 2].
 
Concerning vaccine safety, impacts, and cost, most parents of boys (90.8%) and parents of girls (84.8%) agreed that the HPV vaccine is safe. They had a neutral perspective or were less worried about the vaccine’s short-term (62.5% and 67.6%, respectively) and long-term side-effects (80.5% and 82.3%, respectively) [Table 2].
 
Additionally, parents had a neutral perspective or were less worried about the vaccine’s negative impacts or influence on adolescent development. However, most parents agreed that the HPV vaccine is too expensive (88.1% and 79.8%, respectively) [Table 2].
 
Vaccine acceptance in parents of boys and girls
We observed high acceptance of the HPV vaccine for their children in boys’ parents (73.8%) and girls’ parents (89.7%). If the HPV vaccine were subsidised under the HKCIP, acceptance in parents would slightly increase because the government would cover the cost (78.9% and 92.6%, respectively) [Table 2].
 
The reasons for accepting the HPV vaccine for their children were similar between parent groups (Fig), with a majority citing concerns about HPV infection (91.0% in boys’ parents and 78.6% in girls’ parents). Acceptance was least influenced by religions and culture (<3%) or advertisements (<5%) in parents of both sexes. The reasons for declining the HPV vaccine for their children were somewhat different between boys’ parents and girls’ parents. ‘The HPV vaccine is too expensive’ was the top reason chosen by both boys’ parents (46.4%) and girls’ parents (42.9%). The other two reasons most often selected by boys’ parents were ‘Not enough information about the HPV vaccine provided to me’ (32.0%) and ‘My child doesn’t like vaccinations’ (22.7%). For girls’ parents, the other two reasons were ‘My child doesn’t like vaccinations’ (38.8%) and ‘The HPV vaccine can cause adverse effects/is not safe’ (36.2%) [online supplementary Fig].
 

Figure. Reasons for allowing their child to receive the human papillomavirus vaccine among parents of boys (n=273) and parents of girls (n=425)
 
Factors associated with vaccine acceptance for children
The association analysis excluded 25 parents of boys and 23 parents of girls whose children had already received the HPV vaccine. The acceptance rates of the HPV vaccine for children of boys’ parents and girls’ parents, stratified according to the study variables, are listed in online supplementary Tables 1 and 2, respectively.
 
Regarding boys’ parents, 24 study variables with P values <0.1 in univariate logistic regression were entered into multivariate logistic regression (Table 3). Factors associated with higher acceptance of the HPV vaccine for children included parental receipt of the HPV vaccine (OR=9.36, 95% CI=1.5-63.82; P=0.018), knowledge of the HPV vaccine (OR=10.16, 95% CI=3.02-39.07; P<0.001), and stronger beliefs that ‘it’s better for my child to receive the HPV vaccine before they become sexually active’ (OR=3.27, 95% CI=1.66-7.09; P=0.001) and ‘I am worried that the HPV vaccine might affect adolescent development’ (OR=2.56, 95% CI=1.39-5.03; P=0.004). Conversely, factors associated with lower acceptance of the HPV vaccine were the presence (in the respondents’ families) of more children in Primary 4 to Primary 6 (OR=0.28, 95% CI=0.12-0.63; P=0.002), a history of discussing STD prevention with their children (OR=0.23, 95% CI=0.08-0.64; P=0.005), receipt of regular seasonal influenza vaccines (OR=0.15, 95% CI=0.04-0.48; P=0.002), child’s receipt of regular seasonal influenza vaccines (OR=0.25, 95% CI=0.08-0.80; P=0.021), and stronger beliefs that ‘my child can be protected from HPV without HPV vaccination’ (OR=0.28, 95% CI=0.11-0.66; P=0.005) [Table 3].
 

Table 3. Associations of variables and acceptance of the human papillomavirus vaccine for children among parents of boys
 
Regarding girls’ parents, 19 study variables were entered into multivariate logistic regression. Higher acceptance of the HPV vaccine for their children was associated with higher monthly household income (OR=4.3, 95% CI=1.95-10.47; P=0.001) and the combined variable ‘worried about HPV infection’ (OR=2.39, 95% CI=1.08-5.73; P=0.038). Older age-group (OR=0.38, 95% CI=0.17-0.82; P=0.018) was the only variable associated with lower acceptance of the HPV vaccine (Table 4).
 

Table 4. Associations of variables and acceptance of the human papillomavirus vaccine for children among parents of girls
 
Discussion
This survey of 844 Hong Kong parents (370 boys’ parents and 474 girls’ parents) revealed high HPV vaccine awareness but relatively low knowledge of HPV and the HPV vaccine. Parents believed the vaccine was safe and effective in preventing HPV infection. Acceptance of the HPV vaccine was lower among boys’ parents than among girls’ parents, and factors associated with acceptance differed between the two parent groups. Differences in socio-demographic characteristics were observed, such that more boys’ parents discussed STDs with their children and had experience with regular seasonal influenza vaccines, the HPV vaccine, and Pap smears.
 
Understanding of human papillomavirus and the vaccine
Although a majority of parents of both sexes had knowledge of the HPV vaccine, their average scores indicated a low overall understanding of HPV and HPV vaccination. This finding is consistent with the results of previous studies, which showed that general knowledge and awareness of HPV among parents in Hong Kong remain low despite some improvement over time.14 15 16 18 19 20 Considering the substantial healthcare burden associated with HPV-related diseases in Hong Kong, there is an urgent need for educational or promotional programmes to enhance vaccine acceptance and uptake.
 
In our study, parents expressed concern about HPV infection and strongly favoured HPV vaccination for their children before the children became sexually active. These beliefs support educational and promotional campaigns targeting the early adolescent age-group.
 
The reported HPV vaccine uptake rate is low in both groups (6.8% in boys and 4.9% in girls). The low vaccine uptake rate reported in girls is particularly alarming considering the recent inclusion of the HPV vaccine in the HKCIP and the high vaccination rate of 85% reported in the 2019/2020 school year.17 Among those parents who reported their children of receiving the HPV vaccine, >90% of them, including boys’ parents, indicated that their children received the vaccine through the HKCIP. This finding provides evidence suggesting insufficient public health campaigns, resulting in a lack of knowledge among parents on the HPV vaccination programme and the HKCIP, subsequently leading to potential confusion among parents.
 
Notably, girls’ parents in our study reported a belief that the HPV vaccine is too expensive, despite the availability of free HPV vaccination through the HKCIP. This finding again reinforces a potential lack of awareness regarding the Programme, possibly due to inadequate dissemination of information during the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic. Similar trends have been observed in other Western countries, where routine vaccinations (including HPV vaccination) were disrupted by the pandemic.21 22 Catch-up vaccination services for affected children should be implemented promptly to prevent future healthcare burdens.23 24 25 26
 
Concern for cost and vaccine safety
This study examined the factors influencing parental acceptance of HPV vaccination for boys and girls. Parents who had more children in Primary 4 to 6 were less likely to accept the vaccine, possibly due to cost concerns. Discussions with children about STD prevention and previous receipt of seasonal flu vaccines did not lead to higher acceptance rates. These findings imply that vaccination is not a common topic in STD prevention campaigns, a point that warrants attention in future educational efforts focused on STD prevention. Intriguingly, parents with greater concern that the HPV vaccine affects adolescent development were more likely to accept it; they also had higher knowledge and awareness of HPV (online supplementary Table 3). This result highlights the need to increase parental understanding of HPV and the HPV vaccine, including efforts to clarify potential misconceptions and mitigate safety concerns.
 
Our data indicate that parental concerns about HPV infection strongly influence vaccine acceptance, whereas concerns about genital warts and HPV-related cancers are less impactful. This discrepancy may be attributed to an optimistic bias, where parents associate HPV complications with promiscuity and believe that their children have low STD risk.18
 
Notably, parents ranked HPV vaccine recommendations from healthcare professionals, relatives and friends, and schools as more important reasons to accept the vaccine, compared with recommendations by health authorities. This result may suggest that government initiatives provide suboptimal education concerning HPV and the HPV vaccine.
 
Barriers to HPV vaccine acceptance include costs and children’s preferences, which may explain the discrepancies between uptake and acceptance. Cost is a well-established barrier to vaccination uptake. However, we note that the vaccine is free for girls in our study population, which highlights the importance of awareness. Health messages to boys’ parents should emphasise the value of HPV vaccination as a long-term investment in their sons’ health.14 Concerns about vaccine safety and adverse effects, as well as a lack of recommendations from healthcare professionals or a lack of general knowledge, may also hinder vaccine acceptance.
 
We found that parental knowledge of HPV and the HPV vaccine significantly influenced decision-making in boys’ parents, indicating that educational campaigns targeting HPV acceptance may be more effective for these parents than for girls’ parents. This difference might be partly related to the feminisation of HPV, especially in Hong Kong. This phenomenon has been observed in a regional qualitative study focusing on men’s perceptions of HPV and HPV vaccination.27 Because the Chinese translation of the HPV vaccine is ‘cervical cancer vaccine’, many boys and men in Hong Kong perceive a low risk of HPV infection.27 28 29 In this context, campaigns or strategies using a fear-based approach to increase the perceived risk of HPV infection may be more effective for boys’ parents.
 
Limitations
This study had several limitations. First, it was a cross-sectional study and thus provided less robust evidence than would be obtained in a longitudinal study. Vaccine acceptance is merely an indicator of potential uptake, and it is unclear whether this acceptance will be translated into action. Second, this study relied on parents to self-report their outcomes, and it lacked the ability to verify information provided by participants. Third, the results may have been influenced by volunteer bias or other selection biases. Because the survey was self-administered, random sampling of the general study population could not be achieved due to intrinsic differences between those who did and did not choose to participate. Volunteer bias may explain the variation in baseline characteristics between boys’ parents and girls’ parents. This bias limits the generalisability of the study results to the broader population. Fourth, the use of previously validated scales or items was limited. Previous studies were used as a reference to construct the survey questionnaire, but questions were not directly adapted. Although such validated measures exist, due to the lack of research regarding HPV and HPV vaccination, no measures have been validated in Hong Kong.30 31
 
One possible future research direction involves conducting longitudinal studies to examine the factors affecting vaccine uptake. These studies can produce stronger evidence and more effectively inform strategies for improved vaccine uptake. Furthermore, because this study only screened for variables involved in parental decision-making, a more thorough investigation could be done to better understand this process. Qualitative studies (eg, involving focus groups or interviews) can provide a more in-depth understanding of parents’ attitudes, perceptions, and decision-making processes regarding HPV vaccination acceptance.
 
Conclusion
This study represents the most extensive local investigation into factors affecting parental acceptance of HPV vaccination in Hong Kong after the implementation of a school-based outreach programme. We found that high awareness of HPV and the HPV vaccine is predictive of vaccine acceptance. To increase vaccination rates among adolescents, we recommend targeted interventions based on the identified factors, including public education for parents and children to raise awareness of HPV risks, the benefits of vaccination for boys, and STD prevention. We also suggest including HPV vaccination for boys in the HKCIP and implementing catch-up vaccination for affected children. Extension of the catch-up programme to school children beyond Primary 6 should be considered to maintain high vaccination rates.
 
Author contributions
All authors (except for PH Wong and EYT So) contributed to the concept or design of the study, acquisition of the data, analysis or interpretation of the data, drafting of the manuscript, and critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content. PH Wong and EYT So contributed to the concept and design of the study questionnaire. All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
PH Wong and EYT So are employees of Merck Sharp and Dohme (Asia) Ltd. Other authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Acknowledgement
The authors thank Dr Ka-yu Tse from the Division of Gynaecology Oncology of the Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology of The University of Hong Kong for review of survey questions.
 
Funding/support
This research was sponsored by Merck Sharp & Dohme LLC, a subsidiary of Merck & Co, Inc (Rahway [NJ], United States) [Ref No.: NIS009837]. The sponsor had no role in collection, analysis, or interpretation of the data, nor did it participate in manuscript preparation.
 
Ethics approval
This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of The University of Hong Kong/Hospital Authority Hong Kong West Cluster, Hong Kong (Ref No.: UW21-574). Participants provided informed consent via the online survey platform before survey completion.
 
Supplementary material
The supplementary material was provided by the authors and some information may not have been peer reviewed. Accepted supplementary material will be published as submitted by the authors, without any editing or formatting. Any opinions or recommendations discussed are solely those of the author(s) and are not endorsed by the Hong Kong Academy of Medicine and the Hong Kong Medical Association. The Hong Kong Academy of Medicine and the Hong Kong Medical Association disclaim all liability and responsibility arising from any reliance placed on the content.
 
References
1. de Martel C, Plummer M, Vignat J, Franceschi S. Worldwide burden of cancer attributable to HPV by site, country and HPV type. Int J Cancer 2017;141:664-70. Crossref
2. Hong Kong Cancer Registry, Hospital Authority, Hong Kong SAR Government. Cervical Cancer in 2017. October 2019. Available from: https://www3.ha.org.hk/cancereg/pdf/factsheet/2017/cx_2017.pdf. Accessed 10 Feb 2022.
3. Centre for Health Protection, Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government. Cervical Cancer. 2024 January 12. Available from: https://www.chp.gov.hk/en/healthtopics/content/25/56.html. Accessed 9 Sep 2024.
4. Lin C, Lau JT, Ho KM, Lau MC, Tsui HY, Lo KK. Incidence of genital warts among the Hong Kong general adult population. BMC Infect Dis 2010;10,272. Crossref
5. Garland SM, Kjaer SK, Muñoz N, et al. Impact and effectiveness of the quadrivalent human papillomavirus vaccine: a systematic review of 10 years of real-world experience. Clin Infect Dis 2016;63:519-27. Crossref
6. World Health Organization. Human papillomavirus vaccines: WHO position paper, May 2017-Recommendations. Vaccine 2017;35:5753-5. Crossref
7. Markowitz LE, Hariri S, Lin C, et al. Reduction in human papillomavirus (HPV) prevalence among young women following HPV vaccine introduction in the United States, National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys, 2003-2010. J Infect Dis 2013;208:385-93. Crossref
8. Elfström KM, Lazzarato F, Franceschi S, Dillner J, Baussano I. Human papillomavirus vaccination of boys and extended catch-up vaccination: effects on the resilience of programs. J Infect Dis 2016;213:199-205. Crossref
9. Lehtinen M, Gray P, Louvanto K, Vänskä S. In 30 years, gender-neutral vaccination eradicates oncogenic human papillomavirus (HPV) types while screening eliminates HPV-associated cancers. Expert Rev Vaccines 2022;21:735-8.Crossref
10. Division of Cancer Epidemiology & Genetics, National Cancer Institute. HPV vaccine may provide men with herd immunity against oral HPV infections. 2019 October 10. Available from: https://dceg.cancer.gov/news-events/news/2019/hpv-vaccine-herd-immunity. Accessed 10 Feb 2022.
11. Kahn JA, Brown DR, Ding L, et al. Vaccine-type human papillomavirus and evidence of herd protection after vaccine introduction. Pediatrics 2012;130:e249-56. Crossref
12. Merriel SW, Nadarzynski T, Kesten JM, Flannagan C, Prue G. ‘Jabs for the boys’: time to deliver on HPV vaccination recommendations. Br J Gen Pract 2018;68:406-7. Crossref
13. Brisson M, Bénard É, Drolet M, et al. Population-level impact, herd immunity, and elimination after human papillomavirus vaccination: a systematic review and meta-analysis of predictions from transmission-dynamic models. Lancet Public Health 2016;1:e8-17. Crossref
14. Wang Z, Wang J, Fang Y, et al. Parental acceptability of HPV vaccination for boys and girls aged 9-13 years in China—a population-based study. Vaccine 2018;36:2657-65. Crossref
15. Li SL, Lau YL, Lam TH, Yip PS, Fan SY, Ip P. HPV vaccination in Hong Kong: uptake and reasons for non-vaccination amongst Chinese adolescent girls. Vaccine 2013;31:5785-8. Crossref
16. Choi HC, Leung GM, Woo PP, Jit M, Wu JT. Acceptability and uptake of female adolescent HPV vaccination in Hong Kong: a survey of mothers and adolescents. Vaccine 2013;32:78-84. Crossref
17. Hong Kong SAR Government. LCQ10: human papillomavirus vaccination programme. 2021 January 20. Available from: https://www.info.gov.hk/gia/general/202101/20/P2021012000507.htm. Accessed 13 Feb 2022.
18. Wang LD, Lam WW, Fielding R. Determinants of human papillomavirus vaccination uptake among adolescent girls: a theory-based longitudinal study among Hong Kong Chinese parents. Prev Med 2017;102:24-30. Crossref
19. Jones CL, Jensen JD, Scherr CL, Brown NR, Christy K, Weaver J. The Health Belief Model as an explanatory framework in communication research: exploring parallel, serial, and moderated mediation. Health Comm 2015;30:566-76. Crossref
20. Chen JM, Leung DY. Factors associated with human papillomavirus vaccination among Chinese female university students in Hong Kong. Am Int J Soc Sci 2014;3:56-62.
21. Silva TM, Nogueira de Sá AC, Beinner MA, et al. Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on human papillomavirus vaccination in Brazil. Int J Public Health 2022;67:1604224. Crossref
22. Damgacioglu H, Sonawane K, Chhatwal J, et al. Long-term impact of HPV vaccination and COVID-19 pandemic on oropharyngeal cancer incidence and burden among men in the USA: a modeling study. Lancet Reg Health Am 2022;8:100143. Crossref
23. Shet A, Carr K, Danovaro-Holliday MC, et al. Impact of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic on routine immunisation services: evidence of disruption and recovery from 170 countries and territories. Lancet Glob Health 2022;10:e186-94. Crossref
24. Ryan G, Gilbert PA, Ashida S, Charlton ME, Scherer A, Askelson NM. Challenges to adolescent HPV vaccination and implementation of evidence-based interventions to promote vaccine uptake during the COVID-19 pandemic: “HPV is probably not at the top of our list”. Prev Chronic Dis 2022;19:E15. Crossref
25. Ogilvie GS, Remple VP, Marra F, et al. Intention of parents to have male children vaccinated with the human papillomavirus vaccine. Sex Transm Infect 2008;84:318-23. Crossref
26. Karafillakis E, Simas C, Jarrett C, et al. HPV vaccination in a context of public mistrust and uncertainty: a systematic literature review of determinants of HPV vaccine hesitancy in Europe. Hum Vaccin Immunother 2019;15:1615-27. Crossref
27. Siu JY, Fung TK, Leung LH. Barriers to receiving HPV vaccination among men in a Chinese community: a qualitative study in Hong Kong. Am J Mens Health 2019;13:1557988319831912. Crossref
28. Holman DM, Benard V, Roland KB, Watson M, Liddon N, Stokley S. Barriers to human papillomavirus vaccination among US adolescents: a systematic review of the literature. JAMA Pediatr 2014;168:76-82. Crossref
29. Trim K, Nagji N, Elit L, Roy K. Parental knowledge, attitudes, and behaviours towards human papillomavirus vaccination for their children: a systematic review from 2001 to 2011. Obstet Gynecol Int 2012;2012:921236. Crossref
30. Waller J, Ostini R, Marlow LA, McCaffery K, Zimet G. Validation of a measure of knowledge about human papillomavirus (HPV) using item response theory and classical test theory. Prev Med 2013;56:35-40. Crossref
31. Perez S, Tatar O, Ostini R, et al. Extending and validating a human papillomavirus (HPV) knowledge measure in a national sample of Canadian parents of boys. Prev Med 2016;91:43-9. Crossref

Prevalence and severity of asthma among school children in Hong Kong

© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Prevalence and severity of asthma among school children in Hong Kong
James Wesley CH Cheng, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)1; YP Tsang, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)1; YY Lam, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)1; Ashleigh KY Chu, MB, BS, MRCPCH1; Christina SY Ng, BSc2; Celia HY Chan, BSSc, PhD3; YL Fung, MAP, PhD2; Priscilla SY Chau, BSc2; David CK Luk, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)1
1 Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, United Christian Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
2 Department of Social Work and Social Administration, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
3 Department of Social Work, Melbourne School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, Dentistry, and Health Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
 
Corresponding author: Dr James Wesley CH Cheng (cch278@ha.org.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: This study presents contemporary epidemiological data regarding the prevalence and severity of asthma and wheezing among children in Hong Kong, which provides an update to the results of the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) conducted in 1994-1995 and 2001-2003.
 
Methods: This cross-sectional investigation was based on the ISAAC study protocol. Responses from 1100 children aged 6 to 7 years (Primary 1-2) and 1048 children aged 13 to 14 years (Secondary 2-3) in Hong Kong between September 2020 and August 2021 were analysed. Sex differences within each age-group were assessed using Chi squared and independent t tests. Demographic information was entered into hierarchical logistic regression models to identify potential predictive factors associated with asthma severity. Annual change in prevalence was calculated via division of the prevalence by the number of years between surveys. Logistic regression modelling was conducted to identify risk factors associated with asthma severity.
 
Results: The prevalences of current wheezing were 6.19% and 4.97% in the primary and secondary school groups, respectively. The prevalences of asthma ever were 5.55% and 6.12%, whereas those of wheezing ever were 20.38% and 12.05%, in the primary and secondary school groups, respectively.
 
Conclusion: Asthma severity and prevalence have decreased in Hong Kong since 1994-1995. A follow-up study will explore the protective and risk factors contributing to these trends.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Epidemiological data for asthma and wheezing among Hong Kong children have not been updated in 25 years.
  • Our cross-sectional study, based on the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood protocol, showed that the prevalences of asthma ever were 5.55% and 6.12% in the primary and secondary school groups, respectively; the corresponding prevalences of current wheezing were 6.19% and 4.97%.
  • This study revealed decreases in asthma severity and prevalence among Hong Kong children since 1994-1995.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • These findings provide essential epidemiological data for research and policy-making in Hong Kong and Asia.
  • Understanding the prevalence and severity of asthma will help estimate the associated budget for taking care of this group of patients.
 
 
Introduction
The International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) is considered a landmark international investigation of the global burden of three major atopic diseases—asthma, allergic rhinitis, and eczema1 2 3 4—utilising standardised methodology to enable accurate estimation of prevalence trends in allergic diseases. Phase One examined the prevalence and severity of the three diseases in 1994-1995, Phase Two investigated the corresponding risk factors, and Phase Three constituted a follow-up study examining global prevalence and severity trends in 2001-2003.1 2 4 The Global Asthma Network updated global burden information using data from 27 Global Asthma Network Centres in 14 countries in 2017-2020,3 but Hong Kong data were excluded from that study.
 
Asthma remains a major medical burden responsible for nearly 500 000 deaths in 20175 and substantial direct, indirect, and intangible costs,6 ranging from mortality and hospitalisations to school- or work-related loss (in the form of absenteeism from school or loss of working days), and quality of life impairments. Thus, accurate and current asthma prevalence data are essential for guiding public health initiatives and formulating healthcare policies. Recent estimates suggest global asthma prevalences of 9.1% in children, 11.0% in adolescents, and 6.6% in adults7; asthma is often cited as the most common chronic disease in children.6
 
Trends regarding the three major atopic diseases have considerably varied among countries and regions since 1994-1995. Asthma has shown the greatest variation, peaking in some countries but continuing to increase in others, especially developing countries.2 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Most studies of asthma prevalence were conducted before the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, and statistics considerably differ even within the same region. In 2019, a large-scale study examining the global adult and paediatric prevalences of asthma in >200 territories showed a 24% decrease in age-standardised point prevalence in most countries5; however, increases were observed in Oman, Saudi Arabia, and Vietnam.5 This discrepancy highlights the need for further investigation of the risk and protective factors for asthma in modern societies.
 
Hong Kong is an urban-centric port city in southeast China with a unique blend of Chinese and international influences, which have led to trends that considerably differ from those of neighbouring regions.17 Cultural practices17 18 19 and urbanisation (eg, cooking methods, joss stick burning, and high population density in urban areas)9 17 20 21 increase the complexity involved in estimating asthma prevalence within Hong Kong based on data from neighbouring regions. This study presents contemporary epidemiological data regarding the prevalence and severity of asthma and wheezing among children in Hong Kong, which provides an update to the results of the ISAAC conducted in 1994-1995 and 2001-2003.
 
Methods
Study design
This cross-sectional study, based on the ISAAC study protocol,2 was performed using traditional Chinese versions of the validated ISSAC measurements.22
 
Participants
In total, 2148 children aged 6 to 7 years or 13 to 14 years residing in Hong Kong were recruited from primary and secondary schools between September 2020 and August 2021. Inclusion criteria for children were enrolment in Primary 1-2 (Grades 1-2) or Secondary 2-3 (Grades 8-9) in Hong Kong and parental provision of informed consent to participate. The primary caregiver of the student (for the primary school group) or the student himself/herself (for the secondary school group) was asked to complete questionnaires in accordance with the ISAAC protocol. Only written questionnaires were used, considering reports of high agreement with their video counterparts.23 24 Inclusion criteria for parents were: (1) being either the father or mother of the child, (2) bearing primary responsibility for the child’s care for ≥6 months, and (3) provision of informed consent to participate. Exclusion criteria for parents and children were the presence of a learning disability or organic disorder that would impair the ability to understand and respond to the questionnaires, and inability to understand Chinese. Additionally, children attending Special Educational Needs schools were excluded.
 
Sampling
All schools in Hong Kong (n=900) were invited by phone and mail to participate in the survey. Contact persons were identified in each school. The investigators made at least three attempts per school (by phone, mail and/or email) to obtain responses from participating students. A target sample size of 1000 to 3000 participants was established, in accordance with the ISAAC study protocol.2
 
Measurements
Questions were adopted from the ISAAC study protocol, and disease definitions were based on the original ISAAC Phase Three questionnaire and handbook.2 ‘Current severe asthma’ was defined as affirmative responses to one or more of the following items in the past 12 months: (1) ≥4 wheezing episodes, (2) woken from sleep by wheezing ≥1 night per week, or (3) limitation of speech during wheezing. Other questions and their definitions adhered to the standardised ISAAC Coding and Data Transfer Manual2 22 to ensure comparability with previous studies utilising the ISAAC protocol.
 
Statistical analysis
Descriptive statistics, including means and standard deviations, were used for continuous variables; frequency distributions were used for categorical variables. Sex differences within each age-group were assessed using Chi squared and independent t tests. Demographic information was entered into hierarchical logistic regression models to identify potential predictive factors associated with asthma severity. Annual change in prevalence was calculated via division of the prevalence by the number of years between surveys. Logistic regression modelling was conducted to identify risk factors associated with asthma severity. Potential risk factors included parent gender, parent education, and household monthly income. All analyses were performed using SPSS software (Windows version 26.0; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], United States). P values <0.05 were considered statistically significant.
 
Results
Demographic characteristics
Nineteen primary schools and 25 secondary schools accepted the invitation to participate, representing 3748 and 5771 eligible students in the respective groups. Overall, 1970 (52.6%) questionnaires were returned for the primary school group, whereas 1968 (34.1%) questionnaires were returned for the secondary school group; 1100 and 1048 questionnaires were analysed in the respective groups after exclusion due to invalid consent, incomplete data, or ineligibility (Fig). Boys comprised 62.51% and 42.64% of the primary and secondary school groups, respectively (Tables 1 and 2). The mean ages were 7.02 years (standard deviation [SD]=0.76) in the primary school group and 14.09 years (SD=0.89) in the secondary school group.
 

Figure. Study design and response
 

Table 1. Overall and gender-specific prevalences of wheezing symptoms among primary school children
 

Table 2. Overall and gender-specific prevalences of wheezing symptoms among secondary school children
 
Asthma symptoms
The estimated prevalences of current wheezing were 6.19% and 4.97% in the primary school and secondary school groups, respectively. The respective prevalences of exercise-induced wheezing and night cough were 7.46% and 16.74% in the primary school group and 17.88% and 10.61% in the secondary school group (Tables 1 and 2).
 
The prevalences of asthma ever were 5.55% and 6.12% in the primary school and secondary school groups, respectively; significantly more boys reported asthma ever in the secondary school group. The prevalences of bronchial hypersensitivity ever were 33.03% and 11.09% in the primary and secondary school groups, respectively (Tables 1, 2, 3). In total, 85.25% and 78.13% of primary and secondary school participants with asthma exhibited comorbid eczema and/or allergic rhinitis, respectively (Table 4)
 

Table 3. Comparison of asthma symptom prevalences between primary school children and secondary school children
 

Table 4. Comorbid atopic diseases in primary and secondary school children with asthma
 
Indicators of severe asthma were also examined. The incidences of ≥4 wheezing episodes in the past year were 2.18% (boys vs girls: 3.20% vs 0.49%) in the primary school group and 1.91% (boys vs girls: 2.24% vs 1.67%) in the secondary school group. Severe wheezing that limited speech in the past year was reported by 0.64% and 1.43% of participants in the primary and secondary school groups, respectively. Waking from sleep due to wheezing in the past year occurred in 2.82% and 1.24% of participants in the primary and secondary school groups, respectively. Hospitalisation due to shortness of breath was reported by 7.37% (boys vs girls: 8.30% vs 5.83%) and 4.30% (boys vs girls: 4.93% vs 3.83%) of participants in the primary and secondary school groups, respectively (Tables 1 and 2). The mean ages of wheezing onset in the primary and secondary school groups were 2.37 years (SD=1.52) and 7.16 years (SD=4.38), respectively.
 
Comparison with the 1994-1995 and 2000-2001 data in Hong Kong
Compared with the previous Hong Kong ISAAC data,1 25 26 27 the prevalence of wheezing ever increased from 16.80%26 in 1994-1995 to 20.38% in the primary school group but decreased from 20%25 to 12.05% in the secondary school group. Conversely, the prevalence of asthma ever decreased from 7.80%26 to 5.55% in the primary school group and from 11%26 to 6.12% in the secondary school group. The prevalence of wheezing in the past year decreased from 9.20% in 1994-199526 and 9.40% in 2000-200127 to 6.19% in our study (2020-2021) in the primary school group; it decreased from 12% in 1994-1995 to 4.97% in our study in the secondary school group. The annual changes in wheezing prevalence were -0.16% and -0.27% in the primary and secondary school groups, respectively. The aforementioned indicators of severe asthma, including ≥4 wheezing episodes in the past year and severe wheezing that limited speech in the past year, decreased in prevalence compared with the 1994-1995 figures. However, the prevalence of waking from sleep due to wheezing in the past year decreased in the primary group and increased in the secondary school group (Table 5).
 

Table 5. Trends in prevalence and severity of asthma symptoms among primary and secondary school children
 
Overall, both the prevalence and severity of asthma declined compared with the 1994-1995 data. We observed a statistically significant male predominance for wheezing ever (P=0.003), current wheezing (P=0.012), and bronchial hypersensitivity diagnosis (P=0.002) in the primary school group (Table 1), as well as for asthma ever in the secondary school group (P=0.005) [Table 2].
 
In the logistic regression model, demographic characteristics, including parent gender, household income, and parent education, were not significantly predictive of wheezing episodes in the past year. Hierarchical logistic regression using demographic characteristics along with concomitant current eczema and rhinitis also did not show significantly predictive effects for wheezing episodes in the past year.
 
Discussion
This is the first study since 2001 to investigate trends in asthma prevalence and severity among school children in Hong Kong. The global variability in these trends is complicated by the lack of consensus regarding exact definitions of asthma entities, the heterogeneity of the disease itself, changes in community awareness, the absence of a ‘gold standard’ diagnostic test, and the non-specific nature of symptoms shared with other diagnoses.13 This study showed a decrease in asthma prevalence, consistent with findings from the neighbouring region of Taiwan.11
 
Global trends in asthma prevalence and severity
The 2020 study by Asher et al4 investigating international symptom trends showed annual current asthma prevalence increases of 0.06% in the secondary school group (from 13.2% to 13.7%) and 0.13% in the primary school group (from 11.1% to 11.6%), and increases in the prevalence of asthma ever by 0.18% and 0.28% in the primary and secondary school groups, respectively. However, trends varied across regions; in general, asthma prevalence decreased in higher-income regions but increased in low- and middle-income regions. Considering that Hong Kong exhibits higher levels of income and gross domestic product per capita, it is unsurprising that the local asthma prevalences showed a decreasing trend.
 
A decrease in asthma severity was also observed in most regions, reflected by the three indicators of severe asthma in our study and parameters such as asthma-related hospital admissions and mortality. These findings suggest that, regardless of overall asthma trends, milder forms of asthma have become more prevalent in recent years.7 28 Our study revealed similar trends in terms of fewer severe asthmatic exacerbations and flares. However, according to the ISAAC protocol, centres with 1000 to 2999 participants are considered appropriate for comparisons of prevalence, but not severity, with centres in other regions.2
 
Age
Safiri et al5 identified the highest asthma prevalence among 5- to 9-year-olds, which then decreased and remained stable until adulthood. A proportion of young children with wheezing may have ‘transient wheezing’ that does not progress to asthma.4 This notion is consistent with our finding of less frequent symptoms in the past year among older children.5 The prevailing view is that approximately 50% of preschool children with wheezing will progress to asthma by the time of primary school entry.4 The prevalences of 12.05% and 6.12% for wheezing ever and asthma ever observed in our secondary school group are consistent with this view.
 
Sex
Our results showed a male predominance for asthma and wheezing in the primary school group, consistent with existing literature.29 Various mechanisms have been proposed to explain the post-pubertal shift towards female predominance due to sex hormone changes, genetic and epigenetic differences, co-morbidities, and socio-economic factors.14 The significantly older age of wheezing onset reported in the secondary school group, along with the lower prevalence of wheezing ever in the secondary school group, may be attributable to recall bias due to the use of questionnaires, a limitation noted in other studies.30
 
Co-morbidities and exposure
Co-morbidities with other atopic diseases were common among our asthma participants; most participants in both groups had concomitant atopic dermatitis, allergic rhinitis, and asthma, consistent with previous reports.8 16 Otherwise, our study did not identify relevant demographic characteristics or risk factors through statistical analysis that could predict wheezing episodes. Many studies have investigated various factors potentially associated with asthma diagnosis, wheezing, exercise-induced symptoms, and nocturnal cough. These factors include, but are not limited to, family history, recurrent respiratory infections, early-life severe respiratory syncytial virus infection, exposure to cigarette smoke, exposure to pets, incense burning, maternal education level, sex, race, vaccination rates, humidity, air pollution index (particulate matter) and exposure (particularly nitrogen dioxide and sulphur dioxide), exposure to indoor mould, farm residence, exposure to indoor endotoxins, socio-economic status, obesity, open fire cooking, nutritional levels, neonatal antibiotic use, delivery mode, urban living environment, psychosocial environment (including maternal stress), current paracetamol use, maternal antibiotic use during pregnancy, maternal vitamin D consumption during pregnancy, maternal weight gain during pregnancy, maternal paracetamol use during pregnancy, proton-pump inhibitor and H2-receptor antagonist use, and new immigrant status.2 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 29 The next phase of our study will examine these predictive or protective factors; it will also explore risk factors unique to our population, including cultural perceptions,18 feeding and weaning practices,19 31 joss stick burning,15 and exposure to traditional Chinese herbal medicine.32 33
 
Strengths and limitations
Study design and population demographics
Due to its survey approach, this study has limitations of recall bias and cross-sectional design. The estimations of symptom prevalence also lack objective confirmation through medical assessments and objective tests, which could lead to over- or underestimation of the asthmatic population; this aspect is further complicated by diagnostic discrepancies among medical professionals across regions and time periods.4 34 Although our study population exceeded 1000 students per group, it was smaller than the original Hong Kong ISAAC studies, which included >300026 and 400025 participants, respectively. The paediatric population size has also significantly changed, according to the Hong Kong Population Census data: 86 000 13- to 14-year-olds in 1994 compared with 61 800 in 2021.35 The male-to-female ratio of 1.67 and 0.74 in the primary and secondary school groups, respectively, differed from the 2021 census figures (1.063 and 1.067, respectively)35; therefore, our findings may not reflect the true prevalence and severity of asthma in the Hong Kong paediatric population, which represents a key limitation of the study. Although the ISAAC protocol acknowledges the impracticality of video questionnaires due to logistic or technical factors,2 exclusive use of the written questionnaire may have impacted our results; notably, a study has shown that video and written questionnaires are comparable.23 The relatively large population size and the use of validated and standardised questionnaires may partially mitigate these limitations.
 
Response rates
In this study, response rates were lower than in the previous ISAAC studies (where rates >80% for most centres),36 likely due to ‘survey fatigue’ and challenges in motivating participants during the COVID-19 pandemic. Similarly low response rates were observed in studies requesting parental completion of home questionnaires.37 Although no significant differences in airway disease or symptom prevalences have been identified between non-responders and responders,38 the lower response rates may have introduced selection bias into our study.
 
Physician practices
The increased prevalence of wheezing ever in the primary school group, decreased prevalence of wheezing ever in the secondary school group, decreased prevalences of asthma ever in both groups, and decreased symptom severity all reflect enhanced awareness and modified diagnostic practices among the general population and medical professionals.4 11 13 Doctors are less likely to classify patients as ‘asthmatic’ without collecting a thorough clinical history and performing diagnostic testing, leading to a larger difference in the prevalences of wheezing and asthma.11 13
 
Coronavirus disease 2019 policies
The local COVID-19 policy, commonly known as the mask mandate, along with social isolation, increased awareness of infection control, changes in drug compliance, and enhanced hygiene practices, may have significantly reduced triggers for infectious and allergic airway diseases.39 40 However, mechanisms linking COVID-19 to severe asthma risk have also been proposed.41 These policies and social practices may explain the overall decreases in asthma prevalence and severity observed in our study. The timing of the study coincided with the COVID-19 pandemic, where the modified local health practices may have influenced trends concerning current asthma and airway symptoms.
 
Conclusion
This study provides an essential update regarding the prevalences of asthma and other respiratory symptoms among school children in Hong Kong. Our findings indicate overall decreasing trends in asthma severity and prevalence. A follow-up study will explore the protective and risk factors contributing to these trends.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design: JWCH Cheng, YP Tsang, YY Lam, AKY Chu, CHY Chan, YL Fung, PSY Chau, DCK Luk.
Acquisition of data: All authors.
Analysis or interpretation of data: All authors.
Drafting of the manuscript: JWCH Cheng, CSY Ng.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: JWCH Cheng, CSY Ng, CHY Chan, YL Fung.
 
All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Acknowledgement
The authors thank all the children and their families for their participation in this research.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethics approval
This research was approved by the Human Research Ethics Committee of The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong (Ref No.: EA2002007). All study participants provided written consent for publication of their data which were de-identified in this article.
 
References
1. Asher MI, Montefort S, Björkstén B, et al. Worldwide time trends in the prevalence of symptoms of asthma, allergic rhinoconjunctivitis, and eczema in childhood: ISAAC Phases One and Three repeat multicountry cross-sectional surveys. Lancet 2006;368:733-43. Crossref
2. Asher MI, Keil U, Anderson HR, et al. International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC): rationale and methods. Eur Respir J 1995;8:483-91. Crossref
3. Asher MI, Rutter CE, Bissell K, et al. Worldwide trends in the burden of asthma symptoms in school-aged children: Global Asthma Network Phase I cross-sectional study. Lancet 2021;398:1569-80. Crossref
4. Asher MI, García-Marcos L, Pearce NE, Strachan DP. Trends in worldwide asthma prevalence. Eur Respir J 2020;56:2002094. Crossref
5. Safiri S, Carson-Chahhoud K, Karamzad N, et al. Prevalence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years due to asthma and its attributable risk factors in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019. Chest 2022;161:318-29. Crossref
6. Ferrante G, La Grutta S. The burden of pediatric asthma. Front Pediatr 2018;6:186. Crossref
7. The Global Asthma Report 2022 [editorial]. Int J Tuberc Lung Dis 2022;26(Suppl 1):1-104 Crossref
8. Kansen HM, Le TM, Uiterwaal C, et al. Prevalence and predictors of uncontrolled asthma in children referred for asthma and other atopic diseases. J Asthma Allergy 2020;13:67-75. Crossref
9. Rodriguez A, Brickley E, Rodrigues L, Normansell RA, Barreto M, Cooper PJ. Urbanisation and asthma in low-income and middle-income countries: a systematic review of the urban–rural differences in asthma prevalence. Thorax 2019;74:1020-30.Crossref
10. Castro-Rodriguez JA, Forno E, Rodriguez-Martinez CE, Celedón JC. Risk and protective factors for childhood asthma: what is the evidence? J Allergy Clin Immunol Pract 2016;4:1111-22. Crossref
11. Chen WY, Lin CW, Lee J, Chen PS, Tsai HJ, Wang JY. Decreasing ten-year (2008-2018) trends of the prevalence of childhood asthma and air pollution in Southern Taiwan. World Allergy Organ J 2021;14:100538. Crossref
12. Akinbami LJ, Simon AE, Rossen LM. Changing trends in asthma prevalence among children. Pediatrics 2016;137:1-7. Crossref
13. Sears MR. Trends in the prevalence of asthma. Chest 2014;145:219-25. Crossref
14. Chowdhury NU, Guntur VP, Newcomb DC, Wechsler ME. Sex and gender in asthma. Eur Respir Rev 2021;30:210067. Crossref
15. Lin TC, Krishnaswamy G, Chi DS. Incense smoke: clinical, structural and molecular effects on airway disease. Clin Mol Allergy 2008;6:3. Crossref
16. Arasi S, Porcaro F, Cutrera R, Fiocchi AG. Severe asthma and allergy: a pediatric perspective. Front Pediatr 2019;7:28. Crossref
17. Wong GW, Ko FW, Hui DS, et al. Factors associated with difference in prevalence of asthma in children from three cities in China: multicentre epidemiological survey. BMJ 2004;329:486. Crossref
18. Leo HL, Wang A, Gong M, Clark N. Cultural perceptions on identification and treatment of childhood asthma in the US and China. J Allergy Clin Immunol 2006;117 Suppl:S53. Crossref
19. Mihrshahi S, Ampon R, Webb K, et al. The association between infant feeding practices and subsequent atopy among children with a family history of asthma. Clin Exp Allergy 2007;37:671-9. Crossref
20. Wong GW, Brunekreef B, Ellwood P, et al. Cooking fuels and prevalence of asthma: a global analysis of phase three of the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC). Lancet Respir Med 2013;1:386-94. Crossref
21. Asher MI. Urbanisation, asthma and allergies. Thorax 2011;66:1025-6. Crossref
22. Chan HH, Pei A, Van Krevel C, Wong GW, Lai CK. Validation of the Chinese translated version of ISAAC core questions for atopic eczema. Clin Exp Allergy 2001;31:903-7. Crossref
23. Lai CK, Chan JK, Chan A, et al. Comparison of the ISAAC video questionnaire (AVQ3.0) with the ISAAC written questionnaire for estimating asthma associated with bronchial hyperreactivity. Clin Exp Allergy 1997;27:540-5. Crossref
24. Becerir T, Akcay A, Duksal F, Ergin A, Becerir C, Guler N. Prevalence of asthma, local risk factors and agreement between written and video questionnaires among Turkish adolescents. Allergol Immunopathol (Madr) 2014;42:594-602. Crossref
25. Leung R, Wong G, Lau J, et al. Prevalence of asthma and allergy in Hong Kong schoolchildren: an ISAAC study. Eur Respir J 1997;10:354-60. Crossref
26. Lau YL, Karlberg J. Prevalence and risk factors of childhood asthma, rhinitis and eczema in Hong Kong. J Paediatr Child Health 1998;34:47-52. Crossref
27. Lee SL, Wong W, Lau YL. Increasing prevalence of allergic rhinitis but not asthma among children in Hong Kong from 1995 to 2001 (Phase 3 International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood). Pediatr Allergy Immunol 2004;15:72-8. Crossref
28. Ebmeier S, Thayabaran D, Braithwaite I, Bénamara C, Weatherall M, Beasley R. Trends in international asthma mortality: analysis of data from the WHO Mortality Database from 46 countries (1993-2012). Lancet 2017;390:935-45. Crossref
29. Estela DB, Arturo B, Nayely RN, et al. Have asthma symptoms in Mexico changed in the past 15 years? Time trends from the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood to the Global Asthma Network. Allergol Immunopathol (Madr) 2021;49:1-10. Crossref
30. Strachan DP. The prevalence and natural history of wheezing in early childhood. J R Coll Gen Pract 1985;35:182-4.
31. Yung J, Yuen JW, Ou Y, Loke AY. Factors associated with atopy in toddlers: a case-control study. Int J Environ Res Public Health 2015;12:2501-20. Crossref
32. Li XM. Traditional Chinese herbal remedies for asthma and food allergy. J Allergy Clin Immunol 2007;120:25-31. Crossref
33. Li XM, Brown L. Efficacy and mechanisms of action of traditional Chinese medicines for treating asthma and allergy. J Allergy Clin Immunol 2009;123:297-306; quiz 307-8. Crossref
34. Hederos CA, Hasselgren M, Hedlin G, Bornehag CG. Comparison of clinically diagnosed asthma with parental assessment of children’s asthma in a questionnaire. Pediatr Allergy Immunol 2007;18:135-41. Crossref
35. Census and Statistics Department, Hong Kong SAR Government. Population estimates. Table 110-01002: Population by sex and age. Available from: https://www.censtatd.gov.hk/en/web_table.html?id=110-01002#. Accessed 14 Oct 2024.
36. Worldwide variations in the prevalence of asthma symptoms: the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC). Eur Respir J 1998;12:315-35. Crossref
37. Ellwood P, Ellwood E, Rutter C, et al. Global Asthma Network Phase I surveillance: geographical coverage and response rates. J Clin Med 2020;9:3688. Crossref
38. Rönmark EP, Ekerljung L, Lötvall J, Torén K, Rönmark E, Lundbäck B. Large scale questionnaire survey on respiratory health in Sweden: effects of late- and nonresponse. Respir Med 2009;103:1807-15. Crossref
39. Izquierdo-Domínguez A, Rojas-Lechuga MJ, Alobid I. Management of allergic diseases during COVID-19 outbreak. Curr Allergy Asthma Rep 2021;21:8. Crossref
40. Carr TF, Kraft M. Asthma and atopy in COVID-19: 2021 updates. J Allergy Clin Immunol 2022;149:562-4. Crossref
41. Hosoki K, Chakraborty A, Sur S. Molecular mechanisms and epidemiology of COVID-19 from an allergist’s perspective. J Allergy Clin Immunol 2020;146:285-99. Crossref

Validation of diagnostic coding for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in an electronic health record system in Hong Kong

Hong Kong Med J 2024 Oct;30(5):380–5 | Epub 29 Aug 2024
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Validation of diagnostic coding for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in an electronic health record system in Hong Kong
WC Kwok, MB, BS, FHKAM (Medicine)1; Terence CC Tam, MB, BS, FHKAM (Medicine)1; CW Sing, PhD2; Esther WY Chan, PhD2; CL Cheung, PhD2
1 Department of Medicine, Queen Mary Hospital, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
2 Department of Pharmacology and Pharmacy, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
 
Corresponding author: Dr WC Kwok (kwokwch@hku.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Electronic health record databases can facilitate epidemiology research regarding diseases such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), a common medical condition worldwide. We aimed to assess the validity of International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision (ICD-9) code algorithms for identifying COPD in Hong Kong’s territory-wide electronic health record system, the Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System (CDARS).
 
Methods: Adult patients diagnosed with COPD at all public hospitals in Hong Kong and specifically at Queen Mary Hospital from 2011 to 2020 were identified using the ICD-9 code 496 (Chronic airway obstruction, not elsewhere classified) within the CDARS. Two respiratory specialists reviewed clinical records and spirometry results to confirm the presence of COPD in a randomly selected group of cases.
 
Results: During the study period, 93 971 and 2479 patients had the diagnostic code for COPD at all public hospitals in Hong Kong and specifically at Queen Mary Hospital, respectively. Two hundred cases were randomly selected from Queen Mary Hospital for validation using medical records and spirometry results. The overall positive predictive value was 81.5% (95% confidence interval=76.1%-86.9%). We also developed an algorithm to identify COPD cases in our cohort.
 
Conclusion: This study represents the first validation of ICD-9 coding for COPD in the CDARS. Our findings demonstrated that the ICD-9 code 496 is a reliable indicator for identifying COPD cases, supporting the use of the CDARS database for further clinical research concerning COPD.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • This is the first validation study of International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision (ICD-9) coding for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in the Hong Kong Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System (CDARS).
  • The ICD-9 code 496 demonstrated a high positive predictive value for identifying COPD cases in the CDARS.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • This study established an algorithm for identifying COPD cases in the CDARS.
  • The findings provide a basis for territory-wide analysis of COPD in Hong Kong.
 
 
Introduction
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a chronic inflammatory lung disease characterised by airflow limitation, which causes symptoms such as difficulty breathing, productive cough, and wheezing. Smoking is the primary risk factor for COPD development.1 Patients with COPD experience gradual deterioration of lung function, with potential intermittent exacerbations.
 
Although COPD is preventable and manageable, it was ranked as the fourth leading cause of death worldwide in the 2019 Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease guidelines.2 The Global Burden of Disease Study estimated that there were 3.2 million COPD-related deaths in 2015, an increase of 11.6% compared with 1990.3 The prevalence of COPD also increased by 44.2% during the same period, reaching 174.5 million cases in 2015.3 In Hong Kong, the Population Health Survey 2014/15 revealed that 0.5% (0.6% in male individuals; 0.4% in female individuals) of non-institutionalised persons aged ≥15 years had physician-diagnosed COPD.4
 
The prevalence of COPD in Hong Kong among adults aged ≥60 years is 25.9% or 12.4%, depending on the spirometric criteria used (post-bronchodilator ratio of forced expiratory volume in 1 second to forced vital capacity [ie, FEV1/FVC ratio] <70% or lower limit of normal).5 In 2005, the crude mortality rate for COPD was 29.1 per 100 000 population, whereas the crude hospitalisation rate was 193 per 100 000 population.6 From January 2017 to December 2020, there were 78 693 admissions for COPD across all public hospitals in Hong Kong.7 8
 
Population-based or large database studies are valuable for understanding the epidemiology, clinical characteristics, and burden of COPD.9 10 11 12 13 14 15 In countries/regions with electronic health record (EHR) systems, the EHR databases offer extensive information for clinical management, research, and big data analysis of various diseases, including COPD. Studies in the US and the United Kingdom have validated diagnostic codes for COPD and acute exacerbation of COPD. A study of the diagnostic code for COPD in the US showed a positive predictive value (PPV) of 91.7%, sensitivity of 71.7%, and specificity of 94.4%.16 In the United Kingdom, the diagnostic code for acute exacerbation of COPD had a PPV of 85.5% and sensitivity of 62.9%.17 Electronic health records typically contain diagnostic information, associated morbidity and mortality data, and possible longitudinal follow-up data, allowing the evaluation of COPD trends and associated health outcomes. Before research can be conducted using EHR data, the diagnostic coding must be validated. The Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System (CDARS), an EHR database managed by the Hospital Authority (HA; a public healthcare service provider that manages 43 hospitals/institutions and 123 outpatient clinics18), has covered >90% of the Hong Kong population since 1993. The CDARS captures medical information including diagnoses, drug prescriptions, demographics, admissions, medical procedures, and laboratory results. Although the accuracy of diagnostic coding has been demonstrated for some conditions in Hong Kong,19 20 21 it has not been validated for COPD. In this study, we aimed to assess the validity of International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision (ICD-9) code algorithms for identifying COPD in the CDARS.
 
Methods
This study was conducted at Queen Mary Hospital (QMH), a territory-wide tertiary and quaternary referral centre under HA for advanced medical services and respiratory diseases. All medical information regarding its patients is captured within the CDARS.
 
Firstly, all adult patients aged ≥40 years with a principal diagnosis of COPD in HA from 1 January 2011 to 31 December 2020 were identified through the CDARS. Then, in the ICD-9 coding validation session, it included adult patients aged ≥40 years with a principal diagnosis of COPD recorded at QMH from 1 January 2011 to 31 December 2020. Potential COPD cases in the CDARS were initially identified using the ICD-9 code 496 (Chronic airway obstruction, not elsewhere classified). Cases with a secondary diagnosis of ICD-9 code 493 (Asthma; indicating potential asthma-COPD overlap [ACO] or asthma) were excluded. The clinical information and spirometry results for all potential COPD cases during the study period were retrieved for validation from the CDARS. The algorithm used for case identification is depicted in Figure 1.
 

Figure 1. Algorithm for identifying chronic obstructive pulmonary disease cases in the Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System
 
Among potential cases identified in the QMH cohort, 200 were randomly selected for validation. Case validation was performed by two respiratory specialists, based on the clinical information, spirometry results, physician notes, and clinical examination reports. A potential COPD case was regarded as true positive if the specialist concluded that the patient had definite COPD according to the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease guidelines.22 A valid case was defined as the presence of symptoms compatible with COPD, along with spirometry results demonstrating airflow limitation (ie, FEV1/FVC ratio <0.7) that could not be fully reversed by the administration of an inhaled bronchodilator. Potential cases not meeting these criteria were regarded as false positive. Patients without spirometry data were excluded from the case validation process. The flow of patient selection is illustrated in Figure 1.
 
The PPV was computed to assess the validity of COPD diagnostic codes in the CDARS, using the definition of the number of true positives (ie, cases identified by ICD-9 codes which met the above criteria) divided by the total number of true positives plus false positives (ie, cases identified by ICD-9 codes which did not meet the above criteria).
 
 
Cohen’s kappa was used to estimate inter-rater reliability and the 95% confidence interval was estimated using a binomial distribution. All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS software (Windows 26.0; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], US).
 
Results
In total, 2479 potential cases were identified in QMH between 2011 and 2020. During the same period, there were 93 971 cases with a principal diagnostic code of COPD across all public hospitals in Hong Kong. There were no significant differences in age or sex between QMH cases and overall cases throughout the HA (Table 1). Of the QMH cases, 200 were randomly selected for detailed validation. The validation process showed that 163 cases were true positives, resulting in an overall PPV of 81.5% (95% confidence interval=76.1%-86.9%). Major reasons for false positives included ACO, asthma, and bronchiectasis (Table 2). Cohen’s kappa was 0.77, suggesting substantial agreement. The proposed algorithm for identifying COPD cases in the CDARS is illustrated in Figure 2.
 

Table 1. Patient characteristics in all chronic obstructive pulmonary disease cases, 2011-2020
 

Table 2. Reasons for false-positive cases (n=200)
 

Figure 2. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease validation
 
Discussion
In this validation study, the estimated overall PPV was 81.5% when ICD-9 coding was used to identify COPD cases within the CDARS, the territory-wide EHR system in Hong Kong.
 
A PubMed search using the terms ‘COPD’ AND ‘validation’ OR ‘international classification of disease codes’ did not identify any literature regarding validation of diagnostic codes for COPD in EHRs within Hong Kong. Validation of local diagnostic codes for COPD will facilitate large-scale studies in Hong Kong, which are needed considering the high local prevalence of this disease. Our study showed a PPV >70%, which is the typical validation criterion for case-finding algorithms in population-based cohort studies.23 24 The high PPV in our study may be attributable to the nature of the CDARS database, with high PPV also reported in other local validation studies involving other diseases.21 25 The CDARS database contains EHRs from all public hospitals, where diagnostic facilities and diagnostic protocols are well-established; in contrast, data from claims databases and general practitioners are expected to have lower accuracy. As such, in prior local validation studies with CDARS, they had high reported PPV of 79%25 and 100%21 for interstitial lung diseases and hip fracture, respectively. Also, COPD is a disease that is easier to be recognised by demonstrating airflow obstruction on spirometry, which contributed to the high PPV. Additionally, regular audits by the HA of diagnostic codes in patient discharge summaries to make sure the correct diagnosis were entered further enhance the accuracy of CDARS data.
 
Among the false-positive cases, ACO was the most frequent cause (Table 2). This relationship could be due to incorrect entry of COPD diagnostic codes or to patients with childhood asthma who developed COPD later in life. The lack of a separate ICD-9 diagnostic code for ACO and the absence of diagnostic criteria for this condition contribute to these challenges.26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 Considering the current difficulties in accurate diagnosis of ACO, the actual PPV for COPD could be higher. Thus, our proposed algorithm excludes cases with a secondary diagnosis of asthma in the CDARS to avoid including patients with ACO. Proper education to address this miscoding issue is essential. Asthma was the second most common incorrectly coded diagnosis. This result could be related to initial misdiagnosis at presentation, such as attributing shortness of breath in a smoker to COPD, rather than asthma. Heart failure, which also presents with dyspnoea and wheezing, could be misclassified as COPD in rare instances. Bronchiectasis, pneumonia, silicosis, and interstitial lung disease can also present with chronic productive cough and dyspnoea, similar to COPD.
 
Strengths and limitations
The strengths of this study include its use of territorywide database with >11 million records, which allowed the identification of a sufficient number of cases. The methodology utilised to confirm true-positive COPD cases was both feasible and practical: the medical records and spirometry results for all cases with the COPD diagnostic code were reviewed by respiratory specialists.
 
However, this study had some limitations. First, the patient population mostly comprised adult Chinese patients, consistent with the demographics of patients with COPD in Hong Kong. This ethnicity component may limit generalisability to other populations. Second, only QMH cases were selected for validation. However, because all hospitals and clinics within the HA use a single diagnostic coding system, the diagnostic coding consistency is expected to be high. The high accuracy of ICD-9 coding within the Hong Kong CDARS has been demonstrated in other studies.20 21
 
Conclusion
This study represents the first validation of ICD-9 coding for COPD in Hong Kong. Our findings demonstrated that use of ICD-9 code 496, in conjunction with our algorithm to identify COPD, results in a PPV with sufficient reliability to support utilisation of the CDARS database for future COPD research.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design: WC Kwok, CL Cheung.
Acquisition of data: WC Kwok.
Analysis or interpretation of data: WC Kwok.
Drafting of the manuscript: WC Kwok, CL Cheung.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: TCC Tam, CW Sing, EWY Chan, CL Cheung.
 
All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethics approval
The research was approved by the Institutional Review Board of The University of Hong Kong / Hospital Authority Hong Kong West Cluster, Hong Kong (Ref No.: UW22-716). The requirement for informed consent is waived by the Board due to the retrospective nature of the research.
 
References
1. Gershon AS, Warner L, Cascagnette P, Victor JC, To T. Lifetime risk of developing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a longitudinal population study. Lancet 2011;378:991-6. Crossref
2. Singh D, Agusti A, Anzueto A, et al. Global strategy for the diagnosis, management, and prevention of chronic obstructive lung disease: the GOLD Science Committee Report 2019. Eur Respir J 2019;53:1900164. Crossref
3. Benziger CP, Roth GA, Moran AE. The Global Burden of Disease study and the preventable burden of NCD. Glob Heart 2016;11:393-7. Crossref
4. Centre for Health Protection, Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government. Non-Communicable Diseases Watch. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: an overview. November 2018. Available from: https://www.chp.gov.hk/files/pdf/ncd_watch_november_2018.pdf. Accessed 9 Aug 2024.
5. Chan HS, Ko FW, Chan JW, et al. Hospital burden of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Hong Kong—the trend from 2006 to 2014. Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis 2023;18:507-19. Crossref
6. Chan-Yeung M, Lai CK, Chan KS, et al. The burden of lung disease in Hong Kong: a report from the Hong Kong Thoracic Society. Respirology 2008;13 Suppl 4:S133-65. Crossref
7. Ko FW, Lau LH, Ng SS, et al. Respiratory admissions before and during the COVID-19 pandemic with mediation analysis of air pollutants, mask-wearing and influenza rates. Respirology 2023;28:47-55. Crossref
8. Chan KP, Ma TF, Kwok WC, et al. Significant reduction in hospital admissions for acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Hong Kong during coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic. Respir Med 2020;171:106085. Crossref
9. Buist AS, McBurnie MA, Vollmer WM, et al. International variation in the prevalence of COPD (the BOLD study): a population-based prevalence study. Lancet 2007;370:741-50. Crossref
10. Grahn K, Gustavsson P, Andersson T, et al. Occupational exposure to particles and increased risk of developing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD): a population-based cohort study in Stockholm, Sweden. Environ Res 2021;200:111739. Crossref
11. Lindberg A, Lindberg L, Sawalha S, et al. Large underreporting of COPD as cause of death-results from a population-based cohort study. Respir Med 2021;186:106518. Crossref
12. Landt E, Çolak Y, Lange P, Laursen LC, Nordestgaard BG, Dahl M. Chronic cough in individuals with COPD: a population-based cohort study. Chest 2020;157:1446-54. Crossref
13. Lee SC, Son KJ, Han CH, Park SC, Jung JY. Impact of COPD on COVID-19 prognosis: a nationwide population-based study in South Korea. Sci Rep 2021;11:3735. Crossref
14. Du Y, Li Q, Sidorenkov G, et al. Computed tomography screening for early lung cancer, COPD and cardiovascular disease in Shanghai: rationale and design of a population-based comparative study. Acad Radiol 2021;28:36-45. Crossref
15. Bahremand T, Etminan M, Roshan-Moniri N, De Vera MA, Tavakoli H, Sadatsafavi M. Are COPD prescription patterns aligned with guidelines? Evidence from a Canadian population-based study. Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis 2021;16:751-9. Crossref
16. Chu SH, Wan ES, Cho MH, et al. An independently validated, portable algorithm for the rapid identification of COPD patients using electronic health records. Sci Rep 2021;11:19959. Crossref
17. Rothnie KJ, Müllerová H, Hurst JR, et al. Validation of the recording of acute exacerbations of COPD in UK primary care electronic healthcare records. PLoS One 2016;11:e0151357. Crossref
18. Hospital Authority, Hong Kong SAR Government. Introduction. Caring for our community's health. 2024. Available from: https://www.ha.org.hk/visitor/ha_visitor_index.asp?Content_ID=10008&Lang=ENG&Dimension=100&Parent_ID=10004. Accessed 9 Aug 2024.
19. Chan SM, Chung GK, Chan YH, et al. Resilience and coping strategies of older adults in Hong Kong during COVID-19 pandemic: a mixed methods study. BMC Geriatr 2022;22:299. Crossref
20. Cheung CL, Tan KC, Kung AW. Cohort profile: the Hong Kong Osteoporosis study and the follow-up study. Int J Epidemiol 2018;47:397-8f. Crossref
21. Sing CW, Woo YC, Lee AC, et al. Validity of major osteoporotic fracture diagnosis codes in the Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System in Hong Kong. Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf 2017;26:973-6. Crossref
22. Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease. 2022 Global Strategy for Prevention, Diagnosis and Management of COPD.
23. Cho SK, Doyle TJ, Lee H, et al. Validation of claims-based algorithms to identify interstitial lung disease in patients with rheumatoid arthritis. Semin Arthritis Rheum 2020;50:592-7. Crossref
24. Papani R, Sharma G, Agarwal A, et al. Validation of claims-based algorithms for pulmonary arterial hypertension. Pulm Circ 2018;8:2045894018759246. Crossref
25. Ye Y, Hubbard R, Li GH, et al. Validation of diagnostic coding for interstitial lung diseases in an electronic health record system in Hong Kong. Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf 2022;31:519-23. Crossref
26. Leung JM, Sin DD. Asthma-COPD overlap syndrome: pathogenesis, clinical features, and therapeutic targets. BMJ 2017;358:j3772. Crossref
27. Cosio BG, Soriano JB, López-Campos JL, et al. Defining the asthma-COPD overlap syndrome in a COPD cohort. Chest 2016;149:45-52. Crossref
28. Gibson PG, Simpson JL. The overlap syndrome of asthma and COPD: what are its features and how important is it? Thorax 2009;64:728-35. Crossref
29. Sin DD, Miravitlles M, Mannino DM, et al. What is asthma-COPD overlap syndrome? Towards a consensus definition from a round table discussion. Eur Respir J 2016;48:664-73. Crossref
30. Cataldo D, Corhay JL, Derom E, et al. A Belgian survey on the diagnosis of asthma-COPD overlap syndrome. Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis 2017;12:601-13. Crossref
31. Soler-Cataluña JJ, Cosío B, Izquierdo JL, et al. Consensus document on the overlap phenotype COPD-asthma in COPD [in English, Spanish]. Arch Bronconeumol 2012;48:331-7. Crossref
32. Koblizek V, Chlumsky J, Zindr V, et al. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: official diagnosis and treatment guidelines of the Czech Pneumological and Phthisiological Society; a novel phenotypic approach to COPD with patient-oriented care. Biomed Pap Med Fac Univ Palacky Olomouc Czech Repub 2013;157:189-201. Crossref
33. Miravitlles M, Alvarez-Gutierrez FJ, Calle M, et al. Algorithm for identification of asthma-COPD overlap: consensus between the Spanish COPD and asthma guidelines. Eur Respir J 2017;49:1700068. Crossref
34. Global Initiative for Asthma; Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease. Diagnosis of Diseases of Chronic Airflow Limitation: Asthma, COPD and Asthma-COPD Overlap Syndrome. Updated 2015. Available from: https://goldcopd.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/GOLD_ACOS_2015.pdf. Accessed 2 Aug 2024.

Mental health among parents and their children with eczema in Hong Kong

Hong Kong Med J 2024 Oct;30(5):362–70 | Epub 3 Oct 2024
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Mental health among parents and their children with eczema in Hong Kong
PH Lam, MSSc, GMBPsS1; KL Hon, MB, BS, MD1,2; Steven Loo, MB, ChB, FRCP2; CK Li, MB, BS, MD1,3; Patrick Ip, MB, BS, FRCPCH4; Mark J Koh, MB, BS, MRCPCH5; Celia HY Chan, PhD, RSW6
1 Department of Paediatrics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
2 Hong Kong Institute of Integrative Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
3 Hong Kong Hub of Paediatric Excellence, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
4 Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
5 Dermatology Service, KK Women’s and Children’s Hospital, SingHealth Group, Singapore
6 Department of Social Work, Melbourne School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, Dentistry and Health Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Australia
 
Corresponding author: Dr KL Hon (ehon@hotmail.com)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: This cross-sectional survey research investigated mental health symptoms and quality of life among Chinese parents and their children with eczema at a paediatric dermatology clinic in Hong Kong from November 2018 to October 2020.
 
Methods: Health-related quality of life, eczema severity, and mental health among children with eczema, as well as their parents’ mental health, were studied using the Children’s Dermatology Life Quality Index (CDLQI), Infants’ Dermatitis Quality of Life Index (IDQOL), Nottingham Eczema Severity Score (NESS), Patient-Oriented Eczema Measure (POEM), and the Chinese version of the 21-item Depression, Anxiety, and Stress Scales (DASS-21).
 
Results: In total, 432 children and 380 parents were recruited. Eczema severity (NESS and POEM) and health-related quality of life (CDLQI) were significantly positively associated with parental and child depression, anxiety, and stress levels according to the DASS-21, regardless of sex (children: r=0.28- 0.72, P<0.001 to 0.007; parents: r=0.20-0.52, P<0.001 to 0.034). Maternal depression was marginally positively associated with increased anxiety in boys with eczema (r=0.311; P=0.045). Younger parents had higher risk of developing more anxiety and stress compared with the older parents (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]=-0.342, P=0.014 and aOR=-0.395, P=0.019, respectively). Depression level of parents with primary to secondary education was 58% higher than their counterparts with post-secondary education or above (aOR=-1.579; P=0.007).
 
Conclusion: Depression, anxiety, and stress among children with eczema and their parents were associated with eczema severity and impaired quality of life in those children. These findings regarding impaired mental health in children with eczema and their parents highlight the need to include mental well-being and psychosocial outcomes in future studies and clinical practice.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Depression, anxiety, and stress among children with eczema and their parents were associated with eczema severity and impaired quality of life in those children.
  • Higher parental education level and advanced parental age could be the protective factors in dealing with emotional distress among parents whose children had eczema.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • The findings regarding impaired mental health in children with eczema and their parents highlight the need to include mental well-being and psychosocial outcomes in future studies and clinical practice.
 
 
Introduction
Atopic eczema (AE) is a common childhood skin disease associated with pruritus and sleep disturbance.1 2 3 4 5 Childhood AE can substantially influence quality of life (QOL) among affected children and their parents. The extent of QOL impairment is often correlated with eczema severity, skin dehydration, and staphylococcal infection.6 Additionally, many affected children and their parents develop depression, anxiety, and stress symptoms.1 These mental health issues are correlated with disease severity, impaired QOL, and therapeutic non-compliance.1 7 8 A study using the 42-item Depression, Anxiety, and Stress Scales (DASS-42) found that depression, anxiety, and stress symptoms were present in 21%, 33%, and 23% of Hong Kong adolescent patients with AE, respectively.1 These psychological symptoms were significantly correlated with poor QOL.1 A study of Japanese children showed eczema severity was associated with mental health.9 Furthermore, a retrospective, cross-sectional population-based survey of childhood eczema in the United States revealed that increased eczema severity was associated with a higher risk of mental disorders.10 School-aged children with moderate and severe AE have a higher risk of psychosocial problems that can influence their quality of sleep and cognitive development.11 Emotion, attention, interpersonal relationships, and conduct can also be affected by AE.10 12 Moreover, parents are often unaware of potential psychosocial health issues in their children with eczema.13 Most affected children and their parents do not receive appropriate psychological help and support; they also exhibit low symptom recognition. The impacts of childhood eczema on the parent-child dyad have not been extensively studied in terms of healthrelated quality of life (HRQOL), eczema severity, or mental health status.14
 
This study was performed to examine associations between mental health issues and disease severity in children or adolescents with AE and their parents using the concise validated 21-item Chinese version of DASS-42 (DASS-21).1 15 16 17
 
Methods
Study design and participant recruitment
This 2-year cross-sectional survey was conducted between November 2018 and October 2020. Participants with a diagnosis of AE and their parents were recruited at the paediatric dermatology clinic of a university-affiliated hospital in Hong Kong. Eczema was clinically diagnosed in accordance with the United Kingdom Working Party’s Diagnostic Criteria for Atopic Dermatitis.18 Participants and their parents received information about the study including objectives, procedures, voluntary participation, and right of withdrawal. Non-Chinese participants and individuals aged <11 years who were not accompanied by a parent during recruitment were excluded from the study.
 
The questionnaires were self-administered and supervised by research staff. Parents would help complete the Children’s Dermatology Life Quality Index (CDLQI), Infants’ Dermatitis Quality of Life Index (IDQOL), Nottingham Eczema Severity Score (NESS), and Patient-Oriented Eczema Measure (POEM) for their younger children. The DASS-21 was individually administered to all parents and to children aged >11 years.
 
Clinical assessment of eczema
The validated Chinese version of the three-item NESS, completed by children aged >11 years or the parents of children aged ≤11 years, was used to determine eczema severity in participating children.19 20 The presence of eczema and number of nights affected by skin itchiness each week in the past 12 months were rated from 1 to 5. A higher score indicated greater eczema severity. Additionally, areas of skin with eczematous lesions (eg, rash, lichenified skin, and/or bleeding) were recorded. Scores on the NESS were categorised as mild (3 to 8), moderate (9 to 11), and severe (12 to 15) eczema. Subjective measurements were determined using the validated seven-item Chinese translation of the POEM, which was also completed by children aged >11 years or the parents of children aged ≤11 years.21 22 Each item was scored from 0 to 4, with a maximum aggregate score of 28. A higher score indicated greater eczema severity in the past week (ranges of 0-2, 3-7, 8-16, 17-24, and 25-28 correspond to clear, mild, moderate, severe, and very severe levels of eczema, respectively).
 
Assessment of health-related quality of life
Health-related QOL was evaluated using the Chinese version of the 10-item CDLQI23 and the 10-item IDQOL.24 The CDLQI was completed by children aged ≥4 years with guidance from parents, whereas the IDQOL was completed by parents of children aged <4 years. Each item on the two scales was scored from 0 to 3, with a maximum aggregate score of 30. A higher score indicated greater eczema-related HRQOL impairment in the past week (CDLQI ranges of 0-1, 2-6, 7-12, 13-18, and 19-30 correspond to no, small, moderate, very large, and extremely large effects on HRQOL, respectively; these ranges for IDQOL are 0-1, 2-5, 6-10, 11-20, and 21-30, respectively).
 
Assessment of mental health
Mental health was assessed by measuring depression, anxiety, and stress in children with eczema and their parents using the validated Chinese version of the DASS-21. This scale has been used to examine symptoms of depression, anxiety, and stress among individuals with dermatitis or eczema.1 17 The DASS-21 was individually administered to all parents and to children aged >11 years. The DASS-21 composite score can be divided into the DASS Depression, DASS Anxiety, and DASS Stress domains. The total score for each domain ranges from 0 to 42.25 A higher score indicates greater emotional distress in that domain (DASS Depression ranges of 0-9, 10-13, 14-20, 21-27, and ≥28 correspond to normal, mild, moderate, severe, and extremely severe levels, respectively; these ranges for DASS Anxiety are 0-7, 8-9, 10-14, 15-19, and ≥20, whereas they are 0-14, 15-18, 19-25, 26-33, and ≥34 for DASS Stress).
 
Statistical analysis
Clinical data were de-identified and analysed using SPSS (Windows version 25.0; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], United States). Frequency distributions were used to describe the demographic and clinical characteristics of participants. Continuous variables with normal distributions were expressed as means±standard deviations (corrected to 1 decimal place). Nominal and ordinal variables were expressed in numbers with percentage (corrected to 1 decimal place). Independent samples t tests were used to explore sex differences regarding age, education level, disease severity, QOL, and emotional distress in parents and children. Pearson correlation analysis was utilised to examine associations among mental health, eczema severity, and HRQOL in parents and children of both sexes. Multiple linear regression was performed to adjust for variations in parental and child DASS scores and HRQOL according to demographic and clinical variables. P values <0.05 were considered statistically significant.
 
Results
Demographic information, disease state, and mental well-being among children and parents
Among 380 parents (mean age=41.13±6.52 years), 49 were fathers (mean age=42.50±7.49 years) and 331 were mothers (mean age=40.95±6.36 years). Parents’ education levels were primary to secondary (n=124, 13 males), post-secondary (n=26, 1 male), and undergraduate or above (n=81, 14 males) [Table 1]. Parents reported moderate to extremely severe depression (n=58, 2 males), moderate to extremely severe anxiety (n=101, 5 males), and moderate to extremely severe stress (n=90, 6 males). Parents with a higher education level had lower levels of depression, anxiety, and stress (Fig 1). Compared with fathers, mothers generally had higher overall DASS-21 depression, anxiety, and stress scores (P<0.001-0.005) [Table 1].
 

Table 1. Parents’ demographic and socio-economic characteristics (n=380)
 

Figure 1. Trends of parental depression, anxiety, and stress across education levels
 
Among 432 children (mean age=9.61±5.41 years), 218 were boys (mean age=9.15±5.44 years) and 214 were girls (mean age=10.06±5.35 years). Most children had moderate to severe/very severe disease according to the POEM (n=290) and NESS (n=291). Over half of the children displayed a moderate to extremely large impact on QOL in the CDLQI (n=171, 50.4%) and IDQOL (n=56, 62.9%). Small numbers of children had moderate to extremely severe depression (n=36), anxiety (n=43), and stress (n=30). There were no significant sex differences in disease severity, HRQOL, or emotional distress in the DASS (Table 2).
 

Table 2. Children’s demographic and clinical characteristics (n=432)
 
Eczema severity, health-related quality of life, and mental health among children
Disease severity in terms of NESS, POEM, and HRQOL (ie, CDLQI and IDQOL) was generally worse among infants than among older children (Fig 2). Thus, eczema severity and QOL generally appeared to improve with age. Correlation analysis demonstrated that depression, anxiety, and stress levels were significantly associated with NESS, POEM, and CDLQI, regardless of sex (Table 3).
 

Figure 2. Trend analysis of eczema severity and quality of life across child age subgroups. (a) Nottingham Eczema Severity Score. (b) Patient-Oriented Eczema Measure score. (c) Health-related quality of life score (scores of the Children’s Dermatology Life Quality Index and the Infants’ Dermatitis Quality of Life Index)
 

Table 3. Correlations among parent-child mental health, eczema severity, and health-related quality of life
 
Eczema severity, health-related quality of life, and mental health among parents
Correlation analysis revealed that eczema severity (NESS and POEM) and HRQOL (CDLQI) were associated with depression, anxiety, and stress levels (DASS-21) among children and parents, regardless of sex (Table 3 and Fig 3). Moreover, depression, anxiety, and stress levels in mothers were significantly correlated with NESS, POEM, IDQOL, and CDLQI. Paternal anxiety and stress levels were correlated with NESS, POEM, and CDLQI (P<0.001 to 0.034). However, paternal depression was only correlated with POEM (P=0.014) [Table 3].
 

Figure 3. Parental and child mental health (depression, anxiety, and stress domains of the 21-item Depression, Anxiety, and Stress Scales) and eczema severity in (a) Nottingham Eczema Severity Score and (b) Patient-Oriented Eczema Measure
 
Mental health among children and parents
Maternal depression showed a marginal association with higher anxiety levels in boys with eczema (n=42, r=0.311; P=0.045) [Table 3]. However, considering the small number of pairs, no clinical or statistical inferences should be made regarding sex differences in mental health among children and parents. Additionally, there were no statistically significant associations between the mental health of children and parents concerning depression, anxiety, and stress levels in the DASS-21 (Table 3). Regression analysis showed that the child’s HRQOL and parental age mostly explained variation in parental anxiety and stress, whereas parental education level explained variation in parental depression (Table 4). Younger parents had higher risk of developing more anxiety and stress compared with the older parents. Depression level of parents with primary to secondary education was 58% higher than their counterparts with post-secondary education or above. Conversely, the child’s eczema severity and HRQOL mostly explained the child’s emotional distress. Eczema severity and parental emotional distress significantly affected HRQOL in children of all ages (Table 4).
 

Table 4. Regression model of Depressive, Anxiety, and Stress Scales scores of parents and children by demographic information, eczema severity, and health-related quality of life
 
There was no psychological or physiological discomfort resulted from administration of the surveys.
 
Discussion
Psychological symptoms of depression, anxiety, and stress were prevalent among children with AE and their parents. Our findings indicate associations between the mental health of children and parents and the eczema severity in those children. Increased eczema severity in children and adolescents led to greater emotional distress in parents and children, regardless of sex. Similarly, psychological symptoms in children and their parents were negatively correlated with the child’s eczema severity (NESS and POEM) and HRQOL impairment (CDLQI or IDQOL), regardless of sex. These strong correlations suggest that psychological symptoms, eczema severity, and impact on QOL have mutually detrimental effects. The DASS depression, anxiety, and stress scores were generally higher among mothers than among fathers, suggesting that mothers (the primary caregivers for children with eczema) were more strongly affected. The present study showed that eczema severity can adversely affect emotions and QOL among parents and children, highlighting the need for further exploration of biopsychosocial interactions among children and adolescents with eczema. Children with severe disease reportedly have more problems with depression and internalising behaviour.26 Behavioural issues can lead to adverse social interactions with peers, further reducing self-esteem and HRQOL. Therefore, interactions among parental perception of the child’s disease severity, the child’s treatment adherence, the child’s social influence by peers, and the child’s school environment should be considered when clinicians make comprehensive decisions about holistic treatments.
 
Our results using the DASS-21 are consistent with findings in previous studies1 27 that used the more comprehensive DASS-42. As in previous studies,1 27 we found that caregivers were especially likely to experience anxiety related to care provision in the home.28 29 In the present study, maternal depression was associated with a higher anxiety level, particularly in relation to boys with eczema. Accordingly, the Harmonising Outcome Measures for Eczema initiative recommends documentation of disease severity and QOL impairment in eczema cases.25 30 However, there have been few international initiatives and clinical trials regarding the psychological symptoms of caregivers and patients, particularly in the context of childhood eczema. Therefore, we suggest that clinicians should consider these important measurable domains in terms of therapeutic interventions and psychological support. Childhood eczema treatments mainly focus on pharmacological control of physical symptoms, but they often completely neglect the psychological symptoms of affected children and their parents. A more holistic treatment approach is needed for this potentially devastating common childhood disorder. Given the increasing numbers of proposed assessment tools, we advocate a holistic and comprehensive approach for eczema management that considers children and their families. This treatment tool should use a composite score to continuously evaluate disease severity (in objective and subjective manners), QOL impairment, psychological symptoms, and miscellaneous disease surrogates in affected children and their parents.1 16 21 26
 
Strengths and limitations
A strength of this study was that compared with the DASS-42, the DASS-21 demonstrated better performance with 50% fewer questions and a shorter completion time. Findings from the DASS-21, but not the DASS-42, were correlated with disease severity as measured by the NESS and POEM.1 These discrepancies could have arisen because the sample size in the present study (using the DASS-21) was threefold greater than the sample size in the previous DASS-42 study.1 In the present study, the DASS-21, especially in child and mother, was moderately to strongly correlated with the CDLQI, IDQOL, NESS, and POEM. Thus, the DASS-21 can effectively represent the degree of emotional distress among parents and children or adolescents with eczema. This questionnaire is available in different languages, potentially allowing it to be used for assessment of patients with other ethnicities. To our knowledge, this is the first study to use the DASS-21 to assess the mental health of parents and children with eczema in a paediatric setting. This study revealed the presence of childhood eczema-related depression, anxiety, and stress in affected children and their parents.
 
This study had a few limitations including its relatively small sample size, especially concerning father-child pairs. A greater proportion of mothers participated in this study, which is expected because mothers are the main caregivers for children with eczema; they typically accompany their children during medical consultations. Considering that paediatric dermatological clinics also cater adolescent patients aged ≥16 years, a few participants aged 16 to 19 years completed the CDLQI on their HRQOL; although these participants exceeded the suggested age range of ≤16 years, the overall results were not affected.
 
Another limitation is that the number of recruited mothers, who are normally regarded as the main child caregiver, much outweighs that of recruited fathers. In addition, compared with fathers, mothers may know their child’s health more and get anxious or depressed as the eczema severity of their child escalates over time. Thus, the difference of the role in childbearing, sample size and the understanding of child’s health may affect the findings in parental-child correlations. It should be cautious when the results regarding parental-child correlations are studied and presented. The CDLQI (n=339) is a questionnaire for children, and the IDQOL (n=89) is for infants. The different numbers of participants who completed each of these questionnaires is consistent with the CDLQI coverage of a broader age range, whereas the IDQOL is only suitable for children aged <4 years. Although maternal depression was correlated with boys with anxiety, it is important to note that statistical significance should not be used to infer that there is a sex difference between parent and child groups in terms of mental health; such an inference would constitute overgeneralisation.
 
Conclusion
Children with eczema and their parents demonstrated mental health impairment, which was correlated with disease severity. Eczema-induced anxiety, stress, and other mental health issues in affected children and their parents should be considered by healthcare professionals during comprehensive assessments for the treatment of eczema. In addition to primary eczema, possible secondary psychiatric symptoms should be monitored in children with moderate to severe eczema and their parents. Childhood eczema severity and the mental health of affected children and their parents should be simultaneously evaluated to prevent and manage secondary psychological problems.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design: KL Hon.
Acquisition of data: PH Lam.
Analysis or interpretation of data: PH Lam, P Ip.
Drafting of the manuscript: PH Lam, KL Hon.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: KL Hon, S Loo, MJ Koh, CHY Chan, CK Li, P Ip.
 
Conflicts of interest
As an editor of the journal, KL Hon was not involved in the peer review process. Other authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Acknowledgement
The authors thank all children and parents who participated in this research.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethics approval
This research was approved by the Joint Chinese University of Hong Kong–New Territories East Cluster Clinical Research Ethics Committee, Hong Kong (Ref No.: CRE.2018.401). Written informed consent was obtained from participants and parents prior to the research.
 
References
1. Hon KL, Pong NH, Poon TC, et al. Quality of life and psychosocial issues are important outcome measures in eczema treatment. J Dermatolog Treat 2015;26:83-9. Crossref
2. Leung AK, Hon KL, Robson WL. Atopic dermatitis. Adv Pediatr 2007;54:241-73. Crossref
3. Leung TN, Hon KL. Eczema therapeutics in children: what do the clinical trials say? Hong Kong Med J 2015;21:251-60. Crossref
4. Hon KL, Lam PH, Ng WG, et al. Age, sex, and disease status as determinants of skin hydration and transepidermal water loss among children with and without eczema. Hong Kong Med J 2020;26:19-26. Crossref
5. Hon KL, Wong KY, Leung TF, Chow CM, Ng PC. Comparison of skin hydration evaluation sites and correlations among skin hydration, transepidermal water loss, SCORAD index, Nottingham Eczema Severity Score, and quality of life in patients with atopic dermatitis. Am J Clin Dermatol 2008;9:45-50. Crossref
6. Holm EA, Wulf HC, Stegmann H, Jemec GB. Life quality assessment among patients with atopic eczema. Br J Dermatol 2006;154:719-25. Crossref
7. Slattery MJ, Essex MJ, Paletz EM, et al. Depression, anxiety, and dermatologic quality of life in adolescents with atopic dermatitis. J Allergy Clin Immunol 2011;128:668-71. Crossref
8. Magin PJ, Pond CD, Smith WT, Watson AB, Goode SM. Correlation and agreement of self-assessed and objective skin disease severity in a cross-sectional study of patients with acne, psoriasis, and atopic eczema. Int J Dermatol 2011;50:1486-90. Crossref
9. Kuniyoshi Y, Kikuya M, Miyashita M, et al. Severity of eczema and mental health problems in Japanese schoolchildren: the ToMMo Child Health Study. Allergol Int 2018;67:481-6. Crossref
10. Wan J, Takeshita J, Shin DB, Gelfand JM. Mental health impairment among children with atopic dermatitis: a United States population-based cross-sectional study of the 2013-2017 National Health Interview Survey. J Am Acad Dermatol 2020;82:1368-75. Crossref
11. Fishbein AB, Cheng BT, Tilley CC, et al. Sleep disturbance in school-aged children with atopic dermatitis: prevalence and severity in a cross-sectional sample. J Allergy Clin Immunol Pract 2021;9:3120-9.e3. Crossref
12. Schmitt J, Apfelbacher C, Chen CM, et al. Infant-onset eczema in relation to mental health problems at age 10 years: results from a prospective birth cohort study (German Infant Nutrition Intervention plus). J Allergy Clin Immunol 2010;125:404-10. Crossref
13. Walker C, Papadopoulos L, Hussein M. Paediatric eczema and psychosocial morbidity: how does eczema interact with parents’ illness beliefs? J Eur Acad Dermatol Venereol 2007;21:63-7. Crossref
14. Ali F, Vyas J, Finlay AY. Counting the burden: atopic dermatitis and health-related quality of life. Acta Derm Venereol 2020;100:adv00161. Crossref
15. Wong KC. Psychometric investigation into the construct of neurasthenia and its related conditions: a comparative study on Chinese in Hong Kong and Mainland China [dissertation]. Hong Kong: The Chinese University of Hong Kong; 2009.
16. Lam PH, Hon KL, Leung KK, Leong KF, Li CK, Leung TF. Self-perceived disease control in childhood eczema. J Dermatolog Treat 2022;33:1459-64. Crossref
17. Gong X, Xie XY, Xu R, Luo YJ. Psychometric properties of the Chinese versions of DASS-21 in Chinese college students [in Chinese]. Chinese J Clin Psychol 2010;18:443-6.
18. Williams HC, Burney PG, Pembroke AC, Hay RJ. The U.K. Working Party’s Diagnostic Criteria for Atopic Dermatitis. III. Independent hospital validation. Br J Dermatol 1994;131:406-16. Crossref
19. Emerson RM, Charman CR, Williams HC. The Nottingham Eczema Severity Score: preliminary refinement of the Rajka and Langeland grading. Br J Dermatol 2000;142:288-97. Crossref
20. Hon KL, Ma KC, Wong E, Leung TF, Wong Y, Fok TF. Validation of a self-administered questionnaire in Chinese in the assessment of eczema severity. Pediatr Dermatol 2003;20:465-9. Crossref
21. Hon KL, Kung JS, Tsang KY, Yu JW, Cheng NS, Leung TF. Do we need another symptom score for childhood eczema? J Dermatolog Treat 2018;29:510-4. Crossref
22. Gaunt DM, Metcalfe C, Ridd M. The Patient-Oriented Eczema Measure in young children: responsiveness and minimal clinically important difference. Allergy 2016;71:1620-5. Crossref
23. Salek MS, Jung S, Brincat-Ruffini LA, et al. Clinical experience and psychometric properties of the Children’s Dermatology Life Quality Index (CDLQI), 1995-2012. Br J Dermatol 2013;169:734-59. Crossref
24. Lewis-Jones MS, Finlay AY, Dykes PJ. The Infants’ Dermatitis Quality of Life Index. Br J Dermatol 2001;144:104-10. Crossref
25. Gerbens LA, Prinsen CA, Chalmers JR, et al. Evaluation of the measurement properties of symptom measurement instruments for atopic eczema: a systematic review. Allergy 2017;72:146-63. Crossref
26. Hon KL, Kam WY, Lam MC, Leung TF, Ng PC. CDLQI, SCORAD and NESS: are they correlated? Qual Life Res 2006;15:1551-8. Crossref
27. Duran S, Atar E. Determination of depression, anxiety and stress (DAS) levels in patients with atopic dermatitis: a case-control study. Psychol Health Med 2020;25:1153-63. Crossref
28. Shelley AJ, McDonald KA, McEvoy A, et al. Usability, satisfaction, and usefulness of an illustrated eczema action plan. J Cutan Med Surg 2018;22:577-82. Crossref
29. Rork JF, Sheehan WJ, Gaffin JM, et al. Parental response to written eczema action plans in children with eczema. Arch Dermatol 2012;148:391-2. Crossref
30. Spuls PI, Gerbens LA, Simpson E, et al. Patient-Oriented Eczema Measure (POEM), a core instrument to measure symptoms in clinical trials: a Harmonising Outcome Measures for Eczema (HOME) statement. Br J Dermatol 2017;176:979-84. Crossref

Paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity after normal therapeutic doses in the Hong Kong Chinese population

Hong Kong Med J 2024 Oct;30(5):355–61 | Epub 10 Oct 2024
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE  CME
Paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity after normal therapeutic doses in the Hong Kong Chinese population
WH Tsang, MB, ChB, FHKAM (Emergency Medicine)1; CK Chan, FHKAM (Emergency Medicine), FHKCEM (Clinical Toxicology)2; ML Tse, FHKAM (Emergency Medicine), FHKCEM (Clinical Toxicology)2
1 Accident and Emergency Department, United Christian Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
2 Hong Kong Poison Information Centre, Hospital Authority, Hong Kong SAR, China
 
Corresponding author: Dr WH Tsang (tsanwh1@ha.org.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Paracetamol is generally safe at normal therapeutic doses of ≤4 g/day in adults. However, paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity after normal therapeutic doses use has been reported. We investigated the epidemiology of this adverse drug reaction in the Hong Kong Chinese population.
 
Methods: This territory-wide retrospective observational study included adult patients with suspected paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity after normal therapeutic doses use from January 2011 to June 2022. We evaluated the demographic characteristics; paracetamol dose, duration, and reason for use; preexisting hepatotoxicity risk factors; laboratory findings; and their relationship with clinical outcomes.
 
Results: We identified 76 patients (median age: 74 years, 23 males) with suspected paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity after normal therapeutic doses use. There were 14 cases with significant clinical outcomes (five deaths and nine cases of acute hepatic failure), with an incidence of 1.2 cases per year. For patients with significant clinical outcomes, they were significantly older (age >80 years), had a lower body weight (<50 kg), exposed to longer durations (>2 days) and higher daily doses (>3 g), and with higher proportion of malnutrition.
 
Conclusion: Paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity can occur at normal therapeutic doses in the Hong Kong Chinese population. The identified risk factors are consistent with international guidelines regarding susceptible patients. Considering the widespread local use of paracetamol and low incidence of severe hepatotoxicity, the current dosage recommendations are considered safe for the general population. For susceptible patients, a reduced maximum dose of ≤3 g/day is recommended, with liver function and serum paracetamol monitoring in place.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Paracetamol can induce hepatotoxicity at normal therapeutic doses in high-risk groups.
  • Dosage reduction to ≤3 g/day may reduce the incidence of serious liver injury.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Physicians should consider a maximum dosage reduction from 4 g/day to 3 g/day in high-risk groups.
  • High-risk groups included older age, lower body weight, malnutrition, exposure to longer duration of drug use, and higher daily dose.
 
 
Introduction
Paracetamol is a non-opioid analgesic recommended as a first-line treatment for mild to moderate pain and fever.1 It is one of the most widely used over-the-counter medications worldwide. In Hong Kong, >600 registered pharmaceuticals contain paracetamol.2 Adverse drug reactions in healthy individuals are rare within the therapeutic dose range. According to the British National Formulary, the recommended daily dose of paracetamol is 4 g/day in divided doses for adults with body weight ≥50 kg.3 Special precautions are needed for individuals with a high risk of hepatotoxicity, including those with body weight <50 kg, chronic alcoholism, chronic dehydration, chronic malnutrition, hepatocellular insufficiency, and/or concomitant use of P450 liver enzyme inducers (eg, antituberculosis drugs, antiepileptic drugs, and herbs/dietary supplements such as St John’s wort).
 
Paracetamol is metabolised through various pathways in the liver. In healthy individuals taking normal therapeutic doses, >90% of paracetamol undergoes glucuronidation and sulphation, followed by renal excretion.4 Only 5% to 10% is oxidised by cytochrome P450 to the toxic metabolite N-acetyl-p-benzoquinone imine, which is subsequently neutralised by glutathione and undergoes renal excretion. However, in cases of paracetamol overdose or glutathione depletion, excessive production and accumulation of N-acetyl-p-benzoquinone imine in hepatocytes can result in acute liver injury. N-acetylcysteine, the primary antidote in such situations, acts by replenishing hepatic glutathione.5 Theoretically, paracetamol hepatotoxicity can occur after normal therapeutic dose use in patients with critically depleted glutathione levels.
 
There have been few reports of paracetamolinduced hepatotoxicity after normal therapeutic doses use.6 7 8 Most of these cases had at least one of the aforementioned risk factors. In 2022, the United Kingdom’s Healthcare Safety Investigation Branch published a report recommending a prescription alert for individuals with body weight <50 kg who are prescribed paracetamol.9 The Queensland Government’s Department of Health of Australia also revised its paracetamol use guidelines, recommending ≤3 g/day for adults with risk factors such as advanced age or low body weight.10 When risk factors are present and treatment continues beyond 48 hours, liver function test and international normalised ratio (INR) monitoring is recommended.10 The United States Food and Drug Administration states that it is safe to consume ≤4 g of paracetamol within 24 hours,11 whereas the Irish Health Products Regulatory Authority recommends ≤2 g of paracetamol for patients with mild to moderate hepatic insufficiency or chronic alcoholism.12
 
Isolated cases of paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity causing death or acute hepatic failure after normal therapeutic doses use have been reported to the Hong Kong Poison Information Centre (HKPIC). However, no local reports have been published concerning the incidence of this rare adverse drug reaction in the Hong Kong population. This study aimed to describe the epidemiology and incidence of paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity in the Hong Kong Chinese population.
 
Methods
Study design
This territory-wide retrospective observational study included adult patients with suspected paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity after normal therapeutic doses use reported to the HKPIC from 1 January 2011 to 30 June 2022 (11.5 years in total).
 
Study setting and data sources
The HKPIC was the only poison control centre in Hong Kong during the study period. This centre provides round-the-clock phone consultations regarding poisoning cases to local healthcare professionals and receives voluntary reports of poisoning from all public emergency departments.13 14 The HKPIC maintains an electronic database, the Poison Information and Clinical Management System (PICMS), that contains information about all consultations and reports received. Clinical data from consultations and reports are entered into the PICMS by staff trained in clinical toxicology.14 The data source for this study consisted of data retrieved from the PICMS. When PICMS data were incomplete, supplementary data were retrieved from the Hospital Authority’s electronic Patient Record system, which contains all medical records (ie, clinical data, laboratory results, and outcomes) of patients treated in public hospitals in Hong Kong.
 
Study population
All cases of paracetamol poisoning recorded in the PICMS during the study period were identified. Exclusion criteria were applied to ensure the inclusion of only adult patients with suspected paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity after normal therapeutic doses use. These exclusion criteria were age <18 years, intentional self-harm with paracetamol, daily paracetamol consumption >4 g, unknown paracetamol dose, co-ingestion with other hepatotoxic drugs, or hepatotoxicity unrelated to paracetamol.
 
Data collection
For the included cases, the following data were collected: demographic characteristics including age, sex, and ethnicity; duration of paracetamol use, daily paracetamol dose, and reasons for paracetamol use; risk factors including history of preexisting liver disease, chronic alcoholism, use of P450 liver enzyme-inducing medications, and malnutrition; poisoning data including peak serum paracetamol concentration, peak alanine transaminase (ALT) level, peak INR, and receipt of N-acetylcysteine; and clinical outcomes including death, acute liver failure, mildly deranged liver function, and minimal effect.
 
Definitions
The diagnosis of paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity was established on the basis of compatible clinical and biochemical features, excluding other causes of deranged liver function (eg, acute viral hepatitis, autoimmune causes, and other drug- or herb-induced hepatitis). All cases were reviewed by at least one clinical toxicologist working in the HKPIC. Clinical outcomes were defined as follows: ‘death’ was defined as poisoning-related death, as judged by a clinical toxicologist, within 30 days after hospitalisation; ‘acute hepatic failure’ was defined as severe acute liver injury with an ALT level >1000 IU/L, associated with encephalopathy and impaired synthetic function within 26 weeks15; ‘mildly deranged liver function’ was defined as a peak ALT level >2 times the upper limit of normal, without encephalopathy or impaired synthetic function; and ‘minimal effect’ was defined as a peak ALT level <2 times the upper limit of normal, along with normal mental status. ‘Significant clinical outcome’ cases were those with a clinical outcome of death or acute hepatic failure. Malnutrition was defined as documented insufficient energy intake for >1 week.16
 
Statistical analysis
Data were analysed using SPSS software (Windows version 29.0; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], United States). Continuous data were expressed as medians (interquartile ranges); the Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare the death and acute hepatic failure groups with the minimal effect group. Categorical variables were expressed as frequencies and percentages; they were compared using the Chi squared test or Fisher’s exact test, as appropriate. All statistical tests were two-sided, and P values <0.05 were considered statistically significant. Due to the small sample size and low incidence of significant clinical outcomes, multivariable logistic regression was not performed.
 
Results
Within the study period, 3873 cases of paracetamol poisoning were identified. Reasons for exclusion were intentional paracetamol poisoning, age <18 years, other causes of deranged liver function, daily paracetamol dose >4 g, and unknown paracetamol dose (Fig). In total, 76 patients were included in the analysis; these patients were grouped according to clinical outcomes. During the study period, five patients died, nine patients developed acute hepatic failure, one patient developed mildly deranged liver function without coagulopathy or altered mental status, and 61 patients showed minimal effect; no patients underwent liver transplantation. The incidence of significant clinical outcomes (including death and acute hepatic failure) was 1.2 cases per year. Baseline demographic and clinical characteristics are summarised in Table 1.
 

Figure. Selection of adult patients with suspected paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity after normal therapeutic doses use
 

Table 1. Demographic data, clinical characteristics, and clinical outcomes of included cases
 
Most patients were women (69.7%). The median age was 74 years and the median body weight was 54.2 kg. All patients were of Chinese ethnicity. Compared with the minimal effect group, patients in the death group were older (median age: 83 vs 72 years; P=0.003), had a longer duration of paracetamol use [median duration: 7 vs 1 day(s); P=0.001], and had a higher daily paracetamol dose (median dose: 4 vs 2 g; P=0.004). Their body weights tended to be lower, but this difference was not statistically significant (median: 50 vs 56.4 kg; P=0.11). Moreover, a higher percentage of patients in the death group suffered from malnutrition (80% vs 31.1%; P=0.04), and their peak serum paracetamol concentrations were higher (median peak concentration: 410 vs 0 μmol/L; P<0.001), exceeding the normal range of <130 μmol/L despite the use of normal therapeutic doses (Table 1).
 
Patients with significant clinical outcomes were evaluated by combining the death and acute hepatic failure groups. Five risk factors for significant clinical outcomes were identified, namely, age >80 years (odds ratio [OR]=7.2, 95% confidence interval [CI]=2.0-26.2), body weight <50 kg (OR=3.8, 95% CI=1.0-12.1), duration of paracetamol use >2 days (OR=16.9, 95% CI=2.1-136.9), daily paracetamol dose >3 g (OR=7.2, 95% CI=2.0-26.2), and malnutrition (OR=4.07, 95% CI=1.2-13.8). A summary of the risk factors is provided in Table 2.
 

Table 2. Risk factors for significant clinical outcomes in patients with suspected paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity after normal therapeutic doses use
 
Discussion
The maximum recommended daily dose of paracetamol for healthy adults is 4 g/day in divided doses.17 As one of the most widely used analgesics worldwide for decades, this dosage recommendation is considered safe and generally has not been questioned by most healthcare professionals. Physicians have been taught to use the convenient dosing of 1-g paracetamol four times daily as a first-line analgesic in adults. Historically, paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity was solely regarded as a consequence of overdose. Paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity after normal therapeutic doses use was considered a therapeutic misadventure of doubtful existence.7 However, case reports of this adverse drug reaction were published.6 7 8 The situation becoming clear after a single-blind randomised controlled trial by Watkins et al18 revealed elevated ALT levels in 40% of healthy individuals who had received 4 g/day of paracetamol for 2 weeks. Subsequent studies confirmed this observation and showed that continuous use of paracetamol by individuals with high ALT levels did not result in hepatotoxicity.19 20 Their ALT levels returned to baseline after continuous paracetamol use, suggesting hepatic adaptation.21 Nevertheless, the mechanisms underlying hepatic adaptation are not fully understood, and paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity after normal therapeutic doses use may represent a rare adverse drug reaction due to failed hepatic adaptation. In a prospective study in Spain,22 the incidence of this adverse drug reaction was estimated to be 10 per million paracetamol users-year (95% CI=4.3-19.4). Prior to the present study, there has been little information on how often paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity occurs in the Hong Kong Chinese population.
 
Our study confirmed the existence of this rare adverse drug reaction, with an incidence of 1.2 cases of significant clinical outcomes per year in the Hong Kong population (approximately 7 million people). Because the vast majority of the local population is served by public hospitals included in our poisoning surveillance protocol, we believed that this figure accurately reflects the rare occurrence of this adverse drug reaction. Concerning patient characteristics predictive of significant clinical outcomes, we found that age >80 years, body weight <50 kg, duration of paracetamol use >2 days, daily paracetamol dose >3 g, and malnutrition were associated with a higher risk of paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity leading to death or acute hepatic failure. The median daily dose was 4 g of paracetamol, consistent with the convenient maximum therapeutic dosing (eg, 1 g four times daily) for adults. Additionally, the median duration of paracetamol use was 5 to 7 days, indicating that life-threatening paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity can develop and rapidly progress within a few days in susceptible individuals receiving convenient paracetamol dosing. The supratherapeutic serum paracetamol concentrations detected in these cases provide evidence of impaired hepatic paracetamol metabolism, leading to gradual accumulation of paracetamol within the body. The subsequent pathophysiology of hepatotoxicity is considered identical to that of paracetamol overdose. Therefore, the use of the antidote Nacetylcysteine is recommended in all identifiable cases of paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity after normal therapeutic doses use.
 
One argument against the existence of this adverse drug reaction has been the accuracy of documentation concerning paracetamol dosage.7 Because the clinical presentation of paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity is indistinguishable from that of paracetamol overdose, it has been suggested that the hepatotoxicity cases actually represent undeclared or undiagnosed instances of paracetamol overdose, which are more common in clinical practice. The present findings exclude this possibility. All five patients who died had exhibited normal liver function upon or prior to hospital admission; they were prescribed therapeutic doses of paracetamol for various indications during their inpatient stay. The possibility of intentional or accidental paracetamol overdose was excluded in each case.
 
The association between older age and paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity has been addressed in previous studies. In 2021, a prospective study by Louvet et al23 showed that older age was an important risk factor associated with acute liver injury after therapeutic doses of paracetamol. Paracetamol pharmacokinetics in older adults reportedly differ from those in younger adults. Although absorption from the gastrointestinal tract is not significantly reduced, paracetamol clearance is 46.8% lower in frail older individuals than in healthy older individuals.24 In another observational study,25 the effects of ageing and frailty on serum paracetamol and ALT levels were assessed in hospitalised patients after continuous exposure to therapeutic doses for 5 days. The results showed that serum paracetamol concentrations were higher in older frail patients.25
 
Limitations
This study had some limitations. First, its retrospective nature required reliance on the accuracy and completeness of medical records. Incomplete information in medical records, particularly missing data concerning the daily dose and duration of paracetamol exposure, could substantially affected the results. Second, because all consultations were voluntarily reported, underreporting may contribute to reporting bias. Third, the sample size was relatively small, hindering analysis of confounders via logistic regression. Finally, the effects of some potential risk factors (eg, chronic alcoholism and concomitant use of P450 inducer) could not be quantified due to their low reported incidence and the small sample size.
 
Conclusion
Paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity can occur at normal therapeutic doses in the Hong Kong Chinese population. Our study identified risk factors associated with significant clinical outcomes. Considering the widespread use of paracetamol in Hong Kong, the incidence of paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity is low; current dosage recommendations are considered safe for the vast majority of the general population. Nevertheless, a maximum daily dose of ≤3 g is recommended for susceptible patients. Paracetamol dosage, especially if consumed at 4 g/day for >48 hours, should be reviewed; liver function and INR monitoring should be considered in susceptible patients.10
 
Author contributions
Concept or design: All authors. Acquisition of data: WH Tsang. Analysis or interpretation of data: WH Tsang, CK Chan. Drafting of the manuscript: WH Tsang. Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: WH Tsang, CK Chan.
 
All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethics approval
This research was approved by the Kowloon Central / Kowloon East Cluster Research Ethics Committee of Hospital Authority, Hong Kong (Ref No.: KC/KE-23-0041/ER-4). The requirement for informed patient consent was waived by the Committee due to the retrospective nature of the research and the use of anonymised data in the research.
 
References
1. Finnerup NB. Nonnarcotic methods of pain management. N Engl J Med 2019;380:2440-8. Crossref
2. Drug Office, Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government. List of Registered Over-the-counter Pharmaceutical Products Containing Paracetamol. May 2023. Available from: https://www.drugoffice.gov.hk/eps/ do/en/doc/List_of_registered_pharmaceutical_products_ containing_paracetamol.pdf. Accessed 17 Sep 2023.
3. Joint Formulary Committee. Paracetamol. In: British National Formulary. 78th ed. London: BNF Publications; 2019.
4. Burns MJ, Friedman SL, Larson AM. Acetaminophen (paracetamol) poisoning in adults: pathophysiology, presentation, and evaluation. August 2024. Available from: https://www.uptodate.com/contents/acetaminophen-paracetamol-poisoning-in-adults-pathophysiology-presentation-and-evaluation. Accessed 16 Sep 2024.
5. Prescott LF, Illingworth RN, Critchley JA, Stewart MJ, Adam RD, Proudfoot AT. Intravenous N-acetylcysteine: the treatment of choice for paracetamol poisoning. Br Med J 1979;2:1097-100. Crossref
6. Kurtovic J, Riordan SM. Paracetamol-induced hepatotoxicity at recommended dosage. J Intern Med 2003;253:240-3. Crossref
7. Prescott LF. Therapeutic misadventure with paracetamol: fact or fiction? Am J Ther 2000;7:99-114. Crossref
8. Dom AM, Royzer R, Olson-Chen C. Malnourishment-associated acetaminophen toxicity in pregnancy. Obstet Gynecol 2021;137:877-80. Crossref
9. Health Services Safety Investigations Body. Investigation report: unintentional paracetamol overdose in adult inpatients with low bodyweight. February 2022. Available from: https://www.hsib.org.uk/investigations-and-reports/unintentional-overdose-of-paracetamol-in-adults-with-low-bodyweight/unintentional-paracetamol-overdose-in-adult-inpatients-with-low-bodyweight/. Accessed 17 Sep 2023.
10. State of Queensland (Queensland Health), Queensland Government, Australia. Guideline for Safe Paracetamol Use. January 2023. Available from: https://www.health.qld.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0016/1211443/guideline-safe-paracetamol-use.pdf. Accessed 17 Sep 2023.
11. US Food and Drug Administration. FDA Drug Safety Communication: prescription acetaminophen products to be limited to 325 mg per dosage unit; boxed warning will highlight potential for severe liver failure. Available from: https://www.fda.gov/drugs/drug-safety-and-availability/fda-drug-safety-communication-prescription-acetaminophen-products-be-limited-325-mg-dosage-unit. Accessed 1 Oct 2024.
12. Health Products Regulatory Authority. Summary of product characteristics. Available from: https://www.hpra.ie/img/uploaded/swedocuments/Licence_PA22749-005-001_22072022162254.pdf. Accessed 1 Oct 2024.
13. Hong Kong Poison Control Centre, Hospital Authority. Hong Kong Poison Information Centre. 2024. Available from: https://www.pcc.org.hk/en-US/units/hk-poison-information-centre/. Accessed 2 Oct 2024.
14. Chow TY, Chan CK, Ng SH, Tse ML. Hong Kong Poison Information Centre: annual report 2020. Hong Kong J Emerg Med 2023;30:117-30. Crossref
15. Goldberg E, Chopra S, Rubin JN. Acute liver failure in adults: etiology, clinical manifestations, and diagnosis. December 2020. Available from: https://www.medilib.ir/uptodate/show/3574. Accessed 16 Sep 2024.
16. Bellanti F, Lo Buglio A, Quiete S, Vendemiale G. Malnutrition in hospitalized old patients: screening and diagnosis, clinical outcomes, and management. Nutrients 2022;14:910. Crossref
17. Drug Office, Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government. Tips for using medicines containing paracetamol. December 2023. Available from: https://www.drugoffice.gov.hk/eps/do/en/consumer/news_informations/knowledge_on_medicines/paracetamol.html. Accessed 16 Sep 2024.
18. Watkins PB, Kaplowitz N, Slattery JT, et al. Aminotransferase elevations in healthy adults receiving 4 grams of acetaminophen daily: a randomized controlled trial. JAMA 2006;296:87-93. Crossref
19. Heard K. Asymptomatic alanine aminotransferase elevations with therapeutic doses of acetaminophen. Clin Toxicol (Phila) 2011;49:90-3. Crossref
20. Heard K, Green JL, Anderson V, Bucher-Bartelson B, Dart RC. A randomized, placebo-controlled trial to determine the course of aminotransferase elevation during prolonged acetaminophen administration. BMC Pharmacol Toxicol 2014;15:39. Crossref
21. Sonn BJ, Heard KJ, Heard SM, et al. Metabolomic markers predictive of hepatic adaptation to therapeutic dosing of acetaminophen. Clin Toxicol (Phila) 2022;60:221-30. Crossref
22. Sabaté M, Ibáñez L, Pérez E, et al. Paracetamol in therapeutic dosages and acute liver injury: causality assessment in a prospective case series. BMC Gastroenterol 2011;11:80. Crossref
23. Louvet A, Ntandja Wandji LC, Lemaître E, et al. Acute liver injury with therapeutic doses of acetaminophen: a prospective study. Hepatology 2021;73:1945-5. Crossref
24. Mian P, Allegaert K, Spriet I, Tibboel D, Petrovic M. Paracetamol in older people: towards evidence-based dosing? Drugs Aging 2018;35:603-24. Crossref
25. Mitchell SJ, Hilmer SN, Murnion BP, Matthews S. Hepatotoxicity of therapeutic short-course paracetamol in hospital inpatients: impact of ageing and frailty. J Clin Pharm Ther 2011;36:327-35. Crossref

End-of-life practices in Hong Kong intensive care units: results from the Ethicus-2 study

Hong Kong Med J 2024 Aug;30(4):300–9 | Epub 15 Aug 2024
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
End-of-life practices in Hong Kong intensive care units: results from the Ethicus-2 study
Gavin Matthew Joynt, MBBCh, FHKAM (Anaesthesiology)1; Steven KH Ling, MB, ChB, FHKAM (Anaesthesiology)2; LL Chang, MB, ChB, FHKAM (Medicine)3; Polly NW Tsai, MB, BS, FHKAM (Medicine)4; Gary KF Au, MB, ChB, FHKAM (Medicine)5; Dominic HK So, MB, BS, FHKAM (Anaesthesiology)6; FL Chow, MB, BS, FHKAM (Medicine)7; Philip KN Lam, MB, BS, FHKAM (Medicine)8; Alexander Avidan, MD9; Charles L Sprung, MD9; Anna Lee, MPH, PhD1; Hong Kong Ethicus-2 study Group
for the Hong Kong Ethicus-2 study group (group members are listed at the end of the article)
1 Department of Anaesthesia and Intensive Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Prince of Wales Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
2 Department of Intensive Care, Tuen Mun Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
3 Department of Intensive Care, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
4 Adult Intensive Care Unit, Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
5 Department of Intensive Care, Kwong Wah Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
6 Department of Intensive Care Unit, Princess Margaret Hospital/Yan Chai Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
7 Department of Intensive Care, Caritas Medical Centre, Hong Kong SAR, China
8 Department of Intensive Care, North District Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
9 Department of Anesthesiology, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Hadassah Medical Organization and Faculty of Medicine, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel
 
Corresponding author: Prof Gavin Matthew Joynt (gavinmjoynt@cuhk.edu.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: The need for end-of-life care is common in intensive care units (ICUs). Although guidelines exist, little is known about actual end-of-life care practices in Hong Kong ICUs. The study aim was to provide a detailed description of these practices.
 
Methods: This prospective, multicentre observational sub-analysis of the Ethicus-2 study explored end-of-life practices in eight participating Hong Kong ICUs. Consecutive adult ICU patients admitted during a 6-month period with life-sustaining treatment (LST) limitation or death were included. Follow-up continued until death or 2 months from the initial decision to limit LST.
 
Results: Of 4922 screened patients, 548 (11.1%) had LST limitation (withholding or withdrawal) or died (failed cardiopulmonary resuscitation/brain death). Life-sustaining treatment limitation occurred in 455 (83.0%) patients: 353 (77.6%) had decisions to withhold LST and 102 (22.4%) had decisions to withdraw LST. Of those who died without LST limitation, 80 (86.0%) had failed cardiopulmonary resuscitation and 13 (14.0%) were declared brain dead. Discussions of LST limitation were initiated by ICU physicians in most (86.2%) cases. Shared decision-making between ICU physicians and families was the predominant model; only 6.0% of patients retained decision-making capacity. Primary medical reasons for LST limitation were unresponsiveness to maximal therapy (49.2%) and multiorgan failure (17.1%). The most important consideration for decision-making was the patient’s best interest (81.5%).
 
Conclusion: Life-sustaining treatment limitations are common in Hong Kong ICUs; shared decision-making between physicians and families in the patient’s best interest is the predominant model. Loss of decision-making capacity is common at the end of life. Patients should be encouraged to communicate end-of-life treatment preferences to family members/surrogates, or through advance directives.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Life-sustaining treatment (LST) limitation at the end of life is common in Hong Kong intensive care units (ICUs).
  • Compared with international practices, the time from admission to LST limitation is relatively long in Hong Kong.
  • Shared decision-making between healthcare providers and patients, family members, or patient surrogates is the predominant decision-making model.
  • Most patients lack the mental capacity for decision-making at the end of life.
  • Patient preferences regarding the use of life-sustaining therapies at the end of life are usually unknown, and the use of advance directives is rare.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • End-of-life care practices in Hong Kong ICUs generally align with local guidelines and the international consensus.
  • Local factors possibly preventing earlier implementation of LST limitation in appropriate patients should be explored.
  • The public should be educated to communicate their preferences regarding the use of life-sustaining therapies in ICUs to surrogates/family members, or through advance directives.
 
 
Introduction
Despite high-quality care, many patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) do not survive; therefore, management of the dying process is a required skill among modern healthcare professionals.1 Life-sustaining technology has advanced sufficiently that it is possible to maintain vital organ function despite the knowledge that the patient’s return to health and an acceptable quality of life is no longer feasible. In these situations, a decision to limit life-sustaining treatment (LST) has become a common clinical practice in most countries worldwide.2 3 4 5 6 In recent decades, attempts to define desirable principles for end-of-life care according to a global professional consensus have achieved considerable success.3 Nevertheless, decision-making processes for death and dying are likely to be heavily influenced by regional and cultural norms and expectations; thus, it is reasonable to expect different medical practices related to end-of-life decisions. Several local and international surveys of healthcare professionals have revealed regional differences in attitudes towards end-of-life ethical concerns, as well as substantial differences in clinical practices.7 8 9 10 11 Limited prospective observational data from international studies support the existence of regional variability in end-of-life practices.5 12 13
 
Hong Kong is a special administrative region of China with an overwhelmingly Chinese population; nevertheless, it maintains an independent fiscal budget and healthcare system. The Hong Kong Hospital Authority, funded by the Hong Kong SAR Government, provides >90% of hospital-based services available for the local population; although nearly all healthcare workers in the public health services exhibit Chinese ethnicity, health services are based on Western medical conventions.14 Hong Kong is considered a high-income region, and recently published patient outcomes data indicate that the Hong Kong Hospital Authority provides high-quality intensive care services.15 The juxtaposition of a Western medical system and a culturally Chinese population creates a situation where Western medical practices (driven by Western cultural and ethical values) may conflict with Chinese cultural values, particularly at the end of life when deep-rooted cultural beliefs may become more relevant. A small number of studies have explored end-of-life care practices in Hong Kong ICUs; these include a survey of ICU physicians’ ethical attitudes concerning end-of-life care8 and a prospective observational study regarding end-of-life practices at a single tertiary university hospital.16 No observational territory-wide data have been published thus far. Additionally, end-of-life practices in Europe have substantially changed in recent decades17; similar changes may have occurred in Hong Kong, although previous comparative data are sparse.16 Multiple Hong Kong ICUs participated in the recent worldwide Ethicus-2 study,13 18 with the understanding that the Hong Kong data would be accessible for secondary analysis. The aim of this study was to provide a detailed description of current end-of-life care practices in Hong Kong.
 
Methods
This study constituted a secondary analysis of the Ethicus-2 database, focusing on the Hong Kong data. The Ethicus-2 study was a prospective, multicentre, global observational study of end-of-life practices in 199 ICUs across 36 countries.13 17 All 15 adult ICUs in publicly funded hospitals in Hong Kong were invited to participate by the Hong Kong study coordinator, representing the Hong Kong Society of Critical Care Medicine. Eight ICUs in Hong Kong participated.
 
Consecutive adult patients admitted to the ICU over an individual ICU-selected 6-month period between 1 September 2015 and 30 September 2016 with LST limitation or death were included. Follow-up continued until death or 2 months from the initial decision to limit LST. End-of-life categories included withholding LST, withdrawing LST, active shortening of the dying process, failed cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), and brain death. These categories were mutually exclusive; if more than one limitation was triggered in a particular case, the most stringent limitation was chosen (ie, active shortening of the dying process was considered more stringent than LST withdrawal, followed by LST withholding).
 
Data were collected by the senior physician, or a representative, responsible for making end-of-life decisions. De-identified patient data were entered into a secure online database. Collected data included age; sex; religion; end-of-life category; admission date, time, and diagnoses; chronic disorders; use of ventilation and vasopressors, sedatives, or analgesics; date and time of hospital and ICU admission; and date and time of death or discharge from the ICU or hospital. End-of-life process data collected included type, date, and time of LST; presence of information about patient wishes; discussions with the patient or their family; degree of concurrence between the decision and patient/family wishes; and reasons for treatment decisions.
 
Data quality was monitored by concurrent audit and feedback, with a quality review involving 5% of all patients.17 Categorical variables were reported as numbers and percentages within end-of-life groups. After normality assessment using the Shapiro–Wilk test, continuous variables were reported as means (standard deviations) or medians (interquartile ranges [IQRs]), as appropriate. Differences among LST withholding, LST withdrawal, and no LST limitation groups were compared using analysis of variance, the Kruskal–Wallis H test, or the Chi squared test, as appropriate. Subsequent pairwise group comparisons were performed with Bonferroni correction for multiple tests. All analyses were performed using SPSS software (Windows version 27.0; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], United States).
 
This prospective observational study has been reported in accordance with the STROBE (Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology) checklist for observational studies.
 
Results
The eight participating ICUs were distributed across Hong Kong; at least two ICUs represented each of the New Territories, Kowloon, and Hong Kong Island. Two ICUs were located in academic university hospitals (comprising 20 and 25 acute ICU beds, respectively), and the remainder were located in medium-to-large regional hospitals (ranging from 12 to 22 acute ICU beds per unit).
 
Among the 4922 consecutive patients screened during the study period, 548 (11.1%) patients with LST limitation (withholding or withdrawal) or death (failed CPR or brain death) were included in the study. Life-sustaining treatment limitation occurred in 455 (83.0%) patients, including 353 (77.6%) with decisions to withhold LST and 102 (22.4%) with decisions to withdraw LST. Of the 93 patients who died without LST limitation, 80 (86.0%) had failed CPR, and 13 (14.0%) experienced brain death (Fig 1). No patients underwent shortening of the dying process.
 

Figure 1. Patient flow diagram
 
Patient characteristics are summarised in Table 1; knowledge of patient and family/surrogate wishes, as well as the timing of end-of-life processes, are described in Table 2. Patients without LST limitation had a shorter duration of ICU stay (median: 3 days, IQR=1-6) compared with patients who had decisions to withhold (median: 4 days, IQR=2-13) or withdraw (median: 6 days, IQR=3-11) [P<0.001].
 

Table 1. Patient demographics and characteristics on admission
 

Table 2. Patients’ treatment wishes and subsequent end-of-life processes
 
The prevalences of treatments withheld or withdrawn at the initial and final decisions to limit LST are shown in Figure 2. Higher percentages of patients had endotracheal tube (P=0.009), renal replacement therapy (P<0.001), and sedation/analgesia (P=0.002) withheld at the final decision, compared with the initial decision. Similarly, higher percentages of patients had endotracheal tube, mechanical ventilation, vasopressor, and renal replacement therapy withdrawn at the final decision (all P<0.001), compared with the initial decision.
 

Figure 2. Life-sustaining treatment limitation (in percentages) at the time of (a) initial and (b) final decisions to withhold or withdraw life-sustaining treatment
 
Information about decision-making practices for patients with LST limitation is provided in Table 3. In the majority of cases, the ICU physician was involved in key aspects of end-of-life decision-making and implementation. The responsible ICU physicians’ explanations of the reasons and considerations for supporting end-of-life decisions are provided in Table 4. The primary clinical reason for limiting LST was unresponsiveness to maximal therapy; the patient’s best interest, perceived good medical practice, and autonomy were key decision-making considerations.
 

Table 3. End-of-life practices in patients with life-sustaining treatment limitation (n=455)
 

Table 4. End-of-life decision-making: primary clinical reasons, considerations, and difficulties reported for patients with lifesustaining treatment limitation (n=455)
 
Discussion
This is the first large, multicentre, prospective, observational study of end-of-life care practices in Hong Kong ICUs. Our main findings were that LST limitation preceded >80% of patient deaths, and that death occurred in the vast majority of patients with LST limitation; only 4% of patients with LST limitation were alive at 2 months. Only 15% of ICU patients died after failed CPR (ie, without any LST limitations). Advance directives were rarely available, and no cases of active shortening of the dying process (euthanasia) were reported. Life-sustaining treatment limitation occurred in the majority (83.0%) of patients, predominantly via withholding (77.6%); withdrawal was less common (22.4%) [Fig 1]. High rates of LST limitation, such as those observed in this study, are generally presumed to reflect good end-of-life practices and have been associated with the presence of written end-of-life guidelines,19 such as those provided by the Hong Kong Hospital Authority.20
 
Withholding and withdrawing life-sustaining treatment
Regarding treatments that were withdrawn or withheld, the withholding of CPR universally accompanied all limitation decisions. Nutrition, hydration, and sedation were rarely withheld or withdrawn at any time, consistent with guidance from professional bodies in Hong Kong that additional safeguards are necessary when considering these actions.20 At the time of the initial limitation decision, there was relatively frequent withholding of vasopressors and renal replacement therapy; withholding or withdrawal of endotracheal tubes was less common. Although the patterns of LST limitation were similar between the initial and final decisions, such that withholding remained more prevalent than withdrawal, a substantial increase was observed in the prevalence of LST withdrawal at the time of the final decision. This finding may reflect the common Chinese cultural perspective that LST withholding and withdrawal are not ethically equivalent, with a documented preference for withholding over withdrawal as an end-of-life care strategy.8 11 The increase in withdrawal prevalence at the time of the final decision across key treatment categories (eg, vasopressors, mechanical ventilation, and renal replacement therapy) suggests that, with increasing prognostic certainty and clear progression towards death, LST withdrawal becomes more acceptable. There also appeared to be a greater reluctance to adopt withdrawal strategies early in the ICU stay, evidenced by the longer interval between ICU admission and initial limitation, if the initial limitation was withdrawal. This tendency may also reflect the need for greater prognostic certainty prior to the implementation of a withdrawal strategy. Comparisons with international data indicate that although the high rate of LST limitation prior to death is similar to practices in other countries, the early and more frequent use of withholding (rather than withdrawal) remains distinct from practices reported in North America, North and Central Europe, and Asia.13
 
Comparative historical data from Hong Kong are limited. A single-centre observational study conducted between 1997 and 1999 showed that LST limitation occurred in 59% of patients,16 although its LST limitation categories are not fully aligned with those of the current study. Notably, the mean interval between ICU admission and LST limitation in this previous study was nearly 8 days,16 whereas the median interval in the current study was 1.8 days (IQR=0.5-7); this difference suggests that recognition of the need for LST limitation is occurring much earlier in Hong Kong, consistent with a pattern observed in Europe during the same period.17 21 When LST limitation is indicated, earlier intervention leads to a shorter duration of patient discomfort; the observed reduction in time to limitation may represent a meaningful practice improvement over time.
 
Despite similar rates of LST withholding/withdrawal, the low rate of survival after LST limitation in Hong Kong (3%-4%)—comparable to the findings in a previous pan-European study12—contrasts with current European ICU outcomes, where the combined survival rate after LST withdrawal or withholding was 20%.17 This difference may possibly be attributed to implementing LST in patients at the very end-of-life when prognostic certainty is greater. The earlier implementation of end-of-life interventions may represent an area for further exploration to improve end-of-life ICU practices and minimise suffering.
 
Practice components of end-of-life care
Key practices in end-of-life decision-making included the initiation of discussions to limit LST by ICU physicians in the vast majority of cases; when such discussions began, ICU physicians were always involved in end-of-life decision-making processes. Notably, shared decision-making between ICU physicians and families was the predominant model reported. These findings align with the best practices described in recent international expert consensus documents.1 3 Despite frequent use of the shared decision-making model, direct or indirect knowledge of the patient’s wishes regarding LST was available for fewer than half of patients (40.3%); in the vast majority of cases (94.6%), this information was transmitted by relatives rather than by the patient themselves. Only 33 (6.0%) patients had decision-making capacity during the decision-making process, and only two (0.4%) patients had advance directives (Table 2). These results highlight the need to encourage patients to discuss their wishes regarding future end-of-life care preferences with relatives, or communicate such wishes through the use of advance directives, ensuring that patients receive the preferred level of care at this critical time. Nevertheless, levels of agreement among all parties regarding end-of-life decisions were high, and delays in decision-making due to disagreement were uncommon.
 
Advance directives
Advance directives in Hong Kong ICUs were rarely available, possibly due to selection bias; individuals with advanced disease and a greater likelihood of advance directives may have lower ICU admission priority. However, the current rate of advance directive use in North American ICUs at the end of life is nearly 50%.18 A relatively recent population-based study demonstrated very low public awareness of advance directives in Hong Kong, such that 86% of participants reported no previous knowledge of the advance directive concept.22 However, once informed of this concept, the majority of participants indicated a willingness to consider using such directives. The legislative process to formalise advance directive use in Hong Kong has substantially progressed, and there is a recognised need for public education and healthcare professional–specific guidance to promote the use of these directives.23 24
 
Patient characteristics and reasons for limitations of life-sustaining treatment
In the present study, the most common diagnostic categories at ICU admission were respiratory (43.4%) and sepsis-related (38.0%) [Table 1], similar to reported findings in most other regions worldwide.18 There were no substantial age or sex differences regarding LST limitation, but there were distinct differences in ICU admission diagnoses, such that limitation was less likely in patients with cardiovascular conditions and more likely in patients with sepsis or gastrointestinal disease. The vast majority of patients exhibited at least one co-morbidity, again similar to recently reported findings in other regions.18 Intriguingly, no patients with cancer were among those who died without LST limitation.
 
The primary clinical reasons for initiating LST limitation included unresponsiveness to maximal therapy, multiorgan failure, and neurologic failure; in few cases, the limitation arose from a family request or mainly in relation to quality of life (Table 4). Overwhelmingly, the primary consideration for decision-making was the patient’s best interest, followed by the principle of good medical practice, defined as the recognition that continued maximal therapy would not be beneficial for the patient (Table 4). These observations closely match the responses recently provided by a group of international experts who were asked to rank the triggers they would likely use in clinical practice to initiate discussions about LST limitation.1
 
Decision-making at end-of-life
Two questions related to decision-making and patient treatment wishes revealed an interesting observation. Across all end-of-life categories, approximately 70% of physicians in charge of end-of-life decision-making reported that if the patient’s wishes were known, they were followed. In contrast, when a surrogate’s treatment wishes were known, they were followed in nearly every case (Table 2). These responses indicate that the family’s treatment preferences are respected more frequently compared with known patient preferences, in contrast to guidelines from the Medical Council of Hong Kong25 and the Hospital Authority.20 Both guidelines clearly state that treatment preferences should be sought via communication with patients and family when possible, and a consensus should be reached; however, when conflicting views cannot be reconciled, the patient’s treatment preferences should supersede the family’s preferences.20 25 It is possible that physicians prioritised the family’s preferences because few patients were capable of direct communication; there was low certainty regarding perceived patient wishes when communicated through third parties. Nevertheless, this finding warrants further investigation and reflection among Hong Kong ICU healthcare professionals.
 
Most communication related to end-of-life decision-making occurred between ICU physicians and family/surrogates; nurses, primary physicians, and consulting physicians were involved in fewer than half of the reported cases. It has been suggested that this relatively low percentage of nurse involvement is an underestimate because most data were reported by physicians who may be unaware of nurse involvement.26 Decision agreement between healthcare staff and family members, as well as among family members, was reportedly very high (>95%) [Table 3]. Disagreements between family and staff were rare, as were delays in implementing end-of-life care because of disagreement, indicating a high level of acceptance of the decision-making process by the public and healthcare professionals in Hong Kong.
 
Strengths and limitations
This study’s strengths included its involvement of a large number of patients over a 6-month period, provision of detailed follow-up data for up to 2 months, prospective design, and representation of most public ICUs in Hong Kong. Moreover, the data were provided by the physician in charge of end-of-life decision-making, with support from clear definitions and uniform collection across ICUs; they were also subjected to external quality control measures, minimising measurement bias. The main limitations were the lack of random ICU allocation and inclusion of consenting ICUs only, which may have introduced selection bias.
 
Conclusion
Data from the majority of Hong Kong ICUs, spanning the entire territory and representing both academic and non-academic ICUs, revealed that LST limitation occurs in most patients prior to death in ICU. Practices generally align with recommendations from local professional bodies and key international consensus documents. Although decision-making is usually initiated by ICU physicians, shared decision-making between medical staff and family/surrogates is the predominant model. Because a loss of decision-making capacity is common in the ICU, patients should be encouraged to communicate their wishes regarding end-of-life care through dialogue with relatives or more formal methods. Certain practices and outcomes observed in Hong Kong are more similar to those reported in North America and Europe than to patterns in other parts of Asia.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design: CL Sprung, A Avidan, GM Joynt.
Acquisition of data: GM Joynt, SKH Ling, LL Chang, PNW Tsai, GKF Au, DHK So, FL Chow, PKN Lam.
Analysis or interpretation of data: A Lee, GM Joynt.
Drafting of the manuscript: GM Joynt.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: All authors.
 
All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Funding/support
No funding was obtained to conduct this research from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors. The Walter F and Alice Gorham Foundation funded the international co-ordination of the Ethicus-2 study. The Foundation had no part in the design and conduct of the research; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript for publication.
 
Ethics approval
This research was approved by the relevant Research Ethics Committee for each of the participating centres, including:
(1) Tuen Mun Hospital—The New Territories West Cluster Research Ethics Committee of Hospital Authority, Hong Kong (Ref No.: NTWC/CREC/15078);
(2) Prince of Wales Hospital and North District Hospital—The Joint Chinese University of Hong Kong—New Territories East Cluster Clinical Research Ethics Committee, Hong Kong (Ref No.: 2015.080);
(3) Caritas Medical Centre—The Kowloon West Cluster Research Ethics Committee of the Hospital Authority, Hong Kong [Ref No.: KW/EX-15-103(88-02)];
(4) Kwong Wah Hospital—The Kowloon West Cluster Research Ethics Committee of the Hospital Authority, Hong Kong [Ref No.: KW/EX-15-105(88-04)];
(5) Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital—The Hong Kong East Cluster Research Ethics Committee of the Hospital Authority, Hong Kong (Ref No.: HKEC-2015-028);
(6) Princess Margaret Hospital—The Kowloon West Cluster Research Ethics Committee of the Hospital Authority, Hong Kong [Ref No.: KW/EX-15-104(88-03)]; and
(7) Queen Mary Hospital—Institutional Review Board of The University of Hong Kong / Hospital Authority Hong Kong West Cluster, Hong Kong (Ref No.: UW 15-361).
 
The requirement for informed patient consent was waived by the relevant Clinical Research Ethics Committees as the study was observational only, where all collected data were anonymised at source and only de-identified data were passed on to the co-ordinating centre for analysis, and risk to participants was minimal.
Members of the Hong Kong Ethicus-2 study group (in alphabetical order):
Gary KF Au, Department of Intensive Care, Kwong Wah Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
Alexander Avidan, Department of Anesthesiology, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Hadassah Medical Organization and Faculty of Medicine, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel
KC Chan, Department of Intensive Care, Tuen Mun Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
WM Chan, Adult Intensive Care Unit, Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
LL Chang, Department of Intensive Care, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
FL Chow, Department of Intensive Care, Caritas Medical Centre, Hong Kong SAR, China
Gavin Matthew Joynt, Department of Anaesthesia and Intensive Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Prince of Wales Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
Gladys WM Kwan, Department of Intensive Care, Tuen Mun Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
Philip KN Lam, Department of Intensive Care, North District Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
Anna Lee, Department of Anaesthesia and Intensive Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Prince of Wales Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
E Leung, Adult Intensive Care Unit, Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
Steven KH Ling, Department of Intensive Care, Tuen Mun Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
CH Ng, Department of Intensive Care, Kwong Wah Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
HP Shum, Department of Intensive Care, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
Dominic HK So, Department of Intensive Care Unit, Princess Margaret Hospital/Yan Chai Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
Charles L Sprung, Department of Anesthesiology, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Hadassah Medical Organization and Faculty of Medicine, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel
L Sy, Department of Intensive Care, North District Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
Polly NW Tsai, Adult Intensive Care Unit, Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
HH Tsang, Department of Intensive Care, Kwong Wah Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
WT Wong, Department of Anaesthesia and Intensive Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Prince of Wales Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
References
1. Joynt GM, Lipman J, Hartog C, et al. The Durban World Congress Ethics Round Table IV: health care professional end-of-life decision making. J Crit Care 2015;30:224-30. Crossref
2. Vincent JL. Forgoing life support in western European intensive care units: the results of an ethical questionnaire. Crit Care Med 1999;27:1626-33. Crossref
3. Sprung CL, Truog RD, Curtis JR, et al. Seeking worldwide professional consensus on the principles of end-of-life care for the critically ill. The Consensus for Worldwide End-of-Life Practice for Patients in Intensive Care Units (WELPICUS) study. Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2014;190:855-66. Crossref
4. Phua J, Joynt GM, Nishimura M, et al. Withholding and withdrawal of life-sustaining treatments in low-middle-income versus high-income Asian countries and regions. Intensive Care Med 2016;42:1118-27. Crossref
5. Lobo SM, De Simoni FH, Jakob SM, et al. Decision-making on withholding or withdrawing life support in the ICU: a worldwide perspective. Chest 2017;152:321-9. Crossref
6. Wong WT, Phua J, Joynt GM. Worldwide end-of-life practice for patients in ICUs. Curr Opin Anaesthesiol 2018;31:172-8. Crossref
7. Attitudes of critical care medicine professionals concerning forgoing life-sustaining treatments. The Society of Critical Care Medicine Ethics Committee [editorial]. Crit Care Med 1992;20:320-6. Crossref
8. Yap HY, Joynt GM, Gomersall CD. Ethical attitudes of intensive care physicians in Hong Kong: questionnaire survey. Hong Kong Med J 2004;10:244-50.
9. Yaguchi A, Truog RD, Curtis JR, et al. International differences in end-of-life attitudes in the intensive care unit: results of a survey. Arch Intern Med 2005;165:1970-5. Crossref
10. Bito S, Asai A. Attitudes and behaviors of Japanese physicians concerning withholding and withdrawal of life-sustaining treatment for end-of-life patients: results from an Internet survey. BMC Med Ethics 2007;8:7. Crossref
11. Weng L, Joynt GM, Lee A, et al. Attitudes towards ethical problems in critical care medicine: the Chinese perspective. Intensive Care Med 2011;37:655-64. Crossref
12. Sprung CL, Cohen SL, Sjokvist P, et al. End-of-life practices in European intensive care units: the Ethicus study. JAMA 2003;290:790-7. Crossref
13. Avidan A, Sprung CL, Schefold JC, et al. Variations in end-of-life practices in intensive care units worldwide (Ethicus-2): a prospective observational study. Lancet Respir Med 2021;9:1101-10. Crossref
14. Kong X, Yang Y, Gao J, et al. Overview of the health care system in Hong Kong and its referential significance to mainland China. J Chin Med Assoc 2015;78:569-73. Crossref
15. Ling L, Ho CM, Ng PY, et al. Characteristics and outcomes of patients admitted to adult intensive care units in Hong Kong: a population retrospective cohort study from 2008 to 2018. J Intensive Care 2021;9:2. Crossref
16. Buckley TA, Joynt GM, Tan PY, Cheng CA, Yap FH. Limitation of life support: frequency and practice in a Hong Kong intensive care unit. Crit Care Med 2004;32:415-20. Crossref
17. Sprung CL, Ricou B, Hartog CS, et al. Changes in end-of-life practices in European intensive care units from 1999 to 2016. JAMA 2019;322:1692-704. Crossref
18. Feldman C, Sprung CL, Mentzelopoulos SD, et al. Global comparison of communication of end-of-life decisions in the ICU. Chest 2022;162:1074-85. Crossref
19. Mentzelopoulos SD, Chen S, Nates JL, et al. Derivation and performance of an end-of-life practice score aimed at interpreting worldwide treatment-limiting decisions in the critically ill. Crit Care 2022;26:106. Crossref
20. Hospital Authority, Hong Kong SAR Government. Working Group on review of Hospital Authority Clinical Ethics Committee (HKCEC) guidelines related to EOL decisionmaking. HA Guidelines on Life-Sustaining Treatment in the Terminally Ill. 2020. Available from: https://www.ha.org.hk/haho/ho/psrm/LSTEng.pdf. Accessed 4 Jul 2023.
21. Lesieur O, Herbland A, Cabasson S, Hoppe MA, Guillaume F, Leloup M. Changes in limitations of life-sustaining treatments over time in a French intensive care unit: a prospective observational study. J Crit Care 2018;47:21-9. Crossref
22. Chung RY, Wong EL, Kiang N, et al. Knowledge, attitudes, and preferences of advance decisions, end-of-life care, and place of care and death in Hong Kong. A population-based telephone survey of 1067 adults. J Am Med Dir Assoc 2017;18:367.e19-27. Crossref
23. Food and Health Bureau, Hong Kong SAR Government. End-of-Life Care: Legislative Proposals on Advance Directives and Dying in Place Consultation Report. July 2020. Available from: https://www.healthbureau.gov.hk/download/press_and_publications/consultation/190900_eolcare/e_EOL_consultation_report.pdf. Accessed 4 Jul 2023.
24. Fong BY, Yee HH, Ng TK. Advance directives in Hong Kong: moving forward to legislation. Ann Palliat Med 2022;11:2622-30. Crossref
25. Medical Council of Hong Kong. Code of professional conduct: for the guidance of registered medical practitioners. Revised October 2022. Available from: https://www.mchk.org.hk/english/code/files/Code_of_Professional_Conduct_(English_Version)_(Revised_in_October_2022).pdf. Accessed 4 Jul 2023.
26. Benbenishty J, Ganz FD, Anstey MH, et al. Changes in intensive care unit nurse involvement in end of life decision making between 1999 and 2016: descriptive comparative study. Intensive Crit Care Nurs 2022;68:103138. Crossref

Glycaemic control and microvascular complications among paediatric type 2 diabetes mellitus patients in Hong Kong at 2 years after diagnosis

Hong Kong Med J 2024 Aug;30(4):291–9 | Epub 16 Aug 2024
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Glycaemic control and microvascular complications among paediatric type 2 diabetes mellitus patients in Hong Kong at 2 years after diagnosis
WI Yam, MB, ChB, FHKAM (Paediatrics)1; Shirley MY Wong, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)1; PT Cheung, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)2; Elaine YW Kwan, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)3; YY Lam, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)4; LM Wong, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)5; KL Ng, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)6; Sammy WC Wong, MB, ChB, FHKAM (Paediatrics)7; CY Lee, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)8; MK Tay, LMCHK, FHKAM (Paediatrics)9; KT Chan, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)3; Antony CC Fu, MB, ChB, FHKAM (Paediatrics)10; Joanna YL Tung, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)11; Gloria SW Pang, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)11; HC Yau, MB, ChB, FHKAM (Paediatrics)12; Queenie WS See, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)2; Priscilla WC Lo, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)6; Sharon WY To, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)10; HW Yuen, MB, ChB, FHKAM (Paediatrics)4; Jacky YK Chung, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)8; Eunice WY Wong, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)5; Sarah WY Poon, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)11; Charlotte HY Lam, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)7; Suki SY Chan, LMCHK, MRCPCH12; Janez HC Tsui, MB, BS, MRCPCH3; Cindy SY Chan, MB, BS, MRCPCH9; Betty WM But, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)1
1 Department of Paediatrics, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
2 Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Queen Mary Hospital, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
3 Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
4 Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Kwong Wah Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
5 Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Tuen Mun Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
6 Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, United Christian Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
7 Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Alice Ho Miu Ling Nethersole Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
8 Department of Paediatrics, Caritas Medical Centre, Hong Kong SAR, China
9 Department of Paediatrics, Tseung Kwan O Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
10 Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Princess Margaret Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
11 Department of Paediatrics, Hong Kong Children’s Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
12 Department of Paediatrics, Prince of Wales Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
 
Corresponding author: Dr WI Yam (ywi817@ha.org.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is becoming increasingly common among children and adolescents worldwide, including those in Hong Kong. This study analysed the characteristics and prevalence of microvascular complications among paediatric T2DM patients in Hong Kong at diagnosis and 2 years after diagnosis.
 
Methods: All patients aged <18 years who had been diagnosed with DM at public hospitals in Hong Kong were recruited into the Hong Kong Childhood Diabetes Registry. Data collected at diagnosis and 2 years after diagnosis were retrospectively retrieved from the Registry for patients diagnosed from 2014 to 2018.
 
Results: Median haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels were 7.5% (n=203) at diagnosis and 6.5% (n=135) 2 years after diagnosis; 59.3% of patients achieved optimal glycaemic control (HbA1c level <7%) at 2 years. A higher HbA1c level at diagnosis was associated with worse glycaemic control at 2 years (correlation coefficient=0.39; P<0.001). The presence of dyslipidaemia (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]=3.19; P=0.033) and fatty liver (aOR=2.50; P=0.021) at 2 years were associated with suboptimal glycaemic control. Diabetic neuropathy and retinopathy were rare in our cohort, but 18.6% of patients developed microalbuminuria (MA) within 2 years after diagnosis. Patients with MA had a higher HbA1c level at 2 years (median: 7.2% vs 6.4%; P=0.037). Hypertension was a risk factor for MA at 2 years, independent of glycaemic control (aOR=4.61; P=0.008).
 
Conclusion: These results highlight the importance of early diagnosis and holistic management (including co-morbidity management) for paediatric T2DM patients.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • A total of 59.3% of paediatric type 2 diabetes mellitus patients in Hong Kong had achieved satisfactory glycaemic control at 2 years after diagnosis.
  • Factors associated with suboptimal glycaemic control at 2 years after diagnosis were higher haemoglobin A1c level at diagnosis, fatty liver at 2 years, and dyslipidaemia at 2 years.
  • Overall, 18.6% of patients had microalbuminuria at 2 years and exhibited hypertension as a risk factor, independent of glycaemic control.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Early diagnosis of diabetes mellitus is important because initial disease severity predicts the risk of suboptimal glycaemic control at 2 years.
  • Management of co-morbidities, including fatty liver, dyslipidaemia, and hypertension, is important for the maintenance of glycaemic control and prevention of microalbuminuria.
 
 
Introduction
Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in children and adolescents (hereinafter, youth) is becoming increasingly common worldwide.1 2 A recent meta-analysis estimated that approximately 41 600 new cases of T2DM were identified among youth in 2021.3 Type 2 DM in youth exhibits relatively rapid clinical progression with a sharp decline in beta-cell function and high risk of complications.4 In a study recently published by the TODAY (Type 2 Diabetes in Adolescents and Youth) Study Group, which analysed 500 young adults with youth-onset T2DM, 60.1% of patients developed at least one microvascular complication (diabetic kidney, nerve, or retinal disease) and 28.4% of patients developed at least two complications.5 In addition to hyperglycaemia, the presence of co-morbidities (eg, hypertension and dyslipidaemia) was associated with an increased risk of complications.5
 
A similar increase in the incidence of T2DM has been observed in Hong Kong. We previously reported that the crude incidence rate increased from 1.27 per 100 000 person-years in 1997-2007 to 3.42 per 100 000 person-years in 2008-2017.6 However, there have been limited data regarding the outcomes of paediatric T2DM patients in Hong Kong. In this study, we reviewed the glycaemic control findings and microvascular complication rates among recently diagnosed paediatric T2DM patients in Hong Kong, with a focus on outcomes at 2 years after diagnosis; we sought to identify factors associated with poor glycaemic control and the development of microalbuminuria (MA).
 
Methods
Setting
Data analysed in this study were retrieved from the Hong Kong Childhood Diabetes Registry, a database established in 2016. The Registry was approved by the Research Ethics Committee of the Hospital Authority of Hong Kong, which includes 11 public hospitals. Investigators retrieved information from medical records and entered relevant data into the Registry. Standardised data entry forms for recording baseline clinical characteristics and annual entry forms were provided for investigators to enter data into the Registry at diagnosis and annually thereafter. Data were cross-checked by at least two investigators.
 
Inclusion and exclusion criteria
All patients aged <18 years who had been diagnosed with DM at public hospitals in Hong Kong were recruited. All recruited patients met the diagnostic criteria for DM according to the International Society for Paediatric and Adolescent Diabetes Clinical Practice Consensus Guidelines: patients were symptomatic and had either fasting blood glucose level ≥7 mmol/L, 2-hour blood glucose level ≥11.1 mmol/L during an oral glucose tolerance test, random blood glucose level ≥11.1 mmol/L, or haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) level ≥6.5%.4 Asymptomatic patients underwent repeat testing with a different test, as suggested in the Guidelines.4 The classification of DM was based on the attending clinician’s assessment of clinical symptoms and laboratory findings, including obesity status, family history, autoimmunity, and clinical course. Patients diagnosed with T2DM from 2014 to 2018 were included in the analysis, including those who had an initial diagnosis of type 1 DM that was subsequently revised to T2DM. Patients who refused Registry recruitment and patients whose diagnosis was revised to type 1 DM or maturity-onset DM of the young were not included in the analysis.
 
Data collection and definitions
The following data were retrieved from the Registry: patient age, sex, family history of T2DM (in first- or second-degree relatives), symptoms at presentation, anti-islet cell antibody test results, body mass index (BMI), HbA1c level, presence of co-morbidities (non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, dyslipidaemia, hypertension, and obstructive sleep apnoea), presence of complications (MA, retinopathy, and neuropathy), treatments received, and frequency of blood glucose self-monitoring. Overweight and obesity were defined using age- and sex-specific cut-offs established by the International Obesity Task Force, which predicted BMI values at 18 years (25, 30, and 35 kg/m2) by the respective standard deviations to define overweight, obesity and morbid obesity, respectively; standard deviations of BMI were calculated according to age- and sex-specific reference data provided by the International Obesity Task Force.7 In this study, weight loss was defined as any decrease in BMI z-score, and improvement in HbA1c level was defined as any decrease in HbA1c level. Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease was defined as an elevated alanine transferase level (based on age- and sex-specific reference data) or compatible ultrasound findings. Dyslipidaemia was defined as an elevated low-density lipoprotein level of ≥2.6 mmol/L, a triglyceride level ≥1.7 mmol/L, or the receipt of lipid-lowering agents. Hypertension was defined as an elevated systolic blood pressure ≥95th percentile for age, height, and sex—on at least two occasions—or the receipt of anti-hypertensive medication. Obstructive sleep apnoea was defined as the presence of clinical symptoms indicating sleep-disordered breathing, along with polysomnography findings of obstructive apnoeas/hypopneas. Microalbuminuria was defined as an elevated spot urine albumin-creatinine ratio >2.5 mg/mmol for boys and >3.5 mg/mmol for girls in at least two of three samples within a 6-month period, or as the receipt of any treatment for MA. Retinopathy (eg, non-proliferative and proliferative diabetic retinopathy, as well as macula oedema) was identified by digital fundus photography and confirmed via referral to an ophthalmologist. Neuropathy was clinically identified by the presence of symptoms (numbness and paraesthesia) and through clinical examinations including the 10-g monofilament test, vibration sense assessment, and ankle reflex evaluation. Suboptimal glycaemic control was defined as HbA1c level ≥7%, as suggested by the International Society for Paediatric and Adolescent Diabetes Clinical Practice Consensus Guidelines.4
 
Data analysis
Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS software (Windows version 23; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], United States). All available data were included in the statistical analysis, and the numbers of available values are listed in the tables. Continuous variables, including age, HbA1c level, and BMI z-score, were tested for normality using the Shapiro–Wilk test. Data with skewed distributions were expressed as medians and interquartile ranges (IQRs), and comparisons were made using the Mann-Whitney U test. Analyses of relationships between two continuous variables were assessed by Spearman rank correlation and expressed using the Spearman correlation coefficient (ρ). Categorical variables were expressed as exact numbers of patients with percentages. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to assess risk factors for suboptimal glycaemic control at 2 years and MA at 2 years. Univariate analyses were performed to determine unadjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals. Multivariate analyses of factors associated with suboptimal glycaemic control at 2 years were performed while including HbA1c level at diagnosis to adjust for initial disease severity. Multivariate analyses of factors associated with MA at 2 years were performed while including HbA1c level at 2 years to eliminate the effect of glycaemic control at 2 years; this approach was intended to independently assess the effects of co-morbidities. Missing data were not included in regression analyses. Statistical tests were two-sided and were performed with a 5% significance threshold (ie, alpha=0.05). The STROBE (Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology) checklist for cohort studies was used when reporting the study findings.
 
Results
Study population
In total, 212 patients diagnosed with T2DM between 2014 and 2018 were recruited into the Registry. Their baseline demographics are summarised in Tables 1 and 2. Of these patients, 71.3% had a family history of T2DM, and 21.7% were symptomatic at diagnosis (Table 1). At 2 years after the diagnosis of DM, 143 patients (67.5%) continued attending follow-up visits. There were no significant differences in baseline characteristics between the groups with and without follow-up at 2 years, except for a higher age at diagnosis in the loss to follow-up group (online supplementary Table).
 

Table 1. Baseline patient demographics
 

Table 2. Glycaemic control, co-morbidities and microvascular complications, and treatment received
 
Glycaemic control
Haemoglobin A1c levels at diagnosis, 1 year after diagnosis, and 2 years after diagnosis were available for 203, 176, and 135 patients, respectively. The median HbA1c levels at diagnosis, 1 year after diagnosis, and 2 years after diagnosis were 7.5% (IQR=6.5%-10.6%), 6.3% (IQR=5.8%-7.4%), and 6.5% (IQR=5.8%-8.0%), respectively; at these times, 65.5%, 29.0%, and 40.7% of patients had suboptimal glycaemic control (ie, HbA1c level ≥7%), respectively [Table 2].
 
Co-morbidities
There was an overall improvement in BMI z-score at 2 years after diagnosis (median BMI z-score decreased from 2.5 at diagnosis to 2.3 at 2 years). Overall, 146 of 191 patients (76.4%) had dyslipidaemia at diagnosis, whereas 62 of 95 patients (65.3%) had dyslipidaemia at 2 years. However, more patients had hypertension at 2 years—the number increased from 45 of 212 patients (21.2%) at diagnosis to 55 of 143 patients (38.5%) at 2 years (Table 2).
 
Microvascular complications
Overall, 21 of 113 (18.6%) patients screened at 2 years after diagnosis developed MA, compared with 9.0% at diagnosis. Two patients (1.8%) developed retinopathy, whereas one patient (0.9%) developed neuropathy, at 2 years after diagnosis (Table 2).
 
Treatments received and monitoring
At diagnosis, 24.1% of patients were not receiving any pharmacological treatment, 58.0% were receiving anti-diabetic drugs, and 18% required insulin. At 2 years, only 12.6% of patients were not receiving any medications. The proportions of patients requiring insulin were similar at diagnosis and 2 years (2.1%). In total, 64.9% of patients did not perform daily blood glucose self-monitoring (Table 2).
 
Factors affecting glycaemic control at 2 years
A higher initial HbA1c level was associated with suboptimal glycaemic level at 2 years (correlation coefficient=0.39, P<0.001; n=130). There were no significant correlations of HbA1c level at 2 years with age at diagnosis (correlation coefficient=0.02, P=0.852; n=135), BMI z-score at diagnosis (correlation coefficient=-0.10, P=0.277; n=133), or BMI z-score at 2 years (correlation coefficient=0.04, P=0.638; n=131). Greater decline in BMI z-score was associated with a lower HbA1c level at 2 years (correlation coefficient=-0.22, P=0.011; n=129). However, there was no correlation between the change in BMI z-score and the change in HbA1c level (correlation coefficient <0.01, P=0.973; n=126).
 
Table 3 shows factors associated with suboptimal glycaemic control at 2 years. The effect of a family history of T2DM was not statistically significant after adjustment for initial HbA1c level (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]=2.29; P=0.075). A similar result was observed regarding the effect of symptomatic disease at diagnosis (aOR=2.01; P=0.174) and weight loss (aOR=0.53; P=0.128). The presence of fatty liver (aOR=2.50; P=0.021) and dyslipidaemia (aOR=3.19; P=0.033) at 2 years were associated with suboptimal glycaemic control at 2 years, even after adjustment for initial HbA1c level.
 

Table 3. Factors associated with suboptimal glycaemic control (haemoglobin A1c level ≥7%) at 2 years
 
Factors associated with the development of microalbuminuria at 2 years
Patients with MA had higher HbA1c levels at 2 years compared with patients who did not exhibit MA (median HbA1c level: 7.2% vs 6.4%; P=0.037) [Table 4]. Dyslipidaemia at 2 years was associated with MA at 2 years in the univariate analysis (unadjusted odds ratio=5.51; P=0.030), but the effect did not remain statistically significant after adjusting for glycaemic control at 2 years (Table 5). The presence of hypertension at 2 years was a risk factor for MA at 2 years, independent of glycaemic control at 2 years (aOR=4.61; P=0.008) [Table 5].
 

Table 4. Univariate analysis of factors associated with the development of microalbuminuria at 2 years
 

Table 5. Multivariate analysis of factors associated with the development of microalbuminuria at 2 years
 
Discussion
Glycaemic control
The results of this study provide insights into the early post-diagnosis clinical course of T2DM among youth in Hong Kong. Nearly 60% of patients (59.3%) in our cohort had optimal glycaemic control with HbA1c level <7% at 2 years after diagnosis. Previous studies regarding glycaemic control among youth with T2DM showed variable results, presumably due to heterogeneity in the study populations, follow-up periods, and glycaemic targets.8 9 10 11 A clinical trial by the TODAY Study Group8 followed up 234 youth with DM, who were put on metformin and lifestyle modifications and with initial HbA1c level <8%, for 3.86 years on average. It showed that 46.6% of youth with DM exhibited loss of glycaemic control, defined by HbA1c level >8%.8 In a study of 301 paediatric T2DM patients with initial HbA1c level ≥7% in the United States, Barr et al9 found that after 1 year, 37% of patients achieved optimal control (HbA1c level ≤6.5%) and 58% achieved durable glycaemic control (HbA1c level ≤8%). However, at 3 years, only 26% of patients achieved HbA1c level ≤6.5%, whereas 59% exhibited HbA1c level ≤8%.9 Candler et al10 followed 100 paediatric T2DM patients in the United Kingdom; the median HbA1c level was 7% after 1 year, and 38.8% of patients exhibited HbA1c level <6.5%. Notably, no data regarding HbA1c levels at diagnosis were provided in the study.10 In a study of 96 patients in Israel, Meyerovitch et al11 found that the median HbA1c level was 7.97% after an average follow-up period of 3.11 years, compared with 7.8% at diagnosis. Additionally, >50% of patients required insulin at the end of the follow-up period.11 Although our cohort appeared to have better glycaemic control compared with the previous studies, our patients might have had lower initial HbA1c levels at diagnosis, considering that most of them were asymptomatic (78.3%). Our study also showed that patients with a higher initial HbA1c level tended to have a persistently high HbA1c level at 2 years. These findings emphasise the importance of early diagnosis and treatment before patients develop clinically significant hyperglycaemia, which makes DM more difficult to control. Most of our patients were overweight or obese (89.8%); many of them also had co-morbidities including hypertension, dyslipidaemia, and fatty liver (Table 2). Previous studies in Hong Kong showed a high risk of metabolic syndrome (OR up to 32.2) in overweight and obese children.12 13 Active screening for metabolic syndrome would enable early diagnosis and treatment of DM and its co-morbidities.
 
Co-morbidities
Factors associated with suboptimal glycaemic control were dyslipidaemia and fatty liver at 2 years after diagnosis. A recent study showed that each 1% increase in HbA1c level was associated with 13% and 20% increases in the risks of abnormal triglyceride and low-density lipoprotein levels, respectively.14 The importance of weight loss has been emphasised in various guidelines, for example, The American Diabetes Association recommends weight loss of at least 5% in adult overweight or obese DM patients.15 However, a specific weight loss target cannot be established in growing children. The study by Candler et al10 regarding youth with T2DM showed that each one-unit increase in BMI z-score was associated with a 34.9% increase in HbA1c level. Although the present study indicated that a greater drop in BMI z-score was associated with lower HbA1c level at 2 years, the association between weight loss and prevention of suboptimal glycaemic control at 2 years was not significant after adjustment for initial HbA1c level.
 
Microvascular complications
Diabetic retinopathy and neuropathy were rare among youth with T2DM. However, the proportion of patients with MA increased from 9.0% at diagnosis to 18.6% at 2 years (Table 2). Previous studies regarding the prevalence of diabetic complications in youth have shown mixed results, probably due to genetic variation and differences in DM duration. High prevalences have been observed in cohorts with long DM durations.16 The MA prevalence has been approximately 20% to 30% in most studies of youth with a short duration of T2DM. In the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study, the MA prevalence in youth with T2DM was 22.2%, and the average duration of disease was 1.9 years.17 In an Australian population, Eppens et al18 found that 28% of patients had MA, with a median disease duration of 1.3 years. Candler et al10 showed that the MA prevalence increased from 4.2% to 16.4% within 1 year after diagnosis. Our cohort showed a similar prevalence compared with other cohorts. Nevertheless, the increasing trend is concerning, particularly because MA has been identified as an independent predictor of mortality risk in adults.19 Thus, we conducted further analysis of risk factors for MA, revealing the associations of higher HbA1c level and hypertension at 2 years, consistent with the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study.17 The deleterious effects of hypertension on the kidneys explain the additional increase in MA risk, independent of glycaemic control.
 
Strengths and limitations
Strengths of this study included its provision of insights regarding the early outcomes of youth with T2DM in Hong Kong, particularly concerning glycaemic control and associated factors. First, our findings supported the implementation of active screening in overweight and obese individuals to allow early diagnosis of DM, considering the high prevalence of overweight or obesity and the relationship of lower initial HbA1c level with better glycaemic control at 2 years. Second, our findings indicated that the presence of co-morbidities at 2 years, rather than baseline, was associated with suboptimal glycaemic control and MA, demonstrating the reversibility of the risk factors and highlighting the importance of co-morbidity management. Third, our study identified challenges in managing youth with T2DM, including a high loss to follow-up rate (n=69, 23.5%) [online supplementary Table], suboptimal glycaemic control in >40% of patients at 2 years, infrequent blood glucose self-monitoring by the patients, and increasing trends in MA and hypertension.
 
Indeed, the high loss to follow-up rate was a major limitation of our study. Many patients did not return for clinical assessment or were transferred to an adult endocrinology clinic. Although the loss to follow-up group had a higher age at diagnosis (online supplementary Table), this presumably did not have a substantial impact on the results because age was not a significant risk factor for poor glycaemic control or the likelihood of MA onset. Although a high loss to follow-up rate is a common phenomenon in studies of children with T2DM,20 this obstacle hindered the achievement of good glycaemic control and prevention of complications. It also created difficulty in acquiring long-term follow-up data. Another limitation was that our patients were managed by different doctors in different hospitals; there remains no standardised protocol for the management of paediatric T2DM patients in Hong Kong, which may be a confounding factor for multicentre studies such as ours.
 
Conclusion
Approximately 60% of youth with T2DM in Hong Kong achieved HbA1c level <7% at 2 years after diagnosis. A higher HbA1c level at diagnosis was associated with worse glycaemic control at 2 years. The presence of dyslipidaemia and fatty liver at 2 years were factors associated with suboptimal glycaemic control. Overall, 18.6% of patients developed MA at 2 years; other microvascular complications were rare. These results highlight the importance of early diagnosis and holistic management, including co-morbidity management. The high loss to follow-up rate, high proportion of patients with suboptimal glycaemic control, and increasing number of patients with MA and hypertension are ongoing challenges in the management of youth with DM. The establishment of a standardised protocol may improve outcomes in our patient population. Future research could include studies regarding the effects of insulin resistance and beta-cell function on metabolic outcomes in youth with DM.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design: All authors.
Acquisition of data: All authors.
Analysis or interpretation of data: WI Yam, SMY Wong.
Drafting of the manuscript: WI Yam.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: All authors.
 
All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethics approval
The research was conducted as a part of the Hong Kong Childhood Diabetes Registry, which was approved by the Kowloon Central / Kowloon East Cluster Research Ethics Committee of Hospital Authority, Hong Kong (Ref No.: KC/KE-16-0087/ER-3). Written informed consent was obtained from parents for patients aged <16 years and from both parents and patients for patients aged between ≥16 and <18 years.
 
Supplementary material
The supplementary material was provided by the authors and some information may not have been peer reviewed. Accepted supplementary material will be published as submitted by the authors, without any editing or formatting. Any opinions or recommendations discussed are solely those of the author(s) and are not endorsed by the Hong Kong Academy of Medicine and the Hong Kong Medical Association. The Hong Kong Academy of Medicine and the Hong Kong Medical Association disclaim all liability and responsibility arising from any reliance placed on the content.
 
References
1. Lawrence JM, Divers J, Isom S, et al. Trends in prevalence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes in children and adolescents in the US, 2001-2017. JAMA 2021;326:717-27. Crossref
2. Haynes A, Kalic R, Cooper M, Hewitt JK, Davis EA. Increasing incidence of type 2 diabetes in indigenous and non-indigenous children in Western Australia, 1990-2012. Med J Aust 2016;204:303. Crossref
3. Wu H, Patterson CC, Zhang X, et al. Worldwide estimates of incidence of type 2 diabetes in children and adolescents in 2021. Diabetes Res Clin Pract 2022;185:109785. Crossref
4. Shah AS, Zeitler PS, Wong J, et al. ISPAD Clinical Practice Consensus Guidelines 2022: type 2 diabetes in children and adolescents. Pediatr Diabetes 2022;23:872-902. Crossref
5. TODAY Study Group; Bjornstad P, Drews KL, et al. Long-term complications in youth-onset type 2 diabetes. N Engl J Med 2021;385:416-26. Crossref
6. Tung JY, Kwan EY, But BW, et al. Incidence and clinical characteristics of pediatric-onset type 2 diabetes in Hong Kong: the Hong Kong Childhood Diabetes Registry 2008 to 2017. Pediatr Diabetes 2022;23:556-61. Crossref
7. Cole TJ, Lobstein T. Extended international (IOTF) body mass index cut-offs for thinness, overweight and obesity. Pediatr Obes 2012;7:284-94. Crossref
8. TODAY Study Group; Zeitler P, Hirst K, et al. A clinical trial to maintain glycemic control in youth with type 2 diabetes. N Engl J Med 2012;366:2247-56. Crossref
9. Barr MM, Aslibekyan S, Ashraf AP. Glycemic control and lipid outcomes in children and adolescents with type 2 diabetes. PLoS One 2019;14:e0219144. Crossref
10. Candler TP, Mahmoud O, Lynn RM, Majbar AA, Barrett TG, Shield JP. Treatment adherence and BMI reduction are key predictors of HbA1c 1 year after diagnosis of childhood type 2 diabetes in the United Kingdom. Paediatr Diabetes 2018;19:1393-9. Crossref
11. Meyerovitch J, Zlotnik M, Yackobovitch-Gavan M, Phillip M, Shalitin S. Real-life glycemic control in children with type 2 diabetes: a population-based study. J Paediatr 2017;188:173-80.e1. Crossref
12. Ozaki R, Qiao Q, Wong GW, et al. Overweight, family history of diabetes and attending schools of lower academic grading are independent predictors for metabolic syndrome in Hong Kong Chinese adolescents. Arch Dis Child 2007;92:224-8. Crossref
13. Kong AP, Ko GT, Ozaki R, Wong GW, Tong PC, Chan JC. Metabolic syndrome by the new IDF criteria in Hong Kong Chinese adolescents and its prediction by using body mass index. Acta Paediatr 2008;97:1738-42. Crossref
14. Brady RP, Shah AS, Jensen ET, et al. Glycemic control is associated with dyslipidemia over time in youth with type 2 diabetes: the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study. Pediatr Diabetes 2021;22:951-9. Crossref
15. American Diabetes Association Professional Practice Committee. 8. Obesity and weight management for the prevention and treatment of type 2 diabetes: standards of medical care in diabetes—2022. Diabetes Care 2022;45(Supp 1):S113-24. Crossref
16. Amutha A, Mohan V. Diabetes complications in childhood and adolescent onset type 2 diabetes—a review. J Diabetes Complications 2016;30:951-7. Crossref
17. Maahs DM, Snively BM, Bell RA, et al. Higher prevalence of elevated albumin excretion in youth with type 2 than type 1 diabetes: the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study. Diabetes Care 2007;30:2593-8. Crossref
18. Eppens MC, Craig ME, Cusumano J, et al. Prevalence of diabetes complications in adolescents with type 2 compared with type 1 diabetes. Diabetes Care 2006;29:1300-6. Crossref
19. Chronic Kidney Disease Prognosis Consortium; Matsushita K, van der Velde M, et al. Association of estimated glomerular filtration rate and albuminuria with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in general population cohorts: a collaborative meta-analysis. The Lancet 2010;375:2073-81. Crossref
20. Shoemaker A, Cheng P, Gal RL, et al. Predictors of loss to follow-up among children with type 2 diabetes. Horm Res Paediatr 2017;87:377-84. Crossref

Changes in the epidemiology and clinical manifestations of human immunodeficiency virus–associated tuberculosis in Hong Kong

Hong Kong Med J 2024 Aug;30(4):281–90 | Epub 16 Jul 2024
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Changes in the epidemiology and clinical manifestations of human immunodeficiency virus–associated tuberculosis in Hong Kong
Alan CK Chan, MRCP, FHKAM (Medicine)1; SS Huang, FHKCP, FHKAM (Medicine)1; KH Wong, FFPH, FHKAM (Medicine)2; CC Leung, FFPH, FHKAM (Medicine)3; MP Lee, MB, BS, FHKAM (Medicine)4; TY Tsang, MSc (LON), FRCP (Lond)5; WS Law, FHKCP, FHKAM (Medicine)1; LB Tai, MRCP, FHKAM (Medicine)1
1 Tuberculosis and Chest Service, Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR, China
2 Special Preventive Programme, Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR, China
3 Hong Kong Tuberculosis, Chest and Heart Diseases Association, Hong Kong SAR, China
4 Department of Medicine, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
5 Department of Medicine and Geriatrics, Princess Margaret Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
 
Corresponding author: Dr Alan CK Chan (chikuen_chan@dh.gov.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)–associated tuberculosis (TB) remains an important health challenge worldwide. Although TB prevalence has decreased in the general population, there is limited information regarding temporal trends in the incidence of HIV-associated TB in Hong Kong. There are also insufficient data regarding changes in clinical manifestation patterns among HIV-associated TB patients over time. This study aimed to describe temporal trends in the epidemiology and clinical manifestations of HIV-associated TB in Hong Kong.
 
Methods: We retrospectively reviewed data regarding HIV-associated TB patients that were reported to the TB-HIV Registry of the Department of Health during the period 2007 to 2020. Trends of TB as a primary acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS)–defining illness, as well as changes in demographic features and clinical manifestations of HIV-associated TB during this period were examined using Cochran–Armitage trend test.
 
Results: A decreasing trend was observed in the proportion of all reported cases of AIDS in which TB was a primary AIDS-defining illness during the study period. The proportions of female patients and patients with extrapulmonary involvement significantly increased, whereas the proportions of ever-smokers and patients with sputum smear positivity significantly decreased during the same period. A decreasing trend was observed in the proportion of patients with pulmonary TB in which the lower zone was the predominant site of lung parenchymal lesions. Among patients with a diagnosis of HIV infection before TB, an increasing trend was observed in the proportion of patients receiving antiretroviral therapy.
 
Conclusion: Important temporal changes were observed in the epidemiology and clinical manifestations of HIV-associated TB. These results highlight the need for continued surveillance regarding the patterns of demographic features and clinical manifestations to inform policymakers when planning control strategies for HIV-associated TB.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Tuberculosis (TB) has assumed a less important role as a primary acquired immunodeficiency syndrome–defining illness in Hong Kong over the 14 years of the study period.
  • Significant temporal changes were observed in the clinical manifestations of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)–associated TB.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Knowledge of the changing patterns of demographic features and clinical manifestations will help policymakers plan control strategies for HIV-associated TB.
  • Recognition of changes in clinical manifestations will also help optimise TB and HIV management and improve treatment outcome.
 
 
Introduction
The advent of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) in 1996 led to a substantial decrease in the incidence of opportunistic infections among people living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in many regions.1 2 3 Nonetheless, HIV-associated tuberculosis (TB) remains an important global health challenge. The World Health Organization estimated that 10.6 million people were living with TB worldwide in 2021, 6.7% of whom were living with HIV.4 In the same year, 1.6 million people died of TB, including 187 000 people who were living with HIV.4 The burden of HIV-associated TB considerably varies across countries and regions.5 6 The prevalence of HIV-associated TB in individual areas reportedly changes over time.7 8 9 Awareness of changes in the epidemiology and clinical manifestations of patients with HIV-associated TB can help policymakers formulate timely relevant prevention and control measures. It can also help improve treatment outcomes for patients with HIV-associated TB.
 
In Hong Kong, the TB case notification rate has exhibited an overall decreasing trend over the past few decades.10 In 2021, the provisional number of TB cases reported to the Department of Health was 3741.11 The corresponding TB notification rate was 50.5 per 100 000 inhabitants, a substantial decrease from 84.1 per 100 000 inhabitants in 2006.11 The overall prevalence of HIV infection in the general adult population has remained low (<0.1%).12 The epidemiology and clinical manifestations of HIV-associated TB during the period 1996 to 2006 in Hong Kong have been reported.13 Notably, the report showed that TB had become an increasingly important acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS)–defining illness in Hong Kong, surpassing Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia as the most common primary AIDS-defining illness in 2005; the two illnesses represented 39% and 31% of all such illnesses, respectively, in 2005.13 The presentation of HIV-associated TB is often atypical.13 Considering the declining prevalence of TB in the general population and accompanying decrease in TB transmission in Hong Kong, the implementation of strategies to enhance screening for latent TB infection, the increased use of molecular tests for TB diagnosis, and the expansion of HAART in recent years, we conducted a retrospective review of data regarding patients with HIV-associated TB that were reported to the TB-HIV Registry of the Department of Health during the period 2007 to 2020. We aimed to identify temporal trends in the epidemiology and clinical manifestations of HIV-associated TB during that period.
 
Methods
We retrospectively reviewed data contained within the TB-HIV Registry, which captured information regarding nearly all cases of HIV-associated TB diagnosed in the Tuberculosis and Chest Service and Special Preventive Programme (SPP) under the Department of Health, as well as cases referred from regional hospitals of the Hong Kong Hospital Authority, during the period 2007 to 2020. The details of data contained in the TB-HIV Registry, along with the criteria for TB as a primary AIDS-defining illness, were described in a previous report.13 There have been no changes in the criteria for TB as a primary AIDS-defining illness since the last report. Where necessary, both clinic records and hospital discharge records were reviewed. All data were imported into Epi Info14 and exported to statistical software SPSS (Windows version 26.0; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], US) for analysis. The Cochran–Armitage trend test in XLSTAT software (Lumivero, Denver [CO], US) was used to identify trends in the proportion of reported AIDS cases with TB as a primary AIDS-defining illness during the study period. The Cochran–Armitage trend test was also used to examine changes in demographic features and clinical manifestations during the same period. Where relevant, we compared the demographic features of patients reported to the TB-HIV Registry during the study period with the features of a historical cohort from the period 1996 to 200613 using the Chi squared test. P values <0.05 were considered statistically significant.
 
This study was an extension of a previous study designed to evaluate the public health programme for HIV-associated TB in Hong Kong15; it did not constitute research on human participants. Throughout the review process, we implemented all reasonable precautions to protect the confidentiality of personal data and excluded personally identifiable information from the electronic database.
 
Results
Tuberculosis as a primary acquired immunodeficiency syndrome–defining illness
All 390 cases reported to the TB-HIV Registry from 1 January 2007 to 31 December 2020 were included in this retrospective analysis. Information about whether TB constituted a primary AIDS-defining illness was available for 363 of 390 (93.1%) patients, where TB was listed as a primary AIDS-defining illness in 251 of those cases (69.1%). Overall, TB as a primary AIDS-defining illness represented a decreasing trend of 18.3% of 1375 reported AIDS cases during the period 2007 to 202012 (Cochran–Armitage trend test, P<0.001) [Fig], compared with 28.2% (192/680; Chi squared test, P<0.001) among the historical cohort of patients reported during the period 1996 to 2006.13
 

Figure. Tuberculosis as a primary acquired immunodeficiency syndrome–defining illness in Hong Kong among 390 cases reported to the Tuberculosis–Human Immunodeficiency Virus Registry from 2007 to 2020
 
Demographic features
Trends in demographic features, including age, sex, case category, ethnicity, residence, primary source of care (first presentation), and smoking status, for the 390 HIV-associated TB cases reported to the TB-HIV Registry during the study period are shown in Table 1. The proportion of female patients significantly increased whereas that of ever-smokers significantly decreased (Cochran–Armitage trend test, P=0.035 and P=0.029, respectively). No significant trends were detected in other variables examined. Additionally, the proportions of Chinese individuals and permanent residents were lower in the present cohort than in the historical cohort of 1996 to 200613 (260/390, 66.7% vs 152/190, 80.0%; Chi squared test, P=0.001 and 258/390, 66.2% vs 144/190, 75.8%; Chi squared test, P=0.018, respectively). The proportion of female patients was significantly higher in the present cohort than in the historical cohort13 (82/390, 21.0% vs 21/190, 11.1%; Chi squared test, P=0.003).
 

Table 1. Demographics and modes of presentation of patients reported to the Tuberculosis–Human Immunodeficiency Virus Registry from 2007 to 2020 (n=390)
 
Clinical manifestations
Trends in clinical manifestations, including symptoms, presence of pulmonary TB, radiographic features (for cases with abnormalities on chest radiographs), presence of extrapulmonary TB (EPTB), most common EPTB sites, sputum smear positivity status, drug susceptibility patterns, presence of TB risk factors, CD4 cell count at TB diagnosis, presence of other AIDS-defining illnesses at the time of co-infection, and antiretroviral therapy (ART) status (among patients with a diagnosis of HIV infection before TB), among the 390 TB cases are presented in Tables 2 and 3. The proportions of patients presenting with site-specific symptoms (other than chest-related symptoms) and with EPTB both significantly increased during the period 2007 to 2020 (Cochran–Armitage trend test, P=0.029 and P=0.008, respectively) [Table 2]. The most common EPTB sites were lymph nodes (42.8%), pleura (21.5%), and abdomen (13.8%). Among patients who underwent sputum smear tests, the proportion of patients with sputum smear positivity significantly decreased (Cochran–Armitage trend test, P=0.006) [Table 2]. Among patients with lung parenchymal lesions on chest radiographs, a decreasing trend was observed in the proportion of patients in which the lower zone was the predominant lesion site (Cochran–Armitage trend test, P=0.045) [Table 3]. Among patients with a diagnosis of HIV infection before TB, the proportion of patients receiving ART at TB diagnosis significantly increased (Cochran–Armitage trend test, P=0.003) [Table 2].
 

Table 2. Clinical manifestations of patients reported to the Tuberculosis–Human Immunodeficiency Virus Registry from 2007 to 2020 (n=390)
 

Table 3. Radiographic features of patients with abnormalities on chest radiographs reported to the Tuberculosis–Human Immunodeficiency Virus Registry from 2007 to 2020
 
Discussion
This study revealed a decreasing trend in the proportion of reported AIDS cases with TB as a primary AIDS-defining illness during the period 2007 to 2020. The overall proportion (18.3%) was also lower than the proportion (28.2%) in the historical cohort of cases reported during the period 1996 to 2006.13 The proportions of Chinese individuals and permanent residents were lower, whereas the proportion of female patients was higher, in our cohort compared with the historical cohort.13 The proportions of female patients and patients with extrapulmonary involvement significantly increased, whereas the proportions of ever-smokers and the proportion with sputum smear positivity among pulmonary TB cases significantly decreased during the period 2007 to 2020. A decreasing trend was observed in the proportion of patients with pulmonary TB in which the lower zone was the predominant site of lung parenchymal lesions. Among patients with a diagnosis of HIV infection before TB, an increasing trend was observed in the proportion of patients receiving ART.
 
Decreasing trend of tuberculosis as an acquired immunodeficiency syndrome–defining illness
In Hong Kong, TB is considered an AIDS-defining illness when the disease is extrapulmonary. Pulmonary TB and cervical lymph node TB are considered AIDS-defining illnesses only when the CD4 cell count at the time of TB diagnosis is <200/μL, as recommended by the Scientific Committee of the Advisory Council on AIDS in 1994.16 Since then, there have been no changes in the criteria for TB as an AIDS-defining illness among individuals infected with HIV. The decreasing trend in Hong Kong regarding the proportion of reported AIDS cases with TB as a primary AIDS-defining illness might be due to decreased community transmission of TB through better TB control, the expansion of HAART since its introduction in 1997, and (perhaps to a lesser extent) increased acceptance of testing for latent TB infection and preventive treatment for TB among HIV-infected individuals since the early 2000s. Similar decreasing trends related to HAART-induced improvements in immune status among HIV-infected individuals have also been identified during studies conducted in some other countries.7 9 17 In an observational, retrospective study of AIDS cases included in the Barcelona AIDS register between 1994 and 2005, decreases were observed regarding the incidence of TB as an AIDS-defining illness among both native and immigrant populations.7 Another study examining trends in the incidence of AIDS-defining opportunistic illnesses over a 25-year period in Brazil showed a reduction in TB incidence from 1991-1993 to 2009-2012.9 A prospective cohort study of participants in the HIV Outpatient Study at 12 HIV clinics within the US indicated that TB incidence decreased after HAART introduction.17 Conversely, among participants in the HOMER cohort study (HAART Observational Medical Evaluation and Research) conducted during the period 1996 to 2007 in Canada, no statistically significant trends were observed in the proportion of cases with TB as the AIDS-defining illness, probably because the small number of TB cases reported in each time period limited the ability to detect significant changes in the reported cases.18 Another study examining AIDS notification data in Australia during the period 1993 to 2000 revealed that the proportion of AIDS cases with TB as the AIDS-defining illness was higher during 1996 to 2000 (post-HAART era) than during 1993 to 1995 (pre-HAART era); the authors attributed this difference to the increasing proportion of Australian patients with AIDS who had been born in sub-Saharan Africa and Asia during the 1990s, among whom the risk of TB was considerably higher.19 Further studies examining trends in TB as an AIDS-defining illness, as well as location-specific factors that may influence such trends in the post-HAART era, are warranted to facilitate control strategies for HIV-associated TB.
 
Changes in demographic features and their implications
Further attention is needed regarding the observation of higher proportions of non-Chinese individuals (mostly Asians and Africans, who have much higher TB incidence than the rate among Hong Kong Chinese individuals) and non-permanent residents of Hong Kong in the 2007-2020 cohort compared with the historical 1996-2006 cohort. Similar findings of higher incidences of AIDS-associated TB in foreign-born populations from countries with much higher TB incidence compared with the native population have been reported on the basis of some studies conducted in developed countries.7 20 21 These observations highlight the need for TB screening and prophylaxis for people living with HIV who were born in countries with a high background prevalence of TB.
 
Intriguingly, we observed an increasing trend in the proportion of women during the period 2007 to 2020. The reason for this increase is unclear; it may be related to changes in the societal roles of men and women that influence exposure risk. The role of an increased proportion of EPTB (reportedly associated with female sex and observed throughout our cohort, as discussed below) requires further investigation.
 
The proportion of ever-smokers significantly decreased during the period 2007 to 2020, consistent with the findings of some studies conducted in the US.22 23 In an analysis of patients from a HIV surveillance system in the US, the prevalence of current smoking declined from 37.6% in 2009 to 33.6% in 2014.22 In another prospective cohort study that examined smoking trends among HIV-positive patients in the US, a decline in the annual prevalence of current smoking from 1984 to 2012 was also reported; however, disparities were noted according to race, ethnicity, and education.23 Nonetheless, because smoking increases HIV-related and non–HIV-related morbidity and mortality among people living with HIV, smoking cessation interventions remain an essential component of routine care for such individuals.
 
Changes in clinical manifestations
The predominance of the lower zone as the site of lung parenchymal lesions on chest radiographs is a relatively common feature among patients with HIV-associated pulmonary TB, according to our previous report on the 1996 to 2006 cohort13 and some other reports.24 25 The present study showed that the lower zone was less frequently the predominant site of lung parenchymal lesions during the period 2007 to 2020. The proportion of patients in the 2007 to 2020 cohort with the lower zone as the predominant site (16.7%) was also lower compared with the proportion of patients in the historical 1996 to 2006 cohort (32.4%).13 This difference may be related to the higher CD4 cell count at TB diagnosis among patients in the current cohort compared with patients in the historical cohort (median CD4 cell counts at TB diagnosis: 100/μL and 78/μL, respectively). Nonetheless, lower zone involvement was present in approximately one-sixth of pulmonary TB cases reported during 2007 and 2020. A high index of suspicion is required for the accurate and timely diagnosis of pulmonary TB in people living with HIV.
 
A decreasing trend was observed in the proportion of patients with sputum smear positivity during the period 2007 to 2020. The overall proportion of patients with sputum smear positivity in the 2007 to 2020 cohort (36.6%) was also lower than the proportion in the historical cohort of 1996 to 2006 (42.2%)13; it was similar to the proportion identified during a population database study in South Korea (36.4%).26 These results suggest that TB cases have been diagnosed at increasingly earlier stages due to enhanced active TB screening efforts among people living with HIV, as well as the increased use of molecular testing that enhanced the diagnosis of smear-negative cases in Hong Kong. These results highlight the need for continued TB screening efforts and early detection of TB among people living with HIV.
 
Our findings indicate that EPTB became more common among HIV-associated TB patients during the period 2007 to 2020. The overall proportion of patients with EPTB was also higher in the present cohort compared to that reported in a local study that examined risk factors for mortality in an earlier cohort (2006 to 2015) and that in the historical 1996 to 2006 cohort (71.0%, 64.9%,15 and 62.6%,13 respectively). These differences may have arisen through enhanced diagnosis of EPTB with the increased use of molecular testing in Hong Kong. An increasing trend of extrapulmonary involvement among TB patients has also been reported in some other studies, although such studies are mostly population-based.27 28 29 Few reports have been published regarding temporal trends in EPTB specifically among HIV-associated TB patients.30 Further studies are needed to examine these trends and associated factors.
 
Strengths and limitations
Strengths of this study included its use of cohort data from the TB-HIV Registry covering a relatively long period (14 years) to study temporal changes in the epidemiology and clinical manifestations of HIV-associated TB. However, some limitations should be considered when interpreting the results of this study. First, the TB-HIV Registry may not capture all HIV-associated TB cases—some patients encountered in the SPP were not referred to a chest clinic but underwent anti-TB treatment in private clinics or other countries. The total number of HIV-associated TB cases in the HIV Surveillance Report of SPP was approximately 10% higher than the number in the TB-HIV Registry; the difference mostly comprised non-permanent residents temporarily staying in Hong Kong. Nonetheless, data from the HIV Surveillance Report showed a similar decreasing trend in TB as a primary AIDS-defining illness during the study period (data not shown). Second, this study utilised a retrospective design, and data present in the database of the TB-HIV Registry may be incomplete. Information regarding some parameters such as case category, co-morbidities, and CD4 cell count was unavailable for some patients. To overcome this limitation, we traced and reviewed relevant clinical records from chest clinics and hospitals when necessary. Therefore, we expect minimal bias due to missing data. Finally, the sample size may have led to insufficient statistical power for detecting temporal changes in some less common parameters.
 
Conclusion
This study showed that TB has become less important as a primary AIDS-defining illness in Hong Kong over the 14 years of the study period. Nonetheless, it remains the second most common primary AIDS-defining illness after P jirovecii pneumonia. Important temporal changes were also observed in the patterns of demographic features and clinical manifestations. Continued surveillance regarding the patterns of demographic features and clinical manifestations is needed to inform policymakers during the formulation of TB control strategies to improve patient care and treatment outcomes among people living with HIV. This surveillance is especially important in situations such as the coronavirus disease 2019 era, during which resources from TB programmes may be diverted to management of the global pandemic.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design: ACK Chan, SS Huang.
Acquisition of data: ACK Chan, SS Huang.
Analysis or interpretation of data: ACK Chan, SS Huang.
Drafting of the manuscript: ACK Chan, SS Huang.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: KH Wong, CC Leung, MP Lee, TY Tsang, WS Law, LB Tai.
 
All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Acknowledgement
The authors thank all of their colleagues in the Tuberculosis and Chest Service and the Special Preventive Programme of the Department of Health who provided assistance and support to make this paper possible. The authors also thank Ms Ida KY Mak, Research Officer at the Tuberculosis and Chest Service of the Department of Health, for her dedicated efforts in maintaining the Tuberculosis–Human Immunodeficiency Virus Registry and assisting with the analysis.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethics approval
This research was a retrospective analysis of observational data routinely collected in a local Registry as part of the ongoing evaluation of the public health programme for human immunodeficiency virus–associated tuberculosis in Hong Kong. Approval for the evaluation and exemption from obtaining informed patient consent has been granted by the Ethics Committee of the Department of Health of the Hong Kong SAR Government (Ref No.: L/M 416/2017).
 
References
1. Low A, Gavriilidis G, Larke N, et al. Incidence of opportunistic infections and the impact of antiretroviral therapy among HIV-infected adults in low- and middleincome countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Clin Infect Dis 2016;62:1595-603. Crossref
2. B-Lajoie MR, Drouin O, Bartlett G, et al. Incidence and prevalence of opportunistic and other infections and the impact of antiretroviral therapy among HIV-infected children in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Clin Infect Dis 2016;62:1586-94. Crossref
3. Rubaihayo J, Tumwesigye NM, Konde-Lule J. Trends in prevalence of selected opportunistic infections associated with HIV/AIDS in Uganda. BMC Infect Dis 2015;15:187. Crossref
4. World Health Organization. Global Tuberculosis Report 2022. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2022. Available from: https://www.who.int/teams/global-tuberculosis-programme/tb-reports/global-tuberculosis-report-2022. Accessed 4 Jul 2024.
5. World Health Organization. WHO releases new global lists of high-burden countries for TB, HIV-associated TB and drug-resistant TB. 2021. Available from: https://www.who.int/news/item/17-06-2021-who-releases-new-global-lists-of-high-burden-countries-for-tb-hiv-associated-tb-and-drug-resistant-tb. Accessed 4 Jul 2024.
6. Benito N, Moreno A, Miro JM, Torres A. Pulmonary infections in HIV-infected patients: an update in the 21st century. Eur Respir J 2012;39:730-45. Crossref
7. Martin V, García de Olalla P, Orcau A, Caylà JA. Factors associated with tuberculosis as an AIDS-defining disease in an immigration setting. J Epidemiol 2011;21:108-13. Crossref
8. González-García A, Fortún J, Elorza Navas E, et al. The changing epidemiology of tuberculosis in a Spanish tertiary hospital (1995-2013). Medicine (Baltimore) 2017;96:e7219. Crossref
9. Coelho L, Cardoso SW, Amancio RT, et al. Trends in AIDS-defining opportunistic illnesses incidence over 25 years in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. PLoS One 2014;9:e98666. Crossref
10. Centre for Health Protection, Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government. Annual Report. Tuberculosis and Chest Service. 2020. Available from: https://www.info.gov.hk/tb_chest/doc/Annual_Report_2020.pdf. Accessed 16 Nov 2022.
11. Centre for Health Protection, Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government. Notification & death rate of tuberculosis (all forms), 1947-2022. Available from: https://www.chp.gov.hk/en/statistics/data/10/26/43/88.html. Accessed 17 Nov 2022.
12. Centre for Health Protection, Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government. HIV Surveillance Report—2020 Update. 2021. Available from: https://www.chp.gov.hk/ files/pdf/aids20.pdf. Accessed 16 Nov 2022.
13. Chan CK, Alvarez Bognar F, Wong KH, et al. The epidemiology and clinical manifestations of human immunodeficiency virus–associated tuberculosis in Hong Kong. Hong Kong Med J 2010;16:192-8.
14. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, United States Government. Epi Info. Available from: https://www.cdc.gov/epiinfo/index.html. Accessed 4 Jul 2024.
15. Chan CK, Wong KH, Lee MP, et al. Risk factors associated with 1-year mortality among patients with HIV-associated tuberculosis in areas with intermediate tuberculosis burden and low HIV prevalence. Hong Kong Med J 2018;24:473-83. Crossref
16. Scientific Committee of the Advisory Council on AIDS Hong Kong. Classification system for HIV infection and surveillance case definition for AIDS in adolescents and adults in Hong Kong. 1995. Available from: https://www.aids.gov.hk/pdf/g40.pdf. Accessed 16 Nov 2022.
17. Buchacz K, Baker RK, Palella FJ Jr, et al. AIDS-defining opportunistic illnesses in US patients, 1994-2007: a cohort study. AIDS 2010;24:1549-59. Crossref
18. Jafari S, Chan K, Aboulhosn K, et al. Trends in reported AIDS defining illnesses (ADIs) among participants in a universal antiretroviral therapy program: an observational study. AIDS Res Ther 2011;8:31. Crossref
19. Dore GJ, Li Y, McDonald A, Ree H, Kaldor JM; National HIV Surveillance Committee. Impact of highly active antiretroviral therapy on individual AIDS-defining illness incidence and survival in Australia. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2002;29:388-95. Crossref
20. Camoni L, Regine V, Boros S, Salfa MC, Raimondo M, Suligoi B. AIDS patients with tuberculosis: characteristics and trend of cases reported to the National AIDS Registry in Italy—1993-2010. Eur J Public Health 2012;23:658-63. Crossref
21. Dore GJ, Li Y, McDonald A, Kaldor JM. Spectrum of AIDS-defining illnesses in Australia, 1992 to 1998: influence of country/region of birth. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2001;26:283-90.
22. Frazier EL, Sutton MY, Brooks JT, Shouse RL, Weiser J. Trends in cigarette smoking among adults with HIV compared with the general adult population, United States—2009-2014. Prev Med 2018;111:231-4. Crossref
23. Akhtar-Khaleel WZ, Cook RL, Shoptaw S, et al. Trends and predictors of cigarette smoking among HIV seropositive and seronegative men: the multicenter AIDS cohort study. AIDS Behav 2016;20:622-32. Crossref
24. Affusim C, Abah V, Kesieme EB, et al. The effect of low CD4+ lymphocyte count on the radiographic patterns of HIV patients with pulmonary tuberculosis among Nigerians. Tuberc Res Treat 2013;2013:535769. Crossref
25. Chamie G, Luetkemeyer A, Walusimbi-Nanteza M, et al. Significant variation in presentation of pulmonary tuberculosis across a high resolution of CD4 strata. Int J Tuberc Lung Dis 2010;14:1295-302.
26. Kim JM, Kim NJ, Choi JY, Chin BS. History of acquired immune deficiency syndrome in Korea. Infect Chemother 2020;52:234-44. Crossref
27. Ben Ayed H, Koubaa M, Marrakchi C, et al. Extrapulmonary tuberculosis: update on the epidemiology, risk factors and prevention strategies. Int J Trop Dis 2018;1:006.
28. Peto HM, Pratt RH, Harrington TA, LoBue PA, Armstrong LR. Epidemiology of extrapulmonary tuberculosis in the United States, 1993-2006. Clin Infect Dis 2009;49:1350-7. Crossref
29. Sandgren A, Hollo V, van der Werf MJ. Extrapulmonary tuberculosis in the European Union and European Economic Area, 2002 to 2011. Euro Surveill 2013;18:20431. Crossref
30. Mohammed H, Assefa N, Mengistie B. Prevalence of extrapulmonary tuberculosis among people living with HIV/AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa: a systemic review and meta-analysis. HIV AIDS (Auckl) 2018;10:225-37. Crossref

Diagnostic accuracy of a prehospital electrocardiogram rule-based algorithm for ST-elevation myocardial infarction: results from a population-wide project

Hong Kong Med J 2024 Aug;30(4):271–80 | Epub 25 Jul 2024
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE  CME
Diagnostic accuracy of a prehospital electrocardiogram rule-based algorithm for ST-elevation myocardial infarction: results from a population-wide project
Joanne HY Lai, MB, BS, FHKAM (Emergency Medicine)1; CT Lui, MB, BS, FHKAM (Emergency Medicine)1; Total WT Chan, MB, ChB, FHKAM (Emergency Medicine)2; Ben CP Wong, MB, ChB, FHKAM (Emergency Medicine)2; Matthew SH Tsui, MB, BS, FHKAM (Emergency Medicine)3; Ben KA Wan, MB, BS, FHKAM (Emergency Medicine)4,5; KL Mok, MB, BS, FHKAM (Emergency Medicine)4,5
1 Department of Accident and Emergency, Tuen Mun Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
2 Department of Accident and Emergency, Tin Shui Wai Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
3 Department of Accident and Emergency, Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
4 Department of Accident and Emergency, Ruttonjee & Tang Shiu Kin Hospitals, Hong Kong SAR, China
5 Fire Services Department, Hong Kong SAR, China
 
Corresponding author: Dr Joanne HY Lai (joannelaihy@fellow.hkam.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: This study reviewed the diagnostic accuracy of the prehospital electrocardiogram (PHECG) rule-based algorithm for ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) universally utilised in Hong Kong.
 
Methods: This prospective observational study was linked to a population-wide project. We analysed 2210 PHECGs performed on patients who presented to the emergency medical service (EMS) with chest pain from 1 October to 31 December 2021. The diagnostic accuracy of the adopted rule-based algorithm, the Hannover Electrocardiogram System, was evaluated using the adjudicated blinded rating by two investigators as the primary reference standard. Diagnostic accuracy was also evaluated using the attending emergency physician’s diagnosis and the diagnosis on hospital discharge as secondary reference standards.
 
Results: The prevalence of STEMI was 5.1% (95% confidence interval [CI]=4.2%-6.1%). Using the adjudicated blinded rating by investigators as the reference standard, the rule-based PHECG algorithm had a sensitivity of 94.6% (95% CI=88.2%-97.8%), specificity of 87.9% (95% CI=86.4%-89.2%), positive predictive value of 29.4% (95% CI=24.8%-34.4%), and negative predictive value of 99.7% (95% CI=99.3%-99.9%) [all P<0.05].
 
Conclusion: The rule-based PHECG algorithm that is widely used in Hong Kong demonstrated high sensitivity and fair specificity for the diagnosis of STEMI.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • The prehospital electrocardiogram (PHECG) diagnostic algorithm universally utilised in Hong Kong had high sensitivity for diagnosing ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) in a population-wide cohort of patients with chest pain.
  • One in eight ECGs showed false-positive results for STEMI; the leading causes were early repolarisation, left bundle branch block, and extreme tachycardia.
  • Evolving ECG patterns, subtle ST-segment elevation, and STEMI equivalents were responsible for false-negative diagnoses.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Primary diversion of STEMI patients to centres capable of primary percutaneous coronary intervention should not be implemented solely based on the algorithm’s ECG diagnosis.
  • ST-elevation myocardial infarction can be reasonably excluded by the PHECG diagnostic algorithm.
  • Physicians should be aware of STEMI equivalents that are not identified by the algorithm.
 
 
Introduction
Heart disease is the third leading cause of death in Hong Kong. In 2019, an average of approximately 10.2 people died from coronary heart disease each day.1 International guidelines recommend prehospital 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) for the assessment of patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome who present to emergency medical services (EMS).2 3 Prehospital triage with direct transfer to the cardiac catheterisation laboratory for primary percutaneous coronary intervention is a strategy adopted by various healthcare systems to reduce reperfusion time in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI).4 5 Previous studies have investigated the diagnostic performances of prehospital electrocardiograms (PHECGs) for STEMI by various automated algorithms,6 7 8 9 10 trained onsite EMS personnel,11 12 and emergency department (ED) physicians remotely interpreting the tele-transmitted ECGs13; the findings have implications for policymakers involved in planning systems of care to minimise inappropriate resource mobilisation.
 
In Hong Kong, the Hospital Authority, the local public healthcare service, and Hong Kong Fire Services Department, the primary EMS provider, jointly launched the Prehospital 12-Lead Electrocardiogram for Chest Pain Protocol on 1 February 2021. The Protocol covers the catchment areas of all EDs in Hong Kong and serves a population of 7.41 million. This study utilised data from a territory-wide audit of the Protocol to determine the diagnostic performance of the PHECG algorithm for STEMI.
 
Methods
Study design and setting
This prospective observational study analysed data from the territory-wide audit project regarding the Prehospital 12-Lead Electrocardiogram for Chest Pain Protocol, led by the Hong Kong Hospital Authority Coordinating Committee in Accident and Emergency. The Protocol was designed to include all patients with complaints of chest pain, excluding those <12 years of age; in cardiac arrest; with unmanageable airway or breathing; a Glasgow Coma Scale score of ≤13; a first systolic blood pressure of <90 mm Hg; a respiratory rate of <10 or >29 breaths per minute; or refusal or inability to give consent.
 
Ambulances were equipped with 12-lead ECG machines capable of automatic algorithm-based diagnosis. The selected machine model was a corpuls3 Monitor and Defibrillator (GS Elektromedizinische Geräte G Stemple GmbH, Kaufering, Germany), with the telemedicine application corpuls.mission (GS Elektromedizinische Geräte G Stemple GmbH, Kaufering, Germany). The selected ECG algorithm was the ECG diagnostic algorithm of the Hannover ECG System (Corscience GmbH & Co KG, Erlangen, Germany).
 
Upon encountering a patient who met the Protocol’s criteria, the ambulance personnel performed a 12-lead ECG on scene or in the stationary ambulance compartment. The ECG was immediately analysed by the computer algorithm and classified as ‘STEMI’, ‘Not STEMI’, or ‘N/A’ (not interpretable due to suboptimal ECG quality). Additional ECGs were performed as necessary to improve quality. The ECG(s) were tele-transmitted to the ED serving the particular catchment area for reading and interpretation by the ED attending physician. If the ECG was classified as ‘STEMI’ by the computer algorithm, the EMS personnel also directly called to alert the ED. The ED prepared the resuscitation room for patient arrival if the ECG was classified as STEMI by the ED physician.
 
Study population and data collection
This study adhered to the STARD (Standards for Reporting of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies) 2015 reporting guideline. Patients with PHECGs performed in accordance with the Protocol throughout Hong Kong were prospectively recruited from 1 October to 31 December 2021.
 
Prehospital ECGs performed and tele-transmitted during the study period were obtained from corpuls.mission’s online database and matched to clinical data from the Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System and Accident and Emergency Information System (Information Technology and Health Informatics Division, Hospital Authority, Hong Kong). Electrocardiograms without matching patient data and those classified as ‘N/A’ by the algorithm were excluded from the analysis.
 
Three reference standards were used to investigate the diagnostic accuracy of the computer algorithm. The first reference standard, the primary outcome, was adjudicated blinded rating of the ECG. Each ECG was de-identified and independently interpreted as ‘STEMI’, ‘Not STEMI’ or ‘Not interpretable’ by two investigators: an emergency physician with ≥5 years of experience in emergency medicine practice and a specialist in Emergency Medicine. Electrocardiograms for which there was disagreement between the interpretations of the two blinded raters were classified according to the blinded interpretation of an adjudicator (a second Emergency Medicine specialist). The diagnosis of STEMI was based on the Fourth Universal Definition of Myocardial Infarction14 and the modified Sgarbossa criteria for left bundle branch block or ventricular paced rhythm.15 16 ST-elevation myocardial infarction mimics17 and STEMI equivalents, according to the 2022 ACC Expert Consensus Decision Pathway on the Evaluation and Disposition of Acute Chest Pain in the Emergency Department,18 were regarded as ‘Not STEMI’. ‘Not interpretable’ ECGs were those with substantial motion artefacts, wavering baseline, or disconnected lead(s); these ECGs were excluded from the analysis.
 
The second reference standard was the ED attending physician’s diagnosis, which considered the patient’s clinical condition, along with additional ECGs and other investigations performed upon arrival in the ED. Patients without ECGs performed in the ED were excluded from the analysis.
 
The third reference standard was the diagnosis on hospital discharge from the index admission. We excluded patients who died in the ED without an established diagnosis, who developed STEMI after admission, or were discharged with acknowledgement of medical advice and no definitive diagnosis.
 
Interrater agreement analysis was performed in three dimensions, namely, between the two blinded raters, between the adjudicated blinded rating and the ED diagnosis, and between the adjudicated blinded rating and the diagnosis on hospital discharge. If there was disagreement between the adjudicated blinded rating and the ED diagnosis, the prehospital and ED ECGs were reviewed by the principal investigator to differentiate between dynamic change or true disagreement. Dynamic change was defined as the lack of ST-segment elevation and ECG criteria fulfilment on the initial PHECG, with subsequent evidence on serial ECG performed in the ED.
 
False-positive and false-negative ECGs were reviewed and classified by the principal investigator. The following categories of ECG morphology were determined based on criteria described in existing literature: Brugada pattern,19 early repolarisation,20 left bundle branch block or paced rhythm not matching STEMI criteria,15 16 left ventricular hypertrophy,21 pericarditis,22 and ventricular ectopics.23
 
Statistical analysis
Continuous variables were presented as mean ± standard deviation and were analysed with the independent t test. Categorical variables were reported as absolute frequencies and percentages and were analysed with the Chi squared test or Fisher’s exact test. Interrater agreement regarding ECG diagnosis was analysed using Cohen’s kappa. Sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values were derived from 2 × 2 contingency tables and analysed with the Chi squared test.
 
The threshold for statistical significance was regarded as P<0.05. All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS software (Windows version 26.0; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], US).
 
Results
Baseline characteristics
During the study period, 2801 PHECGs were performed, one for each patient who presented with chest pain. Of these ECGs, 2437 were matched to electronic patient records. After the exclusion of 103 ECGs classified as ‘N/A’ by the computer algorithm, 2334 ECGs were included in the analysis (Fig 1).
 

Figure 1. Patient selection for diagnostic accuracy analysis
 
The characteristics of the study population are presented in Table 1. Overall, 62.9% of the patients were men. The mean age of male patients, female patients, and both sexes were 63.9 years, 74.1 years, and 67.7 years, respectively. In total, 83.6% of patients were placed on stretchers upon arrival at the ED. Furthermore, 8.2% of patients were institutionalised in residential homes. Of the ECGs, 42.4% were performed during 0800 to 1559 hours, 35.4% were performed during 1600 to 2359 hours, and 22.3% were performed during 0000 to 0759 hours. A total of 405 (17.4%) PHECGs were classified as STEMI by the algorithm.
 

Table 1. Characteristics of the study population
 
Primary outcome
The primary outcome was diagnostic accuracy based on the adjudicated blinded rating. The prevalence of STEMI was 5.1% (Table 2). There was good interrater observed agreement (96.9%) between the two blinded ECG assessors. Cohen’s kappa was 0.84 (95% confidence interval [CI]=0.81-0.88; P<0.05) [Table 3]. The algorithm had a sensitivity of 94.6% (95% CI=88.2%-97.8%), specificity of 87.9% (95% CI=86.4%-89.2%), positive predictive value of 29.4% (95% CI=24.8%-34.4%), negative predictive value of 99.7% (95% CI=99.3%-99.9%), positive likelihood ratio of 7.8 (95% CI=6.9-8.8), and negative likelihood ratio of 0.06 (95% CI=0.03-0.13) [all P<0.05] (Table 2).
 

Table 2. Diagnostic performance of the prehospital electrocardiogram algorithm according to respective reference standards
 

Table 3. Analysis of interrater agreement
 
Secondary outcomes
Secondary outcomes were the algorithm’s diagnostic accuracy with reference to the ED attending physician’s diagnosis and to the diagnosis on hospital discharge.
 
Substantial agreement was observed between the diagnosis based on the adjudicated blinded rating and these two reference standards. Discrepancies in agreement between the adjudicated blinded rating of ECGs and these two reference standards reflected the presence of dynamic ECG changes. Observed agreement between the adjudicated blinded rating and ED physician’s diagnosis was 97.1%, with Cohen’s kappa of 0.69. Excluding patients with dynamic ECG changes in the ED, the observed agreement was 98.2% and Cohen’s kappa was 0.78. Observed agreement between the adjudicated blinded rating and final discharge diagnosis was 97.5%, with Cohen’s kappa of 0.74. Excluding patients with dynamic ECG changes in the ED, the observed agreement was 98.4% and Cohen’s kappa was 0.80 (Table 3). The diagnostic performance based on the three reference standards and the analysis of interrater agreement are summarised in Tables 2 and 3, respectively.
 
Characteristics of false-positive electrocardiograms
The 255 false-positive ECGs with the adjudicated blinded rating as the reference standard were reviewed and characterised as shown in Figure 2. The leading causes were early repolarisation (n=97; 38.0%), left bundle branch block (n=40; 15.7%), and tachycardia of >140 beats per minute (n=34; 13.3%). Excluding ECGs with suboptimal quality (classified as ‘N/A’ by the algorithm and ‘Not interpretable’ according to adjudicated blinded rating), false-positive ECGs due to artefacts constituted 8.6% (n=22).
 

Figure 2. Electrocardiogram features of false-positive electrocardiograms with the adjudicated blinded rating as the reference standard (n=255)
 
Characteristics of false-negative electrocardiograms
Using the diagnosis on hospital discharge as the reference standard, 22 STEMI cases were missed by the algorithm (Fig 3). Thirteen (59.1%) of the false-negative ECGs were due to the development of dynamic ECD changes in the ED; four (18.2%) of these had subtle ST-segment elevation. ST-segment elevation in lead augmented vector right and the STEMI equivalent morphology of de Winter’s T wave were noted in two (9.1%) ECGs each. One ECG was classified as ‘Not interpretable’ according to the adjudicated blinded rating because of substantial artefacts.
 

Figure 3. Electrocardiogram features of false-negative electrocardiograms with diagnosis on hospital discharge as the reference standard (n=22)
 
Discussion
Implications on prehospital care systems for ST-elevation myocardial infarction
This prospective observational study examined the diagnostic performance of a rule-based PHECG algorithm universally utilised in Hong Kong, based on three levels of reference standards. The primary outcome, adjudicated blinded rating, closely reflects diagnostic performance without the addition of patient clinical history and presentation or any other diagnostic aids. The American Heart Association recommends three levels of PHECG diagnosis, namely, EMS interpretation, computerised algorithm diagnosis, and ECG transmission for remote interpretation.24 However, in healthcare systems such as the Hospital Authority in Hong Kong, EMS are trained to perform but not interpret PHECGs. Thus, it is important to understand reliance on the computerised algorithm using the benchmark of physician-based remote interpretation; these data can guide the establishment and improvement of care systems.
 
One in eight of the PHECGs in this study showed false-positive results. Considering the fair specificity and positive predictive value of only 29.4% for the automated ECG diagnostic programme, this high false-positive rate reflected limitations in guiding prehospital treatment and streamlining care systems (eg, prehospital diversion to percutaneous coronary intervention–capable centres or prehospital triage for direct transfer to a cardiac catheterisation laboratory). A hybrid two-step ECG interpretation model, involving a physician’s remote (ie, telemedicine-based) interpretation of ECGs that are classified as STEMI by the computerised algorithm, could be adopted to minimise overactivation and ensure prudent use of healthcare resources. Nonetheless, the algorithm exhibited good sensitivity in terms of identifying STEMI patients. Its high negative predictive value allowed STEMI to be reasonably excluded based on ECG results. Although remote PHECG interpretation is considered relatively accurate, it generally results in STEMI misdiagnosis rates of 6% to 8%.13 Therefore, we included secondary outcomes, namely, the algorithm’s diagnostic performance based on the ED attending physician’s diagnosis and the final discharge diagnosis; we assessed interrater agreement between these reference standards. We adopted an operational approach focused on the ‘appropriateness of cardiac catheterisation laboratory activation’, rather than a strictly patient-centred approach based on primary percutaneous coronary intervention findings or cardiac biomarkers.
 
Diagnostic performance varies across electrocardiogram machine models and algorithms
The inclusion of three reference standards was intended to address the heterogeneous estimates of PHECG diagnostic performance for STEMI in existing literature. Prior studies have been based on various reference standards, including blinded physician rating,25 ED attending physician’s diagnosis,6 26 hospital discharge diagnosis,7 and the appropriateness of coronary angiography activation.8 The results have varied according to STEMI prevalence in the study population, as well as the reference standard, ECG machine, and computerised algorithm. Using ED clinical diagnosis as the reference standard, a single-centre pilot study in Hong Kong by Cheung et al6 utilising the X Series Monitor/Defibrillator and Inovise 12L Interpretive Algorithm (Zoll Medical Corporation, Chelmsford [MA], US) demonstrated a low sensitivity (53.8%) and high specificity (99.6%). Bhalla et al26 utilised LIFEPAK 12 monitors (Physio-Control, Redmond [WA], US) equipped with a Marquette 12SL ECG analysis programme (General Electric Company, Fairfield [CT], US) to evaluate PHECGs from 100 STEMI patients and 100 control participants; they found a similarly low sensitivity (58%) and very high specificity (100%). Bosson et al7 examined ECGs obtained with the LIFEPAK 15 monitor (Physio-Control, Inc, Minneapolis [MN], US) and analysed using the University of Glasgow 12-Lead ECG Analysis Programme (version 27); their results showed 92.8% sensitivity and 98.7% specificity, based on the reference standard of appropriateness for emergency coronary angiography.7 The prevalence of STEMI was much lower in their study than in our study (1.4%7 vs 5.1% [Table 2]) because their dataset also included PHECGs performed for symptoms other than chest pain. Using the same ECG machine model as the aforementioned study,7 Fakhri et al8 tested an automated analysis method with a high-specificity STEMI configuration. In a carefully selected STEMI population, the sensitivity and specificity were 69.8% and 51.5%, respectively, based on discharge diagnosis.8 A meta-analysis conducted by Tanaka et al27 suggested that computer-assisted ECG interpretation had a high pooled specificity (95.4%; 95% CI=87.3%-98.4%) with an acceptable estimated number of false-positive results, whereas the pooled sensitivity was relatively low (85.4%; 95% CI=74.1%-92.3%), for identifying STEMI on PHECG. All of these studies utilised ECG machines and diagnostic algorithms that differed from our method, emphasising that diagnostic performance varies across models; evaluations of specific ECG machines and algorithms should be conducted by individual healthcare systems to suit their operational needs.
 
Major patterns of false-positive and falsenegative electrocardiograms
The Hannover ECG System algorithm utilised in our study was one of nine computer programmes investigated in the international Common Standards for Quantitative Electrocardiography Diagnostic Study,28 using clinical diagnosis as the reference standard. This statistics-based algorithm exhibited one of the highest sensitivities (79.0%) for detecting myocardial infarction compared with all algorithms combined (72.2%); its sensitivity also was similar to that of the combined independent ratings of eight cardiologists (80.3%). However, its ability to correctly classify normal ECGs (86.6%) was lower than that of the combined ratings of cardiologists (97.1%) and the combined algorithms (96.7%). Our findings are consistent with the results of the Common Standards for Quantitative Electrocardiography Diagnostic Study. The presence of artefacts contributed to 8.6% of false-positive ECGs; this rate could be improved by enhancing ECG technique. The major patterns of misdiagnosis were early repolarisation (38.0%), left bundle branch block (15.7%), and tachycardia of >140 beats per minute (13.3%) [Fig 2]. Artefacts on ECG were responsible for the largest proportion of false-positive ECGs8; they contributed a smaller proportion in our dataset because we excluded ECGs considered ‘Not interpretable’ by the algorithm or blinded raters. Early repolarisation remained a leading cause of false-positive ECGs, and existing consensus papers on early repolarisation may help guide future algorithm development.20 29 Further collaboration with the software provider to optimise the algorithm may enhance its accuracy.
 
Among cases of STEMI missed by the algorithm using diagnosis on hospital discharge as the reference standard, more than half were caused by ECG changes after patient arrival in the ED. False-negative ECGs due to subtle ST-segment elevation represented only 3.45% of all STEMI patients. Remote physician interpretation of these PHECGs would likely be equivocal and uncertain. It presumably would not be beneficial to adjust the algorithm to correct this margin of error, considering the potential for additional false-positives. However, it might be useful to refine the algorithm for enhanced detection of STEMI equivalents, which were missed in the current cohort.
 
The rise of artificial intelligence
Although the diagnostic limitations of rule-based algorithms are recognised, Zhao et al9 described an artificial intelligence diagnostic algorithm that showed promising results (96.8% sensitivity and 99% specificity) using coronary angiography findings as the reference standard. The potential role of artificial intelligence in PHECG diagnosis merits further exploration to increase accuracy.
 
Paradigm shift in classifying myocardial infarction
Meyers et al30 proposed a new paradigm of occlusion myocardial infarction (OMI) vs non-OMI, which they compared with the conventional STEMI vs non-STEMI paradigm. Occlusion myocardial infarction refers to type 1 myocardial infarction that involves acute total or near-total occlusion of a major epicardial coronary vessel with insufficient collateral circulation, causing acute infarction. Meyers et al30 showed that 38% of OMI patients did not meet ECG-based STEMI criteria, as stated in the 4th Universal Definition of Myocardial Infarction.14 Compared with OMI patients who met STEMI criteria, patients not meeting the criteria experienced significant delays in cardiac catheterisation but exhibited similar adverse outcome profiles. These findings highlight the need to re-evaluate classification strategies for acute coronary syndrome, with a focus on rapidly recognising this underserved and poorly understood subgroup of patients who would benefit from emergent reperfusion therapy. Future research should emphasise identifying ECG features of OMI beyond the STEMI criteria.
 
Limitations
First, 13% of PHECGs were not matched to electronic patient records, resulting in the loss of data for interpretation. Second, during adjudicated blinded rating of the ECGs, STEMI equivalents were not included in the definition of STEMI because the algorithm was not designed to include these characteristics. This exclusion differs from real-world scenarios in which the recognition of STEMI equivalents would prompt ED physicians to implement STEMI management. Third, this study evaluated a single rule-based algorithm combined with a single ECG machine model utilised by a single urban EMS service provider serving a predominantly ethnic Chinese population. Fourth, intraobserver variability was not assessed for each ECG reviewer. Finally, ECGs considered ‘Not interpretable’ by ECG reviewers due to substantial artefacts were excluded from data analysis, which might lead to underestimation regarding the contributions of artefacts to false positivity.
 
Conclusion
In this territory-wide study, a rule-based PHECG algorithm demonstrated good sensitivity and fair specificity for the diagnosis of STEMI.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design: JHY Lai, CT Lui.
Acquisition of data: JHY Lai, TWT Chan, BCP Wong.
Analysis or interpretation of data: JHY Lai, CT Lui.
Drafting of the manuscript: JHY Lai.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: CT Lui, TWT Chan, BCP Wong, MSH Tsui, BKA Wan, KL Mok.
 
All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethics approval
The research was approved by the New Territories West Cluster Research Ethics Committee of Hospital Authority, Hong Kong (Ref No.: NTWC/REC/21097). The requirement for patient consent was waived by the Committee because the study was conducted within a preexisting prehospital clinical service.
 
References
1. HealthyHK, Hong Kong SAR Government. Coronary heart diseases. 2021. Available from: https://www.healthyhk.gov.hk/phisweb/en/chart_detail/24/. Accessed 3 Dec 2022.
2. O’Gara PT, Kushner FG, Ascheim DD, et al. 2013 ACCF/AHA guideline for the management of ST-elevation myocardial infarction: executive summary: a report of the American College of Cardiology Foundation/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines. J Am Coll Cardiol 2013;61:485-510. Crossref
3. Ibánez B, James S, Agewall S, et al. 2017 ESC Guidelines for the management of acute myocardial infarction in patients presenting with ST-segment elevation [in English, Spanish]. Rev Esp Cardiol (Engl Ed) 2017;70:1082. Crossref
4. Kontos MC, Gunderson MR, Zegre-Hemsey JK, et al. Prehospital activation of hospital resources (PreAct) ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI): a standardized approach to prehospital activation and direct to the catheterization laboratory for STEMI recommendations from the American Heart Association’s mission: lifeline program. J Am Heart Assoc 2020;9:e011963. Crossref
5. Brunetti ND, De Gennaro L, Correale M, et al. Prehospital electrocardiogram triage with telemedicine near halves time to treatment in STEMI: a meta-analysis and meta-regression analysis of non-randomized studies. Int J Cardiol 2017;232:5-11. Crossref
6. Cheung KS, Leung LP, Siu YC, et al. Prehospital 12-lead electrocardiogram for patients with chest pain: a pilot study. Hong Kong Med J 2018;24:484-91. Crossref
7. Bosson N, Sanko S, Stickney RE, et al. Causes of prehospital misinterpretations of ST elevation myocardial infarction. Prehosp Emerg Care 2017;21:283-90. Crossref
8. Fakhri Y, Andersson H, Gregg RE, et al. Diagnostic performance of a new ECG algorithm for reducing false positive cases in patients suspected acute coronary syndrome. J Electrocardiol 2021;69:60-4. Crossref
9. Zhao Y, Xiong J, Hou Y, et al. Early detection of ST-segment elevated myocardial infarction by artificial intelligence with 12-lead electrocardiogram. Int J Cardiol 2020;317:223-30. Crossref
10. Goebel M, Vaida F, Kahn C, Donofrio JJ. A novel algorithm for improving the diagnostic accuracy of prehospital STelevation myocardial infarction. Prehosp Disaster Med 2019;34:489-96. Crossref
11. Le May MR, Dionne R, Maloney J, et al. Diagnostic performance and potential clinical impact of advanced care paramedic interpretation of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction in the field. CJEM 2006;8:401-7. Crossref
12. Ducas RA, Wassef AW, Jassal DS, et al. To transmit or not to transmit: how good are emergency medical personnel in detecting STEMI in patients with chest pain? Can J Cardiol 2012;28:432-7. Crossref
13. Tanguay A, Lebon J, Brassard E, Hébert D, Bégin F. Diagnostic accuracy of prehospital electrocardiograms interpreted remotely by emergency physicians in myocardial infarction patients. Am J Emerg Med 2019;37:1242-7. Crossref
14. Thygesen K, Alpert JS, Jaffe AS, et al. Fourth universal definition of myocardial infarction (2018). J Am Coll Cardiol 2018;72:2231-64. Crossref
15. Meyers HP, Limkakeng AT Jr, Jaffa EJ, et al. Validation of the modified Sgarbossa criteria for acute coronary occlusion in the setting of left bundle branch block: a retrospective case-control study. Am Heart J 2015;170:1255-64. Crossref
16. Smith SW, Dodd KW, Henry TD, Dvorak DM, Pearce LA. Diagnosis of ST-elevation myocardial infarction in the presence of left bundle branch block with the ST-elevation to S-wave ratio in a modified Sgarbossa rule. Ann Emerg Med 2012;60:766-76. Crossref
17. Wang K, Asinger RW, Marriott HJ. ST-segment elevation in conditions other than acute myocardial infarction. N Engl J Med 2003;349:2128-35. Crossref
18. Writing Committee; Kontos MC, de Lemos JA, et al. 2022 ACC Expert Consensus Decision Pathway on the evaluation and disposition of acute chest pain in the emergency department: a report of the American College of Cardiology Solution Set Oversight Committee. J Am Coll Cardiol 2022;80:1925-60. Crossref
19. Wilde AA, Antzelevitch C, Borggrefe M, et al. Proposed diagnostic criteria for the Brugada syndrome: consensus report. Circulation 2002;106:2514-9. Crossref
20. Patton KK, Ellinor PT, Ezekowitz M, et al. Electrocardiographic early repolarization: a scientific statement from the American Heart Association. Circulation 2016;133:1520-9. Crossref
21. Armstrong EJ, Kulkarni AR, Bhave PD, et al. Electrocardiographic criteria for ST-elevation myocardial infarction in patients with left ventricular hypertrophy. Am J Cardiol 2012;110:977-83. Crossref
22. Bischof JE, Worrall C, Thompson P, Marti D, Smith SW. ST depression in lead aVL differentiates inferior ST-elevation myocardial infarction from pericarditis. Am J Emerg Med 2016;34:149-54. Crossref
23. Mond HG, Haqqani HM. The electrocardiographic footprints of ventricular ectopy. Heart Lung Circ 2020;29:988-99. Crossref
24. Ting HH, Krumholz HM, Bradley EH, et al. Implementation and integration of prehospital ECGs into systems of care for acute coronary syndrome: a scientific statement from the American Heart Association Interdisciplinary Council on Quality of Care and Outcomes Research, Emergency Cardiovascular Care Committee, Council on Cardiovascular Nursing, and Council on Clinical Cardiology. Circulation 2008;118:1066-79. Crossref
25. Wilson RE, Kado HS, Percy RF, et al. An algorithm for identification of ST-elevation myocardial infarction patients by emergency medicine services. Am J Emerg Med 2013;31:1098-102. Crossref
26. Bhalla MC, Mencl F, Gist MA, Wilber S, Zalewski J. Prehospital electrocardiographic computer identification of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction. Prehosp Emerg Care 2013;17:211-6. Crossref
27. Tanaka A, Matsuo K, Kikuchi M, et al. Systematic review and meta-analysis of diagnostic accuracy to identify ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction on interpretations of prehospital electrocardiograms. Circ Rep 2022;4:289-97. Crossref
28. Willems JL, Abreu-Lima C, Arnaud P, et al. The diagnostic performance of computer programs for the interpretation of electrocardiograms. N Engl J Med 1991;325:1767-73. Crossref
29. Macfarlane PW, Antzelevitch C, Haissaguerre M, et al. The early repolarization pattern: a consensus paper. J Am Coll Cardiol 2015;66:470-7. Crossref
30. Meyers HP, Bracey A, Lee D, et al. Comparison of the ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) vs. NSTEMI and occlusion MI (OMI) vs. NOMI paradigms of acute MI. J Emerg Med 2021;60:273-84. Crossref

Pages